Soccer betting preview: Fortaleza welcomes Ceará in what could be a tight duel

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: Sun 10.November
Match begins: 22:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Castelao (67000 seats)

Season ticket holders at Estadio Castelao haven’t seen too many victories this season, with Fortaleza languishing in the 14th position so far. The guesting Ceará will be hopeful to defend their higher league position in this one.

It's no vacation for neither Fortaleza nor Ceará as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

This is a local derby, usually meaning added tension and importance.

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Fortaleza form and stats

When playing at home in the Serie A, Fortaleza have managed 7 wins, 2 draws and suffered 6 defeats from 15 games.

In their previous game, the manager Rogério Ceni led his Fortaleza to a defeat in the Serie A match away at Corinthians. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Estadio Castelao. In the match before that, Fortaleza hosted Atlético Mineiro and drew the game 2-2.

This is expected to be a close game, with Fortaleza perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Fortaleza as a small favourite), we find six games. Fortaleza has won 2 of these, drawn 3 and lost 1.

Fortaleza has scored 18 league goals at home this season, in 15 matches. On the other hand, Fortaleza have conceded 15 goals.

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Ceará form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Ceará, who have the fewest clean sheets (0) away in Serie A, so far with only 8 points returning home. The records show 2-2-11 (win-draw-lose).

The supporters enjoyed Ceará's previous game versus Internacional (placed 8th), a Serie A 2-0 win played at home. It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Palmeiras wasn't a success with a 0-1 loss.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Ceará playing away and similar expectations, we found seven relevant matches. Results were 2 Ceará wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Ceará as they have only managed to score 11 times from 15 away games in the league. Ceará have conceded 20 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

These teams' last encounter with each other was the Ceará - Fortaleza 2-1 earlier this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Fortaleza 3 wins, 3 draws and Ceará 4 victories. As for goals, 3 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 7 games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

FortalezaEderson
Ederson
3 goals
CearáChico
Chico
3 goals

Fortaleza missing players

Ceará missing players

Fortaleza Ceará
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
31 15 5 Played P 4 15 31
10 7 2 Won W 1 2 10
6 2 2 Drew D 1 2 6
15 6 1 Lost L 2 11 15
38 18 7 Scored S 3 11 32
44 15 5 Conceded C 4 20 31
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 90%
74% 67% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 53% 58%
48% 40% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 47% 42%
29% 13% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 7% 10%
10% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 3%
55% 47% 60% BTTS BTTS 50% 53% 42%
16% 27% 20% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 26%
29% 27% 20% Failed to Score F T 50% 47% 42%
 
3.9 4.2 4.6 Corners For (avg) C F 4.8 6.5 6.9
6 5.5 4.4 Corners Against (avg) C A 6.2 5.7 4.9
2.3 2.5 2.6 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1.8 2.3 2.1
5 2 1 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • Ceará have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Ceará have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Ceará haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Fortaleza haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Flamengo 31 23 5 3 65 25 15 14 1 0 39 11 16 9 4 3 26 14 40 74
2 Palmeiras 31 19 9 3 50 23 15 12 3 0 32 6 16 7 6 3 18 17 27 66
3 Santos 31 18 7 6 45 28 15 11 3 1 33 13 16 7 4 5 12 15 17 61
4 Grêmio 31 15 8 8 54 32 16 10 3 3 33 17 15 5 5 5 21 15 22 53
5 São Paulo 31 14 10 7 32 22 16 8 6 2 20 10 15 6 4 5 12 12 10 52
6 Corinthians 31 12 12 7 35 28 16 9 6 1 21 11 15 3 6 6 14 17 7 48
7 Athletico PR 31 13 8 10 44 31 16 9 3 4 22 11 15 4 5 6 22 20 13 47
8 Internacional 31 13 7 11 35 31 15 9 5 1 21 9 16 4 2 10 14 22 4 46
9 Bahia 31 11 10 10 34 30 16 7 5 4 21 15 15 4 5 6 13 15 4 43
10 Goiás 31 12 6 13 34 47 15 9 3 3 23 13 16 3 3 10 11 34 -13 42
11 Atlético Mineiro 31 11 6 14 38 43 16 8 2 6 24 21 15 3 4 8 14 22 -5 39
12 Vasco da Gama 31 10 9 12 28 37 16 6 4 6 17 20 15 4 5 6 11 17 -9 39
13 Ceará 31 10 6 15 32 31 16 8 4 4 21 11 15 2 2 11 11 20 1 36
14 Fortaleza 31 10 6 15 38 44 15 7 2 6 18 15 16 3 4 9 20 29 -6 36
15 Fluminense 31 9 7 15 31 41 16 5 5 6 16 14 15 4 2 9 15 27 -10 34
16 Cruzeiro 31 7 13 11 26 36 15 5 6 4 13 14 16 2 7 7 13 22 -10 34
17 Botafogo 31 10 3 18 26 40 15 7 1 7 15 15 16 3 2 11 11 25 -14 33
18 CSA 31 7 8 16 21 44 15 6 5 4 15 16 16 1 3 12 6 28 -23 29
19 Chapecoense 31 4 10 17 25 47 15 2 5 8 12 20 16 2 5 9 13 27 -22 22
20 Avaí 31 3 8 20 16 49 16 1 7 8 9 22 15 2 1 12 7 27 -33 17