Possible nail-biting contest in Toluca - Guadalajara game

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Date: Sun 03.November
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Nemesio Diez (31000 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the league table, with both teams experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic “six-pointer” with the home team placed 15th and the visitors in 16th place.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Toluca and Guadalajara.

One slightly interesting match fact is that this game is played on grass and that the visiting Guadalajara have a different surface at their stadium (artificial turf). The impact of this is hard to measure exactly, but the visitors stats on grass is 11-14-9 (win-draw-loss) from 34 matches.

L W W D W

Toluca form and stats

The story so far in the Liga MX for Toluca at their home stadium (Estadio Nemesio Diez) is 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats.

Toluca lost their last game at Tigres UANL (placed 5th) after a 0-1 scoreline. Before that game, the 2-0 home victory against Pachuca.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Toluca have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found five matches with the results: Won 2 Drawn 1 Lost 2.

Toluca has scored 8 league goals at home this season, in 7 matches. On the other hand, Toluca have conceded 7 goals.

L W D D W

Guadalajara form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Guadalajara so far with only 6 points returning home. The records show 1-3-4 (win-draw-lose).

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a Liga MX home defeat versus Tijuana with 0-1 on the scoreboard. Prior to that result Guadalajara won their away game at Juarez. The scoreline was 2-1.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Guadalajara playing away and similar expectations, we found eleven relevant matches. Results were 2 Guadalajara wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats.

The schedule is very tough for Guadalajara now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Copa MX game at Santos Laguna is waiting in only three days.

Guadalajara have scored 9 goals on their travels this season, from 8 away games in the league. For Guadalajara, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's 2 Toluca victories, 6 draws and 2 Guadalajara wins. 3 of these games ended with three goals or more, 7 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

GuadalajaraA. Pulido
A. Pulido
7 goals
TolucaF. Pardo
F. Pardo
2 goals
TolucaA. Canelo
A. Canelo
2 goals

Toluca missing players

Guadalajara missing players

Toluca Guadalajara
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
15 7 3 Played P 2 8 15
4 3 2 Won W 1 1 4
4 1 1 Drew D 1 3 4
7 3 0 Lost L 0 4 7
13 8 6 Scored S 3 9 19
17 7 2 Conceded C 2 16 24
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
80% 86% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 88% 80%
13% 14% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 50% 47%
7% 14% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 25% 20%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 25% 20%
40% 29% 67% BTTS BTTS 100% 75% 60%
20% 29% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 20%
40% 43% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 25% 20%
 
4.5 5.6 6.7 Corners For (avg) C F 6 6.1 5.9
4.2 5 6.3 Corners Against (avg) C A 4.5 6.4 5.1
2.1 2.4 3 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 3.5 2.2 2.3
3 2 1 Red Cards R C 1 3 5
Key stats this season:
  • Guadalajara have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Guadalajara have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Guadalajara haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Toluca have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Toluca have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Toluca haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Santos Laguna 15 9 3 3 33 21 8 7 1 0 24 5 7 2 2 3 9 16 12 30
2 Necaxa 15 8 4 3 30 18 8 3 4 1 18 9 7 5 0 2 12 9 12 28
3 America 16 7 7 2 26 20 8 5 3 0 18 8 8 2 4 2 8 12 6 28
4 Querétaro 15 8 3 4 26 15 7 4 1 2 12 9 8 4 2 2 14 6 11 27
5 Tigres UANL 15 7 6 2 24 13 8 4 3 1 15 7 7 3 3 1 9 6 11 27
6 Leon 15 7 5 3 31 21 7 3 4 0 14 10 8 4 1 3 17 11 10 26
7 Tijuana 15 7 3 5 25 27 7 4 3 0 13 8 8 3 0 5 12 19 -2 24
8 Morelia 15 7 2 6 26 20 8 4 1 3 14 8 7 3 1 3 12 12 6 23
9 Pumas UNAM 15 6 3 6 19 16 8 5 1 2 15 6 7 1 2 4 4 10 3 21
10 Atlas 16 6 3 7 18 22 8 3 1 4 9 9 8 3 2 3 9 13 -4 21
11 Cruz Azul 16 4 8 4 21 20 8 3 4 1 14 9 8 1 4 3 7 11 1 20
12 Monterrey 15 6 2 7 20 22 7 4 1 2 11 9 8 2 1 5 9 13 -2 20
13 Pachuca 15 5 3 7 28 25 8 3 0 5 13 13 7 2 3 2 15 12 3 18
14 Atletico San Luis 15 5 2 8 19 25 8 1 2 5 7 13 7 4 0 3 12 12 -6 17
15 Toluca 15 4 4 7 13 17 7 3 1 3 8 7 8 1 3 4 5 10 -4 16
16 Guadalajara 15 4 4 7 19 24 7 3 1 3 10 8 8 1 3 4 9 16 -5 16
17 Juarez 15 4 2 9 12 24 7 3 1 3 8 7 8 1 1 6 4 17 -12 14
18 Puebla 15 3 4 8 14 27 7 2 1 4 7 14 8 1 3 4 7 13 -13 13
19 Veracruz 15 1 4 10 9 36 8 1 3 4 8 16 7 0 1 6 1 20 -27 7