Serie A prediction and preview: Cruzeiro modest favorites to beat Bahia

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: Sun 03.November
Match begins: 23:00 (UTC)
Venue: Independencia (23018 seats)

Cruzeiro hope to sell some tickets for this game even though the season has been rough so far with 32 points and a 16th position in the Serie A table. Visiting Bahia holds 9th place with 41 pts.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 1400 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

W D W W D

Cruzeiro form and stats

The story so far in the Serie A for Cruzeiro at their home stadium (Independencia) is 5 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats.

Cruzeiro are returning here after visiting Botafogo in a Serie A game and winning with a 2-0 scoreline. In the match before that, Cruzeiro hosted Fortaleza and drew the game 1-1.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Cruzeiro handle that role? We have found four games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The win/draw/lost stats in these games are W1-D3-L0.

There will be little rest for Cruzeiro after this match as they are travelling to Athletico PR for a Serie A game in only three days.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Cruzeiro here at Independencia in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (12 from 14 games). Cruzeiro are not conceding a lot of goals here at Independencia in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 13 from 14 matches.

L L L W L

Bahia form and stats

The visitors are W4-D4-L6 on the road this term. That's in the Serie A. Three has not been a lucky number for Bahia as they have been defeated three times in a row since the Grêmio match.

Two away games in a row for Bahia, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 0-1 versus Santos in the Serie A. The game before that, was lost at home, a 2-3 defeat against Internacional.

We have checked recent matches where Bahia have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 13 games were W4-D2-L7.

A new game in only three days for Bahia, the Serie A home match versus Chapecoense. Busy days.

The attacking power of Bahia when travelling is not overwhelming with 12 goals scored from 14 league matches away. 14 goals have been conceded by Bahia in these games.

Head 2 Head

Bahia - Cruzeiro 0-0 was the story when these teams last met, earlier this season. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's 5 Cruzeiro victories, 3 draws and 2 Bahia wins. 5 of these games ended with three goals or more, 5 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

CruzeiroThiago Neves
Thiago Neves
6 goals
CruzeiroFred
Fred
5 goals
BahiaFernandão
Fernandão
5 goals

Cruzeiro missing players

Bahia missing players

Cruzeiro Bahia
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
29 14 5 Played P 5 14 29
7 5 2 Won W 1 4 11
11 5 2 Drew D 2 4 8
11 4 1 Lost L 2 6 10
25 12 4 Scored S 4 12 32
35 13 4 Conceded C 5 14 28
83% 79% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 60% 79% 83%
66% 57% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 50% 55%
34% 29% 20% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 29% 34%
17% 7% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 21% 21%
7% 7% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 7% 14%
52% 43% 40% BTTS BTTS 20% 29% 38%
34% 50% 40% Clean Sheets C S 60% 50% 48%
31% 29% 40% Failed to Score F T 60% 43% 31%
 
4.7 4.9 5.8 Corners For (avg) C F 4.8 4.1 4.8
5 3.9 5.4 Corners Against (avg) C A 6.6 6 5.6
2.4 2 1.8 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1 2.1 1.8
3 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 1 4

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Flamengo 29 21 5 3 60 24 14 13 1 0 35 10 15 8 4 3 25 14 36 68
2 Palmeiras 29 17 9 3 47 22 14 11 3 0 31 6 15 6 6 3 16 16 25 60
3 Santos 29 16 7 6 39 26 14 10 3 1 29 12 15 6 4 5 10 14 13 55
4 Sao Paulo 29 13 10 6 29 20 15 8 6 1 20 8 14 5 4 5 9 12 9 49
5 Grêmio 29 13 8 8 50 31 14 8 3 3 29 16 15 5 5 5 21 15 19 47
6 Internacional 29 13 7 9 35 27 15 9 5 1 21 9 14 4 2 8 14 18 8 46
7 Corinthians 29 11 12 6 31 22 15 8 6 1 18 9 14 3 6 5 13 13 9 45
8 Athletico PR 29 12 7 10 43 31 14 8 2 4 21 11 15 4 5 6 22 20 12 43
9 Bahia 29 11 8 10 32 28 15 7 4 4 20 14 14 4 4 6 12 14 4 41
10 Goias 29 11 6 12 32 45 14 8 3 3 21 13 15 3 3 9 11 32 -13 39
11 Vasco da Gama 29 10 8 11 27 35 15 6 4 5 16 18 14 4 4 6 11 17 -8 38
12 Fortaleza 29 10 5 14 34 39 14 7 1 6 16 13 15 3 4 8 18 26 -5 35
13 Atletico Mineiro 29 10 5 14 34 41 15 7 2 6 22 21 14 3 3 8 12 20 -7 35
14 Botafogo 29 10 3 16 25 35 14 7 1 6 15 14 15 3 2 10 10 21 -10 33
15 Ceara 29 9 6 14 30 30 15 7 4 4 19 11 14 2 2 10 11 19 0 33
16 Cruzeiro 29 7 11 11 25 35 14 5 5 4 12 13 15 2 6 7 13 22 -10 32
17 Fluminense 29 8 6 15 29 41 15 5 4 6 16 14 14 3 2 9 13 27 -12 30
18 CSA 29 7 8 14 20 41 15 6 5 4 15 16 14 1 3 10 5 25 -21 29
19 Chapecoense 29 4 9 16 24 43 14 2 5 7 12 17 15 2 4 9 12 26 -19 21
20 Avai 29 3 8 18 15 45 15 1 7 7 8 20 14 2 1 11 7 25 -30 17