Liga MX match prediction: Little separates Puebla and Toluca in quality

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Competition: Sat 29.August
Match begins: 00:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc (51726 seats)

This could be an interesting match as Puebla have their presumed home advantage while Toluca are ahead 5 points in the Liga MX table.

Puebla and Toluca should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

L L L W D

Puebla form and stats

Puebla are yet to win a home game, having collected 1 point from their first two Liga MX games here at Estadio Cuauhtémoc. With three straight defeats the pressure is piling up on Puebla to get some points in this home game.

Times are rough for the home team, having gone 212 minutes without scoring a league goal. S. Ormeno was the last player to find the net.

No payout for Puebla in their previous match, an away game at Tijuana that ended in defeat 0-1. Preceding that match was the home game against Pachuca that was lost 0-1.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Puebla have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found eleven matches with the results: Won four, drawn two and lost five.

Early season league goal statistics from Puebla's 2 home games: 1 goal, 2 conceded.

W W W L W

Toluca form and stats

Toluca are doing rather OK so far in their away games in the Liga MX, having played 3 games and collected 3 points (1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses).

Toluca won their last game, 1-0 versus Guadalajara played at home. Prior to that match, a home win 3-2 against Tigres UANL.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found 13 similar matches played by Toluca in our archives, and the results are: two wins for Toluca, one draw and ten defeats.

The visiting Toluca have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 4 goals from 3 games. For Toluca, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: four - two - four (Puebla wins - draws - Toluca wins). As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), seven had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

TolucaA. Canelo
A. Canelo
5 goals
PueblaS. Ormeño Zayas
S. Ormeño Zayas
3 goals
TolucaM. Estrada Martínez
M. Estrada Martínez
2 goals

Puebla missing players

Toluca missing players

Puebla Toluca
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
6 2 2 Played P 1 3 6
2 0 0 Won W 0 1 4
1 1 1 Drew D 0 0 0
3 1 1 Lost L 1 2 2
7 1 1 Scored S 1 4 11
6 2 2 Conceded C 3 6 10
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
50% 50% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 83%
33% 0% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 100% 83%
17% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 33% 50%
17% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 33%
50% 50% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 100% 83%
17% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 17%
33% 50% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 0%
 
4 2.5 2.5 Corners for (avg) C F 2 4.3 4.2
6 6.5 6.5 Corners against (avg) C A 2 2.3 4
2 1 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.7 3
3 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
59 14 14 Total Shots T S 11 32 67
20 2 2 Shots on Target S O 5 13 27
35% 50% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 20% 31% 41%
Key stats in Liga MX this season:
  • All of Toluca's away-matches have had more than 2,5 goals.
  • Puebla has the fewest points (1) at home
  • Puebla have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won at home.
  • Puebla have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Puebla have yet to win a game at home.
  • Puebla haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Toluca has the most conceded goals in the first half (7)
  • Toluca have scored in all their matches so far.
  • Toluca haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Cruz Azul 6 4 1 1 11 5 3 3 0 0 7 2 3 1 1 1 4 3 6 13
2 Toluca 6 4 0 2 11 10 3 3 0 0 7 4 3 1 0 2 4 6 1 12
3 León 6 3 2 1 4 3 2 2 0 0 3 1 4 1 2 1 1 2 1 11
4 América 6 3 1 2 12 10 3 2 0 1 8 4 3 1 1 1 4 6 2 10
5 Pumas UNAM 6 2 4 0 8 6 3 1 2 0 5 4 3 1 2 0 3 2 2 10
6 Pachuca 6 3 1 2 8 7 4 2 0 2 6 6 2 1 1 0 2 1 1 10
7 Monterrey 6 2 3 1 10 7 3 1 2 0 6 4 3 1 1 1 4 3 3 9
8 Tigres UANL 6 2 3 1 9 6 3 1 2 0 4 3 3 1 1 1 5 3 3 9
9 Necaxa 6 2 2 2 5 7 4 2 1 1 4 5 2 0 1 1 1 2 -2 8
10 Querétaro 6 2 1 3 8 7 3 2 1 0 6 2 3 0 0 3 2 5 1 7
11 Puebla 6 2 1 3 7 6 2 0 1 1 1 2 4 2 0 2 6 4 1 7
12 Guadalajara 6 2 1 3 4 5 3 1 1 1 2 2 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 7
13 Tijuana 6 2 1 3 5 9 4 2 1 1 4 3 2 0 0 2 1 6 -4 7
14 Juárez 6 1 3 2 5 7 3 1 1 1 1 2 3 0 2 1 4 5 -2 6
15 Atlético San Luis 6 1 2 3 8 10 3 0 2 1 3 5 3 1 0 2 5 5 -2 5
16 Santos Laguna 6 1 2 3 6 9 2 1 1 0 2 0 4 0 1 3 4 9 -3 5
17 Atlas 6 1 2 3 5 8 3 1 0 2 3 4 3 0 2 1 2 4 -3 5
18 Mazatlán 6 1 2 3 7 11 3 1 1 1 3 5 3 0 1 2 4 6 -4 5

Read more about Liga MX

Liga MX is the top division in the Mexican football league system. Each season the league has two tournaments, Apertura (opening) and Clausura (closing). This means that the Liga MX has two champions per season. The Liga MX is the fourth most attended football league in the world.