Liga MX preview: Can Toluca edge out victory against Tijuana?

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Date: Sun 25.August
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez (30000 seats)

The Toluca manager R. La Volpe attacks this game with the team placed 17th so far. In the visitors dressing room Tijuana and their manager Ó. Pareja are in 12th place before this match.

Toluca and Tijuana should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

One slightly interesting match fact is that this game is played on grass and that the visiting Tijuana have a different surface at their stadium (artificial turf). The impact of this is hard to measure exactly, but the visitors stats on grass is 7-7-21 (win-draw-loss) from 35 matches. Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 2700 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

L L L W D

Toluca form and stats

Two home games so far for Toluca, who are yet to win here at Estadio Nemesio Díez, having collected only 0 points so far. Toluca has three losses from their three previous games and the tension is increasing in the dressing room for both the manager R. La Volpe and the players.

The fans are hoping that Toluca will strike back in this match, putting things right after the 0-2 away loss in the Liga MX game against Monterrey. Preceding that match was the home game against América that was lost 0-1.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Toluca handle that role? We have found eight games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The win/draw/lost stats in these games are W5-D2-L1.

Toluca are traveling soon after this match as the Liga MX match at Necaxa awaits in three days.

At Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca has the goal stats of 0-3 (for/against) from 2 fixtures.

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Tijuana form and stats

Tijuana are doing rather OK so far in their away games, having played 2 games and collected 3 points (1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss). With two straight losses from their last two away games, Tijuana are hoping that it's time for some travel points again.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Tijuana, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 2-3 versus Querétaro. A home win before that, celebrating 1-0 vs Pumas UNAM.

We have checked recent matches where Tijuana have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those six games were W2-D1-L3.

A new game in only three days for Tijuana, the Liga MX home match versus Cruz Azul. Busy days.

It's early days yet, but Tijuana has scored 4 and conceded 4 goals from their travels so far (2 games).

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: 4 wins for Toluca, 0 draws and 6 wins for Tijuana. Over 2,5 goals: 4 times; under 2,5 goals: 6 games.

Top Goalscorers

W. Camacho
2 goals
Camilo Sanvezzo
2 goals
A. Medina
1 goals

Toluca missing players

Tijuana missing players

Toluca Tijuana
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs low Away Total
5 2 0 Played 1 2 4
0 0 0 Won 1 1 2
1 0 0 Drew 0 0 1
4 2 0 Lost 0 1 1
1 0 0 Scored 3 4 6
8 3 0 Conceded 1 4 5
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 100% 100% 100%
80% 50% 0% Over 1.5 100% 100% 75%
0% 0% 0% Over 2.5 100% 100% 50%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 100% 100% 50%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 0% 0% 0%
20% 0% 0% BTTS 100% 100% 75%
0% 0% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 0% 25%
80% 100% 0% Failed To Score 0% 0% 0%
 
5 7 0 Corners For (avg) 4 2.5 2.5
4.6 5 0 Corners Against (avg) 7 5.5 4.5
2.2 2.5 0 Yellow Cards (avg) 0 2.5 2.8
1 1 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Toluca Last season Tijuana
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
36 18 5 Played 4 18 36
15 12 2 Won 0 4 13
7 3 1 Drew 0 2 6
14 3 2 Lost 4 12 17
59 41 8 Scored 0 11 40
50 17 6 Conceded 8 28 49
97% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 94% 97%
86% 89% 60% Over 1.5 50% 56% 67%
61% 67% 60% Over 2.5 50% 44% 50%
39% 44% 40% Over 3.5 0% 17% 25%
17% 17% 20% Over 4.5 0% 6% 8%
56% 56% 40% BTTS 0% 28% 42%
19% 33% 20% Clean Sheets 0% 17% 25%
28% 11% 40% Failed To Score 100% 61% 36%
 
