Liga MX prediction and preview: Pachuca modest favorites to beat Querétaro

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Competition: Sat 29.February
Match begins: 23:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Hidalgo (25922 seats)

Pachuca will hope to utilise their home advantage to help bridge the gap to today’s opponents. The home side are currently 2 points behind Querétaro.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Pachuca form and stats

Seven points from three Liga MX home games is a great start for Pachuca, who are hoping to build on that form here at Estadio Hidalgo. The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Estadio Hidalgo.

Defensively the home team are doing well, with their goalkeeper Oscar Alfredo Ustari not having conceded a league goal in 185 minutes.

Pachuca enjoyed a nice away win last time out, playing at Atlas's place. The match ended 2-0 with Franco Jara (2) scoring. Prior to that, an away loss at Toluca in the Copa MX.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Pachuca have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found three games) they have won two times, drawn one and lost zero.

The Pachuca fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 3 in 3 matches. Pachuca have showed great defending skills in these home games, allowing the opposition to score only 0 goals.

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Querétaro form and stats

3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss. That’s the product of Querétaro playing as the away team in the Liga MX this season. Having won their last three away games Querétaro has no reason to fear anyone.

Querétaro might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. Atlético San Luis proved too strong as Querétaro slumped to a 0-1 defeat in front of their own fans at Estadio La Corregidora. Ahead of that match was the victory versus Necaxa at their stadium, the result 3-2.

We have checked recent matches where Querétaro have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those five games were one victory, two draws and two defeats.

Querétaro has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 7 goals from 4 games. Querétaro have conceded 6 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Querétaro - Pachuca 2-1. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's four Pachuca victories, two draws and four Querétaro wins. Over/under statistics; three of these games ended with three goals or more, seven matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Pachuca
F. Jara
11 goals
QuerétaroF. Castillo Sánchez
F. Castillo Sánchez
5 goals
Pachuca
R. Ibarra Mina
4 goals

Pachuca missing players

Querétaro missing players

Pachuca Querétaro
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
25 12 4 Played P 6 14 27
10 6 2 Won W 3 7 13
5 1 0 Drew D 0 2 4
10 5 2 Lost L 3 5 10
39 18 5 Scored S 9 23 44
34 13 4 Conceded C 9 18 34
92% 92% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 96%
84% 75% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 83% 86% 85%
56% 42% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 50% 63%
36% 33% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 36% 30%
16% 17% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 21% 15%
52% 42% 25% BTTS BTTS 33% 43% 48%
32% 42% 50% Clean Sheets C S 33% 36% 33%
24% 25% 25% Failed to Score F T 33% 21% 22%
 
5.7 7.3 7 Corners for (avg) C F 6 4.6 4.8
4.6 3.7 3.8 Corners against (avg) C A 3.7 3.9 4.1
1.8 1.4 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.7 2.2 2
5 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
371 198 70 Total Shots T S 81 182 363
114 57 21 Shots on Target S O 25 62 121
34% 32% 24% Goal Efficiency G E 36% 37% 36%
Key stats in Liga MX this season:
  • Pachuca has the fewest conceded goals (0) at home
  • Pachuca have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Querétaro haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 America 7 5 1 1 8 4 3 2 0 1 4 3 4 3 1 0 4 1 4 16
2 León 7 5 0 2 16 10 4 4 0 0 11 3 3 1 0 2 5 7 6 15
3 Juárez 8 4 2 2 17 11 4 2 1 1 10 7 4 2 1 1 7 4 6 14
4 Pumas UNAM 7 4 2 1 16 10 4 3 0 1 8 3 3 1 2 0 8 7 6 14
5 Cruz Azul 7 4 1 2 15 10 4 3 0 1 9 4 3 1 1 1 6 6 5 13
6 Querétaro 7 4 0 3 11 9 3 1 0 2 4 3 4 3 0 1 7 6 2 12
7 Atlético San Luis 8 3 3 2 9 12 4 2 1 1 7 7 4 1 2 1 2 5 -3 12
8 Santos Laguna 7 3 2 2 11 12 3 2 1 0 6 4 4 1 1 2 5 8 -1 11
9 Pachuca 7 3 1 3 7 8 3 2 1 0 3 0 4 1 0 3 4 8 -1 10
10 Toluca 8 2 3 3 13 14 4 1 1 2 9 9 4 1 2 1 4 5 -1 9
11 Guadalajara 7 2 3 2 8 9 3 1 1 1 5 4 4 1 2 1 3 5 -1 9
12 Necaxa 7 2 2 3 12 12 4 1 2 1 7 6 3 1 0 2 5 6 0 8
13 Morelia 7 2 2 3 9 11 3 0 1 2 2 4 4 2 1 1 7 7 -2 8
14 Tigres UANL 7 2 1 4 7 8 3 2 1 0 5 1 4 0 0 4 2 7 -1 7
15 Puebla 7 2 1 4 5 7 4 1 1 2 4 4 3 1 0 2 1 3 -2 7
16 Tijuana 7 1 3 3 5 9 4 1 2 1 3 3 3 0 1 2 2 6 -4 6
17 Atlas 7 2 0 5 6 12 4 1 0 3 3 7 3 1 0 2 3 5 -6 6
18 Monterrey 8 0 3 5 7 14 4 0 2 2 4 6 4 0 1 3 3 8 -7 3

Read more about Liga MX

Liga MX is the top division in the Mexican football league system. Each season the league has two tournaments, Apertura (opening) and Clausura (closing). This means that the Liga MX has two champions per season. The Liga MX is the fourth most attended football league in the world.