Can Cruzeiro beat Atlético Mineiro in Mineirao Stadium clash?

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: Sun 10.November
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Mineirao Stadium (58170 seats)

Cruzeiro hope to sell some tickets for this game even though the season has been rough so far with 34 points and a 16th position in the Serie A table. Visiting Atlético Mineiro holds 11th place with 39 pts.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

This is a match between teams from the same area, a local derby. The community is buzzing.

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Cruzeiro form and stats

Cruzeiro have collected 21 points from their Serie A home games so far after 5-6-4. Their last two home games have resulted in two points, meaning they were both draws.

Cruzeiro manager Abel Braga and his team return home after a 0-0 draw away versus Athletico PR (placed 7th) in the Serie A. The points were shared before that, a home game that ended 1-1 versus Bahia.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Cruzeiro have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found four games) they have won 1 time, drawn 3 and lost 0.

Cruzeiro have scored 13 league goals here from 15 matches, not a lot. Cruzeiro are not conceding a lot of goals here at Mineirao Stadium in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 14 from 15 matches.

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Atlético Mineiro form and stats

There's been little loot from Atlético Mineiro's travels as they have only collected 13 points from 15 away games in the Serie A. Atlético Mineiro only have 3 wins to counter their 8 defeats and 4 draws. Travelling has not been lucrative for the away team as they have returned home without a win in ten away games in a row.

The supporters enjoyed Atlético Mineiro's previous game versus Goiás (placed 10th), a Serie A 2-0 win played at home. Preceding that game, the 2-2 draw paying a visit to Fortaleza.

Atlético Mineiro are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat. From a total of one match.

The visitors have scored 14 goals from 15 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. 22 goals have been conceded by Atlético Mineiro in these games.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro 2-0 played earlier this season. Cruzeiro-Atlético Mineiro H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Cruzeiro 3 wins, Atlético Mineiro 4 wins, 3 draws. 3 of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

CruzeiroThiago Neves
Thiago Neves
6 goals
CruzeiroFred
Fred
5 goals
Atlético MineiroJ. Cazares
J. Cazares
4 goals

Cruzeiro missing players

Atlético Mineiro missing players

Cruzeiro Atlético Mineiro
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
31 15 6 Played P 5 15 31
7 5 3 Won W 1 3 11
13 6 2 Drew D 2 4 6
11 4 1 Lost L 2 8 14
26 13 6 Scored S 7 14 38
36 14 5 Conceded C 8 22 43
81% 80% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 93% 97%
65% 60% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 67% 81%
32% 27% 17% Over 2.5 O 2.5 80% 53% 55%
16% 7% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 40% 27% 26%
6% 7% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 3%
52% 47% 50% BTTS BTTS 80% 60% 58%
35% 47% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 7% 16%
32% 27% 17% Failed to Score F T 20% 40% 29%
 
4.6 4.8 2.8 Corners For (avg) C F 8.4 5.5 6.2
4.9 4 5.2 Corners Against (avg) C A 3.8 6.8 6
2.4 2.1 2.5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 3.6 2.3 1.9
6 1 1 Red Cards R C 3 3 5

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Flamengo 31 23 5 3 65 25 15 14 1 0 39 11 16 9 4 3 26 14 40 74
2 Palmeiras 31 19 9 3 50 23 15 12 3 0 32 6 16 7 6 3 18 17 27 66
3 Santos 31 18 7 6 45 28 15 11 3 1 33 13 16 7 4 5 12 15 17 61
4 Grêmio 31 15 8 8 54 32 16 10 3 3 33 17 15 5 5 5 21 15 22 53
5 São Paulo 31 14 10 7 32 22 16 8 6 2 20 10 15 6 4 5 12 12 10 52
6 Corinthians 31 12 12 7 35 28 16 9 6 1 21 11 15 3 6 6 14 17 7 48
7 Athletico PR 31 13 8 10 44 31 16 9 3 4 22 11 15 4 5 6 22 20 13 47
8 Internacional 31 13 7 11 35 31 15 9 5 1 21 9 16 4 2 10 14 22 4 46
9 Bahia 31 11 10 10 34 30 16 7 5 4 21 15 15 4 5 6 13 15 4 43
10 Goiás 31 12 6 13 34 47 15 9 3 3 23 13 16 3 3 10 11 34 -13 42
11 Atlético Mineiro 31 11 6 14 38 43 16 8 2 6 24 21 15 3 4 8 14 22 -5 39
12 Vasco da Gama 31 10 9 12 28 37 16 6 4 6 17 20 15 4 5 6 11 17 -9 39
13 Ceará 31 10 6 15 32 31 16 8 4 4 21 11 15 2 2 11 11 20 1 36
14 Fortaleza 31 10 6 15 38 44 15 7 2 6 18 15 16 3 4 9 20 29 -6 36
15 Fluminense 31 9 7 15 31 41 16 5 5 6 16 14 15 4 2 9 15 27 -10 34
16 Cruzeiro 31 7 13 11 26 36 15 5 6 4 13 14 16 2 7 7 13 22 -10 34
17 Botafogo 31 10 3 18 26 40 15 7 1 7 15 15 16 3 2 11 11 25 -14 33
18 CSA 31 7 8 16 21 44 15 6 5 4 15 16 16 1 3 12 6 28 -23 29
19 Chapecoense 31 4 10 17 25 47 15 2 5 8 12 20 16 2 5 9 13 27 -22 22
20 Avaí 31 3 8 20 16 49 16 1 7 8 9 22 15 2 1 12 7 27 -33 17