Serie A match prediction: Little separates Ceara and Vasco da Gama in quality

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Date: Sat 26.October
Match begins: 22:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Castelao (67000 seats)

Ceara hope to sell some tickets for this game even though the season has been rough so far with 29 points and a 15th position in the Serie A table. Visiting Vasco da Gama holds 11th place with 37 pts.

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

Vasco da Gama have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 2600 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

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Ceará form and stats

6 victories, 3 draws and 4 defeats. That’s what Ceará have to build on here at Estadio Castelao in the Serie A.

Happy days for Ceará in their previous game, a Serie A match away at Bahia (placed 8th) that ended with a 2-1 victory. Prior to that, an away loss at Santos.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Ceará have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found eight matches with the results: Won 4 Drawn 2 Lost 2.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Serie A game versus Fluminense in only four days. This game is also played here at Estadio Castelao.

Ceará are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 16 goals in 13 attempts. Ceará are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estadio Castelao in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 10 from 13 matches.

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Vasco da Gama form and stats

Playing away, Vasco da Gama have won 4 games, drawn 3 and suffered 6 defeats in the Serie A this season.

Two travels in a row for Vasco da Gama, whose manager Vanderlei Luxemburgo could celebrate last time after the Serie A win against Internacional. A home win before that, celebrating 2-1 vs Botafogo.

Goalkeeper Fernando Miguel was absolutely vital in the Vasco da Gama victory against Internacional, making 7 saves.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Vasco da Gama playing away and similar expectations, we found five relevant matches. Results were 4 Vasco da Gama wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Gremio in just four days.

The visitors have scored 10 goals from 13 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. 16 goals have been conceded by Vasco da Gama in these games.

Head 2 Head

Ceará and Vasco da Gama have met before this season: Vasco da Gama - Ceará 1-0. Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Ceará won 1 game, 3 matches ended with a draw and Vasco da Gama has 6 wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: 3 / 7

Top Goalscorers

Vasco da GamaMarrony
Marrony
5 goals
Vasco da GamaTiago Reis
Tiago Reis
4 goals

Ceará missing players

Vasco da Gama missing players

Ceará