Soccer betting preview: Morelia welcomes Cruz Azul in what could be a tight duel

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Competition: Sat 29.February
Match begins: 03:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón (35000 seats)

This could be an interesting match as Morelia have their presumed home advantage while Cruz Azul are ahead 5 points in the Liga MX table.

It’s a hectic schedule for the away team, as they were in action only three days ago in the CONCACAF Champions League.

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Morelia form and stats

Morelia have played three Liga MX home games so far, perhaps enough to set expectations for the season. In that case, only 1 point from these matches could be a signal of rough times ahead.

It's back home for Morelia, who return with a good feeling about themselves after beating Pumas UNAM away with the result 2-1. Miguel Sansores found the net in that victory. Preceding that game was the home draw versus Tijuana that ended 0-0.

The victory against Pumas UNAM came after Miguel Sansores's winning goal. The Morelia manager P. Guede Barriero was very happy afterwards with the decision to bring on that player in the 55th minute. Some amazing scenes last match, when Miguel Sansores scored the winning goal one minutes into stoppage time.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Morelia have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found twelve matches with the results: Won two, drawn three and lost seven.

Morelia aren't scoring a lot here at Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón in the league, with only 2 goals from 3 games. Morelia have conceded 4 in these home matches.

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Cruz Azul form and stats

Things could have gone better for Cruz Azul in their Liga MX away matches, but 4 points from 3 games is all right.

Cruz Azul go into this game after a win, the home game against Portmore United that ended 4-0. Before that, Cruz Azul secured a home win against Tigres UANL with the score 2-1.

As you can tell from the results above, Cruz Azul was very dominant against Portmore United, winning the match with a scoreline that even the finest fortune teller couldn't predict. 4-0 (!) with O. Pineda, P. Ceppelini, L. Passerini and J. Borja providing the goals.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Cruz Azul playing away and similar expectations, we found nine relevant matches. Results were three Cruz Azul wins, three draws and three defeats.

The Cruz Azul manager R. Siboldi Badiola has got the team scoring on the road, with 6 away goals in 3 league matches. For Cruz Azul, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Cruz Azul - Morelia 2-3 played earlier this season. Morelia-Cruz Azul H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Morelia two wins, Cruz Azul three wins, five draws. three of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Cruz Azul
J. Rodríguez Portillo
12 goals
MoreliaF. Aristeguieta de Luca
F. Aristeguieta de Luca
8 goals
Morelia
A. Rocha González
5 goals

Morelia missing players

Cruz Azul missing players

Morelia Cruz Azul
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
29 14 4 Played P 4 12 25
12 6 2 Won W 1 2 9
6 3 1 Drew D 1 5 9
11 5 1 Lost L 2 5 7
47 24 8 Scored S 3 14 40
43 17 5 Conceded C 6 20 34
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 83% 92%
79% 64% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 83% 88%
55% 43% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 58% 56%
38% 36% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 33% 32%
24% 29% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 17% 16%
62% 50% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 67% 72%
17% 29% 50% Clean Sheets C S 25% 17% 20%
21% 21% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 33% 16%
 
4.3 5 3 Corners for (avg) C F 4.2 3.4 4.2
5.4 5.1 6.5 Corners against (avg) C A 7.2 5.6 5
2.4 2.6 2.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.8 2.3 2.2
6 3 2 Red cards R C 1 3 5
 
325 184 41 Total Shots T S 58 158 353
113 60 18 Shots on Target S O 15 41 105
42% 40% 44% Goal Efficiency G E 20% 34% 38%
Key stats in Liga MX this season:
  • Cruz Azul has the most dropped points from leading position (22)
  • Cruz Azul have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Cruz Azul have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Morelia has the fewest scored goals (2) at home
  • Morelia haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 América 7 5 1 1 8 4 3 2 0 1 4 3 4 3 1 0 4 1 4 16
2 León 7 5 0 2 16 10 4 4 0 0 11 3 3 1 0 2 5 7 6 15
3 Pumas UNAM 7 4 2 1 16 10 4 3 0 1 8 3 3 1 2 0 8 7 6 14
4 Cruz Azul 7 4 1 2 15 10 4 3 0 1 9 4 3 1 1 1 6 6 5 13
5 Querétaro 7 4 0 3 11 9 3 1 0 2 4 3 4 3 0 1 7 6 2 12
6 Atlético San Luis 7 3 3 1 9 9 3 2 1 0 7 4 4 1 2 1 2 5 0 12
7 Juárez 7 3 2 2 14 11 4 2 1 1 10 7 3 1 1 1 4 4 3 11
8 Santos Laguna 7 3 2 2 11 12 3 2 1 0 6 4 4 1 1 2 5 8 -1 11
9 Pachuca 7 3 1 3 7 8 3 2 1 0 3 0 4 1 0 3 4 8 -1 10
10 Guadalajara 7 2 3 2 8 9 3 1 1 1 5 4 4 1 2 1 3 5 -1 9
11 Necaxa 7 2 2 3 12 12 4 1 2 1 7 6 3 1 0 2 5 6 0 8
12 Morelia 7 2 2 3 9 11 3 0 1 2 2 4 4 2 1 1 7 7 -2 8
13 Tigres UANL 7 2 1 4 7 8 3 2 1 0 5 1 4 0 0 4 2 7 -1 7
14 Puebla 7 2 1 4 5 7 4 1 1 2 4 4 3 1 0 2 1 3 -2 7
15 Toluca 7 1 3 3 11 14 3 0 1 2 7 9 4 1 2 1 4 5 -3 6
16 Tijuana 7 1 3 3 5 9 4 1 2 1 3 3 3 0 1 2 2 6 -4 6
17 Atlas 7 2 0 5 6 12 4 1 0 3 3 7 3 1 0 2 3 5 -6 6
18 Monterrey 7 0 3 4 7 12 4 0 2 2 4 6 3 0 1 2 3 6 -5 3

Read more about Liga MX

Liga MX is the top division in the Mexican football league system. Each season the league has two tournaments, Apertura (opening) and Clausura (closing). This means that the Liga MX has two champions per season. The Liga MX is the fourth most attended football league in the world.