Home advantage could prove decisive in Toluca - Puebla battle

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Date: Sun 06.October
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez (30000 seats)

This match features two teams living in the basement of the Liga MX, Toluca holding 15th place and Puebla lying 16th. A good chance for both teams to improve their position.

There haven't been much time to rest for the hosts, as they played a Copa MX match only four days ago. This match was also played here at Estadio Nemesio Díez. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Puebla have had more rest.

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Toluca form and stats

The story so far in the Liga MX for Toluca at their home stadium (Estadio Nemesio Díez) is 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats.

Toluca's last game was hosting Veracruz (placed 19th) and winning 2-0. A 1-1 draw away in the Liga MX before that, with Veracruz the opponent.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Toluca handle that role? We have found eight games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The win/draw/lost stats in these games are W5-D2-L1.

Toluca has scored 5 league goals at home this season, in 5 matches. 6 goals have been conceded.

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Puebla form and stats

Playing away, Puebla have won 1 game, drawn 2 and suffered 2 defeats in the Liga MX this season.

The manager J. Reynoso was unhappy after their last game, a Copa MX match played at their home ground Estadio Nemesio Díez. Puebla suffered a 0-1 loss to Morelia (placed 11th). Prior to that match, a home win 2-1 against León in the Liga MX.

Puebla are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 2 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats. From a total of eleven matches.

Puebla find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 6 goals from 5 away fixtures in the league. Puebla have conceded 9 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Toluca won 5 games, 2 matches ended with a draw and Puebla has 3 wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: 4 / 6

Top Goalscorers

L. Cavallini
4 goals / 1 assists
A. Canelo
2 goals
E. Gigliotti
2 goals

Toluca missing players

Puebla missing players

Toluca Puebla
Total Home Home vs low Statistics Stat Away vs low Away Total
12 5 1 Played P 1 5 11
3 2 1 Won W 0 1 3
3 0 0 Drew D 1 2 3
6 3 0 Lost L 0 2 5
10 5 3 Scored S 1 6 13
15 6 1 Conceded C 1 9 22
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
83% 80% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 80% 91%
17% 20% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 40% 64%
8% 20% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 40% 45%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 40% 18%
42% 20% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 80% 82%
17% 20% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 9%
42% 60% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 9%
 
4.2 4.8 5 Corners For (avg) C F 1 3 3.6
3.5 3.6 2 Corners Against (avg) C A 7 6.8 5.2
2 2.6 5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 3 2 1.9
2 2 1 Red Cards R C 0 0 2
Key stats This season:
  • Puebla have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Puebla have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Puebla have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Puebla haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Toluca have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Toluca haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Toluca
All CONCACAF Champions League Liga MX Copa MX Club Friendlies
All Home Away
15-09-19 LM Toluca 0 - 2 Morelia
21-09-19 LM Atlas 0 - 1 Toluca
27-09-19 LM Toluca 3 - 1 Atlético San Luis
30-09-19 LM Veracruz 1 - 1 Toluca
02-10-19 CM Toluca 2 - 0 Veracruz
06-10-19 LM Toluca 17:00 Puebla
13-10-19 CM Veracruz 02:00 Toluca
27-10-19 LM Toluca 18:00 Pachuca
31-10-19 LM Tigres UANL 03:00 Toluca
03-11-19 LM Toluca 18:00 Guadalajara
Puebla
All Liga MX Copa MX
All Home Away
14-09-19 LM Puebla 1 - 3 Atlético San Luis
21-09-19 LM Monterrey 3 - 2 Puebla
25-09-19 LM Tigres UANL 0 - 1 Puebla
28-09-19 LM Puebla 2 - 1 León
02-10-19 CM Puebla 0 - 1 Morelia
06-10-19 LM Toluca 17:00 Puebla
19-10-19 LM Puebla - Atlas
24-10-19 CM Cimarrones de Sonora 02:00 Puebla
27-10-19 LM America 01:00 Puebla
30-10-19 LM Veracruz 01:00 Puebla

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Santos Laguna 11 7 2 2 26 14 6 5 1 0 19 4 5 2 1 2 7 10 12 23
2 Necaxa 12 6 3 3 23 14 7 3 3 1 16 7 5 3 0 2 7 7 9 21
3 América 12 5 6 1 19 13 7 4 3 0 16 8 5 1 3 1 3 5 6 21
4 León 11 5 4 2 25 16 5 2 3 0 10 7 6 3 1 2 15 9 9 19
5 Pachuca 12 5 3 4 26 19 6 3 0 3 11 9 6 2 3 1 15 10 7 18
6 Querétaro 11 5 3 3 19 13 5 2 1 2 7 8 6 3 2 1 12 5 6 18
7 Tigres UANL 11 4 5 2 15 11 5 2 2 1 9 6 6 2 3 1 6 5 4 17
8 Pumas UNAM 11 5 2 4 12 9 6 4 1 1 9 3 5 1 1 3 3 6 3 17
9 Atlas 12 5 2 5 14 13 7 3 1 3 9 7 5 2 1 2 5 6 1 17
10 Tijuana 11 5 2 4 19 21 5 3 2 0 9 6 6 2 0 4 10 15 -2 17
11 Morelia 11 5 1 5 13 12 5 3 0 2 4 2 6 2 1 3 9 10 1 16
12 Monterrey 12 5 1 6 15 17 6 4 0 2 10 8 6 1 1 4 5 9 -2 16
13 Atlético San Luis 11 4 2 5 15 18 6 1 2 3 7 10 5 3 0 2 8 8 -3 14
14 Cruz Azul 12 2 7 3 12 14 5 1 4 0 6 4 7 1 3 3 6 10 -2 13
15 Toluca 12 3 3 6 10 15 5 2 0 3 5 6 7 1 3 3 5 9 -5 12
16 Puebla 11 3 3 5 13 22 6 2 1 3 7 13 5 1 2 2 6 9 -9 12
17 Guadalajara 11 3 2 6 15 20 5 3 0 2 9 6 6 0 2 4 6 14 -5 11
18 Juárez 11 3 2 6 8 14 5 3 1 1 6 3 6 0 1 5 2 11 -6 11
19 Veracruz 11 0 3 8 6 30 6 0 3 3 6 13 5 0 0 5 0 17 -24 3

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