Botafogo welcomes Avai as clear favourites: Big betting preview

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: Mon 11.November
Match begins: 23:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (44661 seats)

This match features two teams living in the basement of the Serie A, Botafogo holding 17th place and Avai lying 20th. A good chance for both teams to improve their position.

These are busy days for the home team, as they were in action only four days ago in the Serie A. Thankfully the previous game, versus Flamengo, was also a home game here at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos. The away team is better rested.

Avaí have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 1100 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

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Botafogo form and stats

7-1-7 (win-draw-lost) are the Serie A numbers at home for Botafogo so far this season. Regardless of arena the trend is looking very unhealthy for Botafogo with their four defeats in a row. Not since the CSA game, 21 days ago, have they avoided a loss. Two defeats in a row at home hurts for Botafogo, their manager Alberto Valentim and the supporters. There are certain expectations for improvement.

Botafogo's previous game was also a home match, the defeat 0-1 versus Flamengo (placed 1st). Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Santos (1-4).

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Botafogo's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played three games, won 2 matches, drawn 1 and lost 0.

Botafogo has scored 15 league goals at home this season, in 15 matches. Botafogo's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 15 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Avaí form and stats

There's been little loot from Avaí's travels as they have only collected 7 points from 15 away games in the Serie A. Avaí, who have the fewest scored goals (16) in Serie A, only have 2 wins to counter their 12 defeats and 1 draw. Avaí are desperate to end a eleven-game winless run, as they haven't won a game since the Atlético Mineiro fixture. It's all red in the travel logs of Avaí, having lost five matches in a row as the visiting team.

The manager Evando was unhappy after their last game, a Serie A match played at their home ground Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos. Avaí suffered a 1-2 loss to Santos (placed 3rd). It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Goias wasn't a success with a 0-2 loss.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Avaí when being an outsider away as they are today, we find one match with the visitors losing 0 times, drawing 1 and winning 0 games.

There's been a serious shortage of goals from Avaí's away games in the league this season with only 7 goals from 15 matches. In the opposite end, Avaí have conceded 27 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

The two sides played each other earlier this season: Avaí - Botafogo 0-2. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: 3 wins for Botafogo, 5 draws and 2 wins for Avaí. Over 2,5 goals: 4 times; under 2,5 goals: 6 games.

Top Goalscorers

AvaíJoão Paulo
João Paulo
4 goals
BotafogoAlex Santana
Alex Santana
3 goals
Avaí
Juninho
3 goals

Botafogo missing players

Avaí missing players

Botafogo Avaí
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
31 15 4 Played P 4 15 31
10 7 1 Won W 1 2 3
3 1 1 Drew D 0 1 8
18 7 2 Lost L 3 12 20
26 15 2 Scored S 2 7 16
40 15 4 Conceded C 5 27 49
90% 93% 75% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 87%
55% 47% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 25% 60% 65%
39% 40% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 27% 32%
16% 13% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 20% 16%
13% 7% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 7% 3%
35% 40% 25% BTTS BTTS 25% 33% 39%
23% 20% 25% Clean Sheets C S 25% 13% 23%
52% 47% 75% Failed to Score F T 50% 53% 52%
 
3.7 4.6 6.5 Corners For (avg) C F 3.2 4.2 5.2
6.8 6 3.2 Corners Against (avg) C A 8 7.9 6.2
2.5 3.2 2.2 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1.8 1.5 2.1
3 2 0 Red Cards R C 0 1 8
Key stats this season:
  • Avaí have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Avaí have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Avaí haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Botafogo have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Botafogo have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Avaí have scored away.
  • Botafogo have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Flamengo 32 24 5 3 68 26 16 15 1 0 42 12 16 9 4 3 26 14 42 77
2 Palmeiras 32 19 10 3 51 24 16 12 4 0 33 7 16 7 6 3 18 17 27 67
3 Santos 32 19 7 6 48 28 15 11 3 1 33 13 17 8 4 5 15 15 20 64
4 Gremio 32 16 8 8 55 32 16 10 3 3 33 17 16 6 5 5 22 15 23 56
5 São Paulo 32 14 10 8 32 23 17 8 6 3 20 11 15 6 4 5 12 12 9 52
6 Atletico PR 32 14 8 10 45 31 16 9 3 4 22 11 16 5 5 6 23 20 14 50
7 Internacional 32 14 7 11 37 32 16 10 5 1 23 10 16 4 2 10 14 22 5 49
8 Corinthians 32 12 13 7 36 29 16 9 6 1 21 11 16 3 7 6 15 18 7 49
9 Bahia 32 11 10 11 35 33 16 7 5 4 21 15 16 4 5 7 14 18 2 43
10 Goias 32 12 6 14 34 50 16 9 3 4 23 16 16 3 3 10 11 34 -16 42
11 Vasco da Gama 32 11 9 12 31 37 16 6 4 6 17 20 16 5 5 6 14 17 -6 42
12 Atlético Mineiro 32 11 7 14 38 43 16 8 2 6 24 21 16 3 5 8 14 22 -5 40
13 Fortaleza 32 11 6 15 39 44 16 8 2 6 19 15 16 3 4 9 20 29 -5 39
14 Ceará 32 10 6 16 32 32 16 8 4 4 21 11 16 2 2 12 11 21 0 36
15 Cruzeiro 32 7 14 11 26 36 16 5 7 4 13 14 16 2 7 7 13 22 -10 35
16 Fluminense 32 9 7 16 32 43 16 5 5 6 16 14 16 4 2 10 16 29 -11 34
17 Botafogo 31 10 3 18 26 40 15 7 1 7 15 15 16 3 2 11 11 25 -14 33
18 CSA 32 7 8 17 21 47 16 6 5 5 15 19 16 1 3 12 6 28 -26 29
19 Chapecoense 32 4 10 18 25 48 16 2 5 9 12 21 16 2 5 9 13 27 -23 22
20 Avaí 31 3 8 20 16 49 16 1 7 8 9 22 15 2 1 12 7 27 -33 17

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