Liga MX prediction and preview: Monterrey modest favorites to beat Toluca

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Date: Sun 18.August
Match begins: 02:06 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio BBVA Bancomer (53500 seats)

It's still early in the Liga MX season, but we are learning more and more about the teams. Here is the Monterrey - Toluca preview!

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

W W W L L

Monterrey form and stats

Monterrey have played 1 game at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 1-0-0 (wins-draws-losses). Two home wins in a row for Monterrey bring valid hopes of a third.

A good away victory last time out for Monterrey, who won 1-0 against Morelia. Before that, Monterrey had a home game versus León which ended with a victory 3-2.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Monterrey handle that role? We have found five games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The win/draw/lost stats in these games are W3-D1-L1.

It's still early days, but we have some goal stats for the Monterrey at home. 3 on target and 2 scored by the opposition; from 1 match.

L L W D L

Toluca form and stats

Still no away game victory for Toluca with 1 draw and 1 loss from their first 2 attempts.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a Liga MX home defeat versus América with 0-1 on the scoreboard. It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Juarez wasn't a success with a 0-2 loss.

We have checked recent matches where Toluca have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those five games were W0-D3-L2.

1 goal so far away for Toluca, while their defence has allowed the opposition to score 3. All from 2 matches.

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: 3 wins for Monterrey, 2 draws and 5 wins for Toluca. Over 2,5 goals: 7 times; under 2,5 goals: 3 games.

Top Goalscorers

R. Funes Mori
3 goals
A. Hurtado
1 goals

Monterrey missing players

Toluca missing players

Monterrey Toluca
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
4 1 0 Played 1 2 4
2 1 0 Won 0 0 0
0 0 0 Drew 1 1 1
2 0 0 Lost 0 1 3
6 3 0 Scored 1 1 1
7 2 0 Conceded 1 3 6
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 100% 100% 100%
50% 100% 0% Over 1.5 100% 100% 75%
50% 100% 0% Over 2.5 0% 0% 0%
50% 100% 0% Over 3.5 0% 0% 0%
50% 100% 0% Over 4.5 0% 0% 0%
50% 100% 0% BTTS 100% 50% 25%
25% 0% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 0% 0%
25% 0% 0% Failed To Score 0% 50% 75%
 
7.2 12 0 Corners For (avg) 5 5.5 6.2
5.5 3 0 Corners Against (avg) 7 4 4.5
2.8 3 0 Yellow Cards (avg) 1 2.5 2.5
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 1
Monterrey Last season Toluca
Total Home   Statistic   Away Total
42 21   Played   18 36
22 14   Won   3 15
9 6   Drew   4 7
11 1   Lost   11 14
64 44   Scored   18 59
43 18   Conceded   33 50
95% 95%   Over 0.5   94% 97%
67% 71%   Over 1.5   83% 86%
48% 62%   Over 2.5   56% 61%
29% 48%   Over 3.5   33% 39%
12% 14%   Over 4.5   17% 17%
43% 48%   BTTS   56% 56%
40% 52%   Clean Sheets   6% 19%
21% 5%   Failed To Score   44% 28%
 
4.7 5   Corners For (avg)   5.4 6
5 5   Corners Against (avg)   5.1 4.6
2.3 1.9   Yellow Cards (avg)   2.6 2.6
9 3   Red Cards   8 10
Key stats last season:
  • Monterrey have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Monterrey have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Monterrey have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Toluca have scored away.

Monterrey
All CONCACAF Champions League Liga MX Copa MX Club Friendlies
All Home Away
21-07-19 LM América 4 - 2 Monterrey
28-07-19 LM Atlético San Luis 1 - 0 Monterrey
01-08-19 CM Monterrey 2 - 1 Universidad Guadalajara
04-08-19 LM Monterrey 3 - 2 León
10-08-19 LM Morelia 0 - 1 Monterrey
18-08-19 LM Monterrey 02:06 Toluca
24-08-19 LM Santos Laguna 02:00 Monterrey
30-08-19 LM Monterrey 02:00 Pumas UNAM
02-09-19 LM Juarez - Monterrey
14-09-19 LM Monterrey 22:00 Necaxa
Toluca
All CONCACAF Champions League Liga MX Copa MX Club Friendlies
All Home Away
21-07-19 LM Toluca 0 - 2 Queretaro
28-07-19 LM Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Toluca
01-08-19 CM Toluca 1 - 0 Zacatepec FC
05-08-19 LM Juarez 2 - 0 Toluca
11-08-19 LM Toluca 0 - 1 América
18-08-19 LM Monterrey 02:06 Toluca
25-08-19 LM Toluca 17:00 Tijuana
29-08-19 LM Necaxa 02:00 Toluca
01-09-19 LM Pumas UNAM 17:00 Toluca
08-09-19 CM Zacatepec FC 02:00 Toluca

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Santos Laguna 4 4 0 0 12 2 3 3 0 0 10 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 10 12
2 Querétaro 4 3 1 0 8 2 2 2 0 0 5 1 2 1 1 0 3 1 6 10
3 América 4 3 1 0 8 3 2 2 0 0 7 3 2 1 1 0 1 0 5 10
4 Tigres UANL 4 3 0 1 8 5 2 2 0 0 7 3 2 1 0 1 1 2 3 9
5 Atlas 4 3 0 1 5 3 2 1 0 1 2 2 2 2 0 0 3 1 2 9
6 Guadalajara 4 2 1 1 6 4 2 2 0 0 5 0 2 0 1 1 1 4 2 7
7 Tijuana 4 2 1 1 6 5 2 1 1 0 2 1 2 1 0 1 4 4 1 7
8 Pumas UNAM 4 2 0 2 4 2 2 1 0 1 2 1 2 1 0 1 2 1 2 6
9 Monterrey 4 2 0 2 6 7 1 1 0 0 3 2 3 1 0 2 3 5 -1 6
10 Cruz Azul 4 1 2 1 3 4 2 1 1 0 3 1 2 0 1 1 0 3 -1 5
11 Necaxa 4 1 1 2 8 5 2 1 1 0 7 0 2 0 0 2 1 5 3 4
12 León 3 1 1 1 5 4 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 0 1 5 4 1 4
13 Morelia 4 1 0 3 4 7 2 0 0 2 0 2 2 1 0 1 4 5 -3 3
14 Atlético San Luis 3 1 0 2 1 5 2 1 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 0 3 -4 3
15 Juárez 4 1 0 3 2 6 1 1 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 3 0 6 -4 3
16 Pachuca 4 0 1 3 6 10 2 0 0 2 2 5 2 0 1 1 4 5 -4 1
17 Puebla 3 0 1 2 3 8 2 0 1 1 2 4 1 0 0 1 1 4 -5 1
18 Toluca 4 0 1 3 1 6 2 0 0 2 0 3 2 0 1 1 1 3 -5 1
19 Veracruz 3 0 1 2 4 12 2 0 1 1 4 5 1 0 0 1 0 7 -8 1

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