Liga MX match prediction: Little separates Toluca and Pachuca in quality

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Date: Sun 27.October
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Nemesio Diez (31000 seats)

Season ticket holders at Estadio Nemesio Diez haven’t seen too many victories this season, with Toluca languishing in the 17th position so far. The guesting Pachuca will be hopeful to defend their higher league position in this one.

Pachuca could be less fresh than the hosts in this fixture, as they played a Copa MX game only four sleeps ago. That game, against Atletico Zacatepec, was also an away game. It's a tiring schedule for Pachuca.

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Toluca form and stats

2-1-3 (win-draw-lost) are the Liga MX numbers at home for Toluca so far this season.

A good away victory last time out for Toluca, who won 1-0 against Veracruz (placed 19th). Before that, Toluca drew at home versus Puebla.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Toluca as they are travelling to their away game against Tigres UANL in the Liga MX. That match is three days after this one.

Toluca has scored 6 league goals at home this season, in 6 matches. 7 goals have been conceded.

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Pachuca form and stats

As the visiting team in Liga MX matches, Pachuca have produced an overall stat of 2-3-1 so far.

Pachuca play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 3-0 victory visiting Atletico Zacatepec. The game before that, in the Liga MX, was lost at home, a 0-1 defeat against Juarez.

A quick return to home after this game, as Pachuca are hosting Monterrey in the Liga MX only three days away.

Pachuca are a potent attacking force on the road with their 15 goals in 6 league games. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Pachuca have conceded 10 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: 5 wins for Toluca, 3 draws and 2 wins for Pachuca. Over 2,5 goals: 6 times; under 2,5 goals: 4 games.

Top Goalscorers

PachucaF. Jara
F. Jara
6 goals / 1 assists
PachucaV. Guzmán
V. Guzmán
5 goals / 2 assists
PachucaR. Ibarra
R. Ibarra
3 goals / 1 assists

Toluca missing players

Pachuca missing players

Toluca Pachuca
Total Home Home vs mid Statistics Stat Away vs low Away Total
13 6 2 Played P 3 6 13
3 2 1 Won W 2 2 5
4 1 0 Drew D 1 3 3
6 3 1 Lost L 0 1 5
11 6 2 Scored S 11 15 26
16 7 2 Conceded C 5 10 20
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
85% 83% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 92%
15% 17% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 83% 69%
8% 17% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 67% 54%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 67% 33% 23%
46% 33% 0% BTTS BTTS 67% 83% 69%
15% 17% 50% Clean Sheets C S 33% 17% 15%
38% 50% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 15%
 
4.8 5.8 2.5 Corners For (avg) C F 3.3 3.5 5.8
3.6 3.8 3 Corners Against (avg) C A 5 6 4.8
2.1 2.7 1.5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1 1.8 1.5
2 2 0 Red Cards R C 1 3 3
Key stats this season:
  • All of Pachuca's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Pachuca have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Pachuca have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Pachuca have scored more than double the goals of Toluca.
  • Pachuca have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Pachuca haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Toluca have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Toluca have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Toluca haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Toluca
All CONCACAF Champions League Liga MX Copa MX
All Home Away Home vs mid
27-09-19 LM Toluca 3 - 1 Atletico San Luis
30-09-19 LM Veracruz 1 - 1 Toluca
03-10-19 CM Toluca 2 - 0 Veracruz
06-10-19 LM Toluca 1 - 1 Puebla
13-10-19 CM Veracruz 0 - 1 Toluca
27-10-19 LM Toluca 19:00 Pachuca
31-10-19 LM Tigres UANL 04:00 Toluca
03-11-19 LM Toluca 19:00 Guadalajara
10-11-19 LM Leon 04:00 Toluca
24-11-19 LM Toluca 19:00 Santos Laguna
Pachuca
All FIFA Club World Cup Liga MX Copa MX
All Home Away Away vs low
22-09-19 LM Pachuca 4 - 1 Tijuana
25-09-19 LM Guadalajara 2 - 4 Pachuca
29-09-19 LM Pachuca 2 - 0 Cruz Azul
20-10-19 LM Pachuca 0 - 1 Juarez
24-10-19 CM Atletico Zacatepec 0 - 3 Pachuca
27-10-19 LM Toluca 19:00 Pachuca
31-10-19 LM Pachuca 02:00 Monterrey
03-11-19 LM Necaxa 04:05 Pachuca
07-11-19 CM Pachuca 02:00 Atlas
10-11-19 LM Tigres UANL 02:00 Pachuca

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Santos Laguna 13 8 2 3 30 19 7 6 1 0 23 5 6 2 1 3 7 14 11 26
2 Necaxa 14 7 4 3 28 18 8 3 4 1 18 9 6 4 0 2 10 9 10 25
3 Queretaro 13 7 3 3 23 14 6 3 1 2 9 9 7 4 2 1 14 5 9 24
4 Leon 13 6 5 2 28 18 6 2 4 0 11 8 7 4 1 2 17 10 10 23
5 Tigres UANL 13 6 5 2 22 12 6 3 2 1 13 6 7 3 3 1 9 6 10 23
6 América 14 5 7 2 23 20 7 4 3 0 16 8 7 1 4 2 7 12 3 22
7 Atlas 14 6 3 5 17 15 7 3 1 3 9 7 7 3 2 2 8 8 2 21
8 Morelia 13 6 1 6 18 17 6 3 0 3 6 5 7 3 1 3 12 12 1 19
9 Pachuca 13 5 3 5 26 20 7 3 0 4 11 10 6 2 3 1 15 10 6 18
10 Pumas UNAM 13 5 3 5 14 12 7 4 1 2 10 5 6 1 2 3 4 7 2 18
11 Tijuana 13 5 3 5 22 27 6 3 3 0 11 8 7 2 0 5 11 19 -5 18
12 Monterrey 14 5 2 7 17 20 7 4 1 2 11 9 7 1 1 5 6 11 -3 17
13 Atletico San Luis 13 5 2 6 17 21 7 1 2 4 7 12 6 4 0 2 10 9 -4 17
14 Cruz Azul 14 3 7 4 19 19 7 2 4 1 13 9 7 1 3 3 6 10 0 16
15 Juarez 13 4 2 7 10 16 6 3 1 2 7 5 7 1 1 5 3 11 -6 14
16 Guadalajara 13 3 4 6 17 22 6 3 1 2 10 7 7 0 3 4 7 15 -5 13
17 Toluca 13 3 4 6 11 16 6 2 1 3 6 7 7 1 3 3 5 9 -5 13
18 Puebla 13 3 4 6 14 24 7 2 1 4 7 14 6 1 3 2 7 10 -10 13
19 Veracruz 13 0 4 9 8 34 7 0 3 4 7 16 6 0 1 5 1 18 -26 4

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