Can Toluca beat Lobos BUAP in Estadio Nemesio Díez clash?

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Date: Sun 05.May
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez

Getting closer to the top teams is at stake when these two mid-table clubs battle it out. Both will be aiming to improve their league table standing, Toluca in 10th and Lobos BUAP in 11th place.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Toluca form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Estadio Nemesio Díez as Toluca have scored 16 goals to get 16 points from 7 games. The overall stats are 5-1-1 (wins-draws-losses). Toluca has won so many consecutive home games (four in a row) that they struggle to remember the last time points were lost here at Estadio Nemesio Díez. We remember; it was Sporting KC.

The home team returns to Estadio Nemesio Díez after sharing the points with Pumas UNAM on their last time out; the Liga MX game ended 2-2. Before that, Toluca had a home game versus América which ended with a victory 3-2.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Toluca handle that role? We have found seven games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The win/draw/lost stats in these games are W4-D2-L1.

Toluca can score goals in their home matches. After 7 matches they have found the net 16 times. Toluca are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estadio Nemesio Díez, averaging less than one per game. The total is 6 from 7 matches.

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Lobos BUAP form and stats

Playing away, Lobos BUAP have won 3 games, drawn 1 and suffered 3 defeats so far this season. It could be a hat trick of victories away for Lobos BUAP, as they have won on their previous two travels.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a Liga MX home defeat versus Cruz Azul with 1-4 on the scoreboard. Before that one, a nice away victory 2-1 at Tijuana.

We have checked recent matches where Lobos BUAP have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those eight games were W0-D3-L5.

The attacking power of Lobos BUAP when travelling is not overwhelming with 6 goals scored in 7 matches. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Lobos BUAP have conceded 12 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Lobos BUAP - Toluca 2-0. Last five meetings between the teams: Toluca won 3, Lobos BUAP won 1 and 1 draw.

Top Goalscorers

L. Ramos
16 goals / 3 assists
A. Canelo
7 goals / 1 assists
M. Chirinos
6 goals / 5 assists

Toluca missing players

Lobos BUAP missing players

Toluca Lobos BUAP
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
35 17 4 Played 4 16 33
14 11 4 Won 1 4 11
7 3 0 Drew 1 3 6
14 3 0 Lost 2 9 16
55 37 10 Scored 5 15 38
50 17 3 Conceded 6 30 55
97% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 97%
86% 88% 100% Over 1.5 75% 75% 82%
60% 65% 75% Over 2.5 75% 62% 58%
37% 41% 25% Over 3.5 25% 31% 33%
17% 18% 25% Over 4.5 0% 6% 9%
57% 59% 50% BTTS 75% 50% 52%
17% 29% 50% Clean Sheets 0% 19% 21%
29% 12% 0% Failed To Score 25% 31% 30%
 
6.1 6.8 7 Corners For (avg) 3.2 3.7 4.6
4.6 4 5 Corners Against (avg) 6 6.8 5.8
2.7 2.8 2.5 Yellow Cards (avg) 1.2 1.8 1.8
10 2 0 Red Cards 0 0 3
Key stats this season:
  • Toluca hasn't played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Lobos BUAP is involved in more matches over 2.5 away, than home.
  • Toluca is involved in more matches over 2.5 home, than away.

Toluca
01-03-19 CCL Toluca 0 - 2 Sporting KC
03-03-19 LM Toluca 3 - 1 Veracruz
10-03-19 LM Necaxa 1 - 1 Toluca
17-03-19 LM Toluca 2 - 0 Atlas
31-03-19 LM Pachuca 3 - 2 Toluca
07-04-19 LM Toluca 5 - 1 Monterrey
13-04-19 LM Querétaro 0 - 0 Toluca
21-04-19 LM Toluca 3 - 2 América
28-04-19 LM Pumas UNAM 2 - 2 Toluca
05-05-19 LM Toluca 17:00 Lobos BUAP
Lobos BUAP
24-02-19 LM América 3 - 0 Lobos BUAP
03-03-19 LM Lobos BUAP 2 - 1 Pumas UNAM
10-03-19 LM Lobos BUAP 0 - 1 León
16-03-19 LM Morelia 1 - 1 Lobos BUAP
31-03-19 LM Lobos BUAP 0 - 4 Puebla
07-04-19 LM Guadalajara 0 - 1 Lobos BUAP
14-04-19 LM Lobos BUAP 0 - 3 Tigres UANL
20-04-19 LM Tijuana 1 - 2 Lobos BUAP
28-04-19 LM Lobos BUAP 1 - 4 Cruz Azul
05-05-19 LM Toluca 17:00 Lobos BUAP

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 León 16 12 2 2 39 13 8 6 1 1 19 6 8 6 1 1 20 7 26 38
2 Tigres UANL 16 10 4 2 31 15 7 5 1 1 17 8 9 5 3 1 14 7 16 34
3 Monterrey 16 8 6 2 33 19 9 4 5 0 23 9 7 4 1 2 10 10 14 30
4 Cruz Azul 16 8 5 3 25 14 7 5 0 2 13 6 9 3 5 1 12 8 11 29
5 Pachuca 16 8 4 4 31 24 8 8 0 0 26 5 8 0 4 4 5 19 7 28
6 América 16 8 2 6 26 19 9 6 1 2 14 6 7 2 1 4 12 13 7 26
7 Necaxa 16 7 5 4 31 24 7 2 4 1 11 9 9 5 1 3 20 15 7 26
8 Tijuana 16 8 1 7 21 20 7 5 0 2 13 8 9 3 1 5 8 12 1 25
9 Puebla 16 6 6 4 18 17 9 2 5 2 8 12 7 4 1 2 10 5 1 24
10 Toluca 16 6 4 6 24 23 7 5 1 1 16 6 9 1 3 5 8 17 1 22
11 Lobos BUAP 16 6 2 8 17 30 9 3 1 5 11 18 7 3 1 3 6 12 -13 20
12 Santos Laguna 16 5 4 7 16 21 7 4 2 1 10 4 9 1 2 6 6 17 -5 19
13 Guadalajara 16 5 3 8 15 19 9 4 1 4 9 9 7 1 2 4 6 10 -4 18
14 Pumas UNAM 16 4 5 7 17 21 9 3 5 1 12 11 7 1 0 6 5 10 -4 17
15 Atlas 16 5 1 10 17 28 7 2 0 5 7 10 9 3 1 5 10 18 -11 16
16 Morelia 16 2 6 8 19 30 9 2 2 5 13 18 7 0 4 3 6 12 -11 12
17 Querétaro 16 3 2 11 11 29 9 3 2 4 8 11 7 0 0 7 3 18 -18 11
18 Veracruz 16 0 4 12 7 32 7 0 2 5 3 9 9 0 2 7 4 23 -25 4