Liga MX prediction and preview: Pumas UNAM modest favorites to beat Morelia

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Competition: Sun 23.February
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Olímpico de Universitario (72000 seats)

Only a win will satisfy the Pumas UNAM supporters in this Estadio Olímpico de Universitario clash with Morelia, having a healthy lead on the opposition in the Liga MX table.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Pumas UNAM form and stats

As mentioned below, Pumas UNAM are feasting on a winning streak here so far with maximum points from their first 3 Liga MX games. It’s been three wins in a row for Pumas UNAM here at Estadio Olímpico de Universitario, hoping to make this one the fourth consecutive victory.

Pumas UNAM enjoyed a nice away win last time out, playing at Toluca's place. The match ended 3-2 with Pablo Barrera scoring. Before that, Pumas UNAM had a home game versus Atletico San Luis which ended with a victory 4-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Pumas UNAM have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won four times, drawn four and lost zero.

Goals decide football matches and Pumas UNAM are scoring many of them at home; 7 on target from 3 league matches. As for guarding their own goal, Pumas UNAM have only let in 1 goal at home.

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Morelia form and stats

Morelia are doing rather OK so far in their away games in the Liga MX, having played 3 games and collected 4 points (1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss).

Morelia's last game ended in a draw, the home match versus Tijuana that finished 1-1. It was a Copa MX defeat before that one as the away game against Tijuana wasn't a success with a 1-3 loss.

Morelia are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is four wins, five draws and four defeats. From a total of 13 matches.

The travelling fans enjoy Morelia's attacking play in away games, having scored 5 goals in 3 league matches away. The Morelia manager P. Guede Barriero has some worries about the defense as 6 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Morelia - Pumas UNAM 2-0 played earlier this season. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: three wins for Pumas UNAM, four draws and three wins for Morelia. Over 2,5 goals: seven times; under 2,5 goals: three games.

Top Goalscorers

Pumas UNAMC. González Espínola
C. González Espínola
9 goals
MoreliaF. Aristeguieta de Luca
F. Aristeguieta de Luca
8 goals
MoreliaA. Rocha González
A. Rocha González
5 goals

Pumas UNAM missing players

Morelia missing players

Pumas UNAM Morelia
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
24 12 3 Played P 7 14 28
10 8 3 Won W 2 5 11
7 2 0 Drew D 1 3 6
7 2 0 Lost L 4 6 11
36 23 8 Scored S 7 21 45
28 8 1 Conceded C 13 25 42
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
88% 83% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 86% 93% 79%
33% 42% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 57% 64% 54%
17% 17% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 29% 43% 39%
12% 8% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 14% 21% 25%
50% 50% 33% BTTS BTTS 57% 71% 61%
25% 42% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 7% 18%
25% 8% 0% Failed to Score F T 43% 21% 21%
 
6.1 5.9 9.7 Corners for (avg) C F 3.6 3.2 4.1
2.9 2.7 3.7 Corners against (avg) C A 6.1 5.6 5.3
2 1.8 1.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.1 2.4 2.5
1 1 0 Red cards R C 1 3 6
 
372 204 62 Total Shots T S 58 130 314
107 63 22 Shots on Target S O 19 48 108
34% 37% 36% Goal Efficiency G E 37% 44% 42%
Key stats in Liga MX this season:
  • Morelia have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Morelia have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Morelia haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Pumas UNAM has the fewest matches over the total-line (8)
  • Pumas UNAM has the most matches under the total-line (16)
  • Pumas UNAM has the most scored goals (15)
  • Pumas UNAM has the the best goal difference (+7)
  • Pumas UNAM have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Pumas UNAM have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Pumas UNAM have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.
  • Pumas UNAM haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Pumas UNAM is in the best form (4-2-0)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Pumas UNAM 6 4 2 0 15 8 3 3 0 0 7 1 3 1 2 0 8 7 7 14
2 America 6 4 1 1 7 4 3 2 0 1 4 3 3 2 1 0 3 1 3 13
3 Leon 6 4 0 2 14 9 3 3 0 0 9 2 3 1 0 2 5 7 5 12
4 Juarez 6 3 2 1 13 9 3 2 1 0 9 5 3 1 1 1 4 4 4 11
5 Cruz Azul 6 3 1 2 13 9 3 2 0 1 7 3 3 1 1 1 6 6 4 10
6 Queretaro 5 3 0 2 8 6 2 1 0 1 4 2 3 2 0 1 4 4 2 9
7 Atletico San Luis 6 2 3 1 8 9 3 2 1 0 7 4 3 0 2 1 1 5 -1 9
8 Necaxa 5 2 2 1 9 7 3 1 2 0 5 3 2 1 0 1 4 4 2 8
9 Tigres UANL 5 2 1 2 5 4 3 2 1 0 5 1 2 0 0 2 0 3 1 7
10 Pachuca 6 2 1 3 5 8 3 2 1 0 3 0 3 0 0 3 2 8 -3 7
11 Toluca 6 1 3 2 11 12 3 0 1 2 7 9 3 1 2 0 4 3 -1 6
12 Guadalajara 6 1 3 2 7 9 3 1 1 1 5 4 3 0 2 1 2 5 -2 6
13 Tijuana 6 1 3 2 5 8 3 1 2 0 3 2 3 0 1 2 2 6 -3 6
14 Atlas 6 2 0 4 6 10 3 1 0 2 3 5 3 1 0 2 3 5 -4 6
15 Morelia 6 1 2 3 7 10 3 0 1 2 2 4 3 1 1 1 5 6 -3 5
16 Santos Laguna 5 1 2 2 7 10 2 1 1 0 4 3 3 0 1 2 3 7 -3 5
17 Puebla 6 1 1 4 3 7 3 0 1 2 2 4 3 1 0 2 1 3 -4 4
18 Monterrey 6 0 3 3 7 11 3 0 2 1 4 5 3 0 1 2 3 6 -4 3

Read more about Liga MX

Liga MX is the top division in the Mexican football league system. Each season the league has two tournaments, Apertura (opening) and Clausura (closing). This means that the Liga MX has two champions per season. The Liga MX is the fourth most attended football league in the world.