Soccer betting preview: Atlético Mineiro welcomes Santos in what could be a tight duel

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: Sun 20.October
Match begins: 21:00 (UTC)
Venue: Independencia (23018 seats)

This could be an interesting match as Atlético Mineiro have their presumed home advantage while Santos are ahead 19 points in the Serie A table.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Atlético Mineiro and Santos.

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Atlético Mineiro form and stats

Atlético Mineiro, who have the fewest clean sheets (3) in Serie A, have collected 20 points from their Serie A home games so far after 6-2-5. The Atlético Mineiro manager Vágner Mancini might feel some added pressure to get something from this game after two straight home defeats.

Atlético Mineiro drew their last game, 2-2 away at CSA (placed 18th). Ahead of that match, Atlético Mineiro lost 1-4 at home to Gremio.

A case of two points dropped for Atlético Mineiro in the CSA match as a lead 2-1 was lost and what looked like a victory ended in a draw.

This is expected to be a close game, with Atlético Mineiro perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Atlético Mineiro as a small favourite), we find five games. Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of these, drawn 2 and lost 1.

A decent goal production from Atlético Mineiro in their home games so far, with 20 goals from 13 league matches. Atlético Mineiro have conceded 19 in these home matches.

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Santos form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Serie A travels is 6 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats.

Santos are travelling after their nice 2-1 home win in the Serie A against Ceara (placed 17th). Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Internacional that ended 0-0.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Santos playing away and similar expectations, we found seven relevant matches. Results were 3 Santos wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats.

The visitors have scored 10 goals from 13 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (12 so far).

Head 2 Head

Atlético Mineiro and Santos have met before this season: Santos - Atlético Mineiro 3-1. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: 3 - 1 - 6 (Atlético Mineiro wins - draws - Santos wins). As for goals, 7 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 3 had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

SantosEduardo Sasha
Eduardo Sasha
10 goals / 1 assists
SantosC. Sánchez
C. Sánchez
7 goals / 6 assists
Atlético MineiroJ. Cazares
J. Cazares
4 goals

Atlético Mineiro missing players

Santos missing players

Atlético Mineiro Santos
Total Home Home vs top Statistics Stat Away vs mid Away Total
26 13 4 Played P 3 13 26
9 6 1 Won W 3 6 15
5 2 1 Drew D 0 3 6
12 5 2 Lost L 0 4 5
32 20 4 Scored S 4 10 38
37 19 7 Conceded C 1 12 24
96% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 85% 88%
77% 92% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 38% 62%
62% 69% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 23% 42%
27% 31% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 15% 23%
4% 8% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 12%
65% 69% 75% BTTS BTTS 33% 23% 38%
12% 15% 0% Clean Sheets C S 67% 54% 46%
27% 15% 25% Failed to Score F T 0% 38% 27%
 
5.7 6.1 8 Corners For (avg) C F 3.7 3.8 5.3
6 5.2 6.5 Corners Against (avg) C A 8.3 5.7 4.8
1.9 1.5 1.5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 3 3 2.8
4 2 1 Red Cards R C 1 4 5
Key stats This season:
  • Atlético Mineiro have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Atlético Mineiro haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Santos have won significantly less corners away then at home.

Atlético Mineiro
All Mineiro 1 Copa Libertadores Copa do Brasil Serie A Copa Sudamericana
All Home Away Home vs top
03-10-19 SA Atlético Mineiro 1 - 2 Vasco da Gama
06-10-19 SA Palmeiras 1 - 1 Atlético Mineiro
11-10-19 SA Flamengo 3 - 1 Atlético Mineiro
14-10-19 SA Atlético Mineiro 1 - 4 Gremio
17-10-19 SA CSA 2 - 2 Atlético Mineiro
20-10-19 SA Atlético Mineiro 21:00 Santos
27-10-19 SA São Paulo 20:00 Atlético Mineiro
30-10-19 SA Atlético Mineiro 23:30 Chapecoense
02-11-19 SA Fortaleza 21:00 Atlético Mineiro
06-11-19 SA Atlético Mineiro 23:30 Goiás
Santos
All Copa Libertadores Copa do Brasil Serie A Premier League Paulista A1 Copa Sudamericana
All Home Away Away vs mid
29-09-19 SA Santos 2 - 0 CSA
05-10-19 SA Vasco da Gama 0 - 1 Santos
10-10-19 SA Santos 2 - 0 Palmeiras
13-10-19 SA Internacional 0 - 0 Santos
18-10-19 SA Santos 2 - 1 Ceara
20-10-19 SA Atlético Mineiro 21:00 Santos
26-10-19 SA Corinthians 22:00 Santos
31-10-19 SA Santos 23:15 Bahia
03-11-19 SA Santos 23:00 Botafogo
07-11-19 SA Avaí 01:00 Santos

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Flamengo 26 19 4 3 55 22 12 11 1 0 32 10 14 8 3 3 23 12 33 61
2 Palmeiras 26 15 8 3 41 20 13 10 3 0 28 6 13 5 5 3 13 14 21 53
3 Santos 26 15 6 5 38 24 13 9 3 1 28 12 13 6 3 4 10 12 14 51
4 Corinthians 27 11 11 5 30 20 14 8 5 1 18 9 13 3 6 4 12 11 10 44
5 São Paulo 26 11 10 5 26 17 13 6 6 1 17 8 13 5 4 4 9 9 9 43
6 Internacional 26 12 6 8 31 23 13 9 4 0 20 7 13 3 2 8 11 16 8 42
7 Gremio 27 11 8 8 44 30 13 7 3 3 26 16 14 4 5 5 18 14 14 41
8 Bahia 26 11 8 7 29 22 13 7 4 2 17 9 13 4 4 5 12 13 7 41
9 Athletico PR 26 11 5 10 37 28 12 7 1 4 16 9 14 4 4 6 21 19 9 38
10 Goiás 26 11 4 11 27 37 13 8 2 3 19 11 13 3 2 8 8 26 -10 37
11 Vasco da Gama 26 9 7 10 24 31 14 6 4 4 15 15 12 3 3 6 9 16 -7 34
12 Atlético Mineiro 26 9 5 12 32 37 13 6 2 5 20 19 13 3 3 7 12 18 -5 32
13 Fortaleza 27 9 4 14 30 37 14 7 1 6 16 13 13 2 3 8 14 24 -7 31
14 Botafogo 26 9 3 14 23 29 12 6 1 5 13 11 14 3 2 9 10 18 -6 30
15 Fluminense 26 8 5 13 28 36 14 5 3 6 15 13 12 3 2 7 13 23 -8 29
16 Cruzeiro 27 6 10 11 22 34 13 5 4 4 11 12 14 1 6 7 11 22 -12 28
17 Ceara 26 7 5 14 25 28 13 6 3 4 16 10 13 1 2 10 9 18 -3 26
18 CSA 26 6 8 12 17 37 14 5 5 4 13 15 12 1 3 8 4 22 -20 26
19 Avaí 26 3 8 15 13 39 13 1 7 5 6 15 13 2 1 10 7 24 -26 17
20 Chapecoense 26 3 7 16 19 40 13 2 4 7 10 15 13 1 3 9 9 25 -21 16

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