6 6.6 8 Corners For (avg) 4 3.7 4.3
4.6 4 3.2 Corners Against (avg) 7.8 5.6 5.3
2.6 2.6 2.6 Yellow Cards (avg) 1.8 1.9 1.9
10 2 0 Red Cards 1 2 3
Key stats last season:
  • Tijuana have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Toluca have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Toluca have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Toluca have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Tijuana have scored away.
  • Toluca haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

Toluca
All CONCACAF Champions League Liga MX Copa MX Club Friendlies
All Home Away
28-07-19 LM Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Toluca
01-08-19 CM Toluca 1 - 0 Zacatepec FC
05-08-19 LM Juarez 2 - 0 Toluca
11-08-19 LM Toluca 0 - 1 América
18-08-19 LM Monterrey 2 - 0 Toluca
25-08-19 LM Toluca 17:00 Tijuana
29-08-19 LM Necaxa 02:00 Toluca
01-09-19 LM Pumas UNAM 17:00 Toluca
08-09-19 CM Zacatepec FC 02:00 Toluca
15-09-19 LM Toluca 17:00 Morelia
Tijuana
All CONCACAF Champions League Liga MX Copa MX Club Friendlies
All Home Away
28-07-19 LM Tijuana 1 - 1 Querétaro
31-07-19 CM Tijuana 2 - 0 Querétaro
04-08-19 LM América 3 - 1 Tijuana
10-08-19 LM Tijuana 1 - 0 Pumas UNAM
14-08-19 CM Querétaro 3 - 2 Tijuana
25-08-19 LM Toluca 17:00 Tijuana
29-08-19 LM Tijuana 02:06 Cruz Azul
31-08-19 LM Necaxa 22:00 Tijuana
05-09-19 CM Mineros de Zacatecas - Tijuana
14-09-19 LM Tijuana 02:06 Tigres UANL

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Querétaro 5 4 1 0 10 2 2 2 0 0 5 1 3 2 1 0 5 1 8 13
2 América 5 4 1 0 9 3 3 3 0 0 8 3 2 1 1 0 1 0 6 13
3 Santos Laguna 5 4 0 1 12 5 3 3 0 0 10 1 2 1 0 1 2 4 7 12
4 Tigres UANL 5 3 1 1 9 6 2 2 0 0 7 3 3 1 1 1 2 3 3 10
5 Pumas UNAM 5 3 0 2 6 2 3 2 0 1 4 1 2 1 0 1 2 1 4 9
6 Monterrey 5 3 0 2 8 7 2 2 0 0 5 2 3 1 0 2 3 5 1 9
7 Atlas 5 3 0 2 6 6 3 1 0 2 3 5 2 2 0 0 3 1 0 9
8 Cruz Azul 5 2 2 1 6 5 2 1 1 0 3 1 3 1 1 1 3 4 1 8
9 Necaxa 5 2 1 2 11 5 3 2 1 0 10 0 2 0 0 2 1 5 6 7
10 León 4 2 1 1 9 7 2 1 1 0 4 3 2 1 0 1 5 4 2 7
11 Guadalajara 5 2 1 2 9 8 2 2 0 0 5 0 3 0 1 2 4 8 1 7
12 Tijuana 4 2 1 1 6 5 2 1 1 0 2 1 2 1 0 1 4 4 1 7
13 Pachuca 5 1 1 3 10 10 2 0 0 2 2 5 3 1 1 1 8 5 0 4
14 Atlético San Luis 4 1 1 2 2 6 3 1 1 1 2 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -4 4
15 Morelia 5 1 0 4 4 8 2 0 0 2 0 2 3 1 0 2 4 6 -4 3
16 Juárez 5 1 0 4 2 8 2 1 0 1 2 2 3 0 0 3 0 6 -6 3
17 Toluca 5 0 1 4 1 8 2 0 0 2 0 3 3 0 1 2 1 5 -7 1
18 Puebla 4 0 1 3 3 12 3 0 1 2 2 8 1 0 0 1 1 4 -9 1
19 Veracruz 4 0 1 3 4 14 2 0 1 1 4 5 2 0 0 2 0 9 -10 1

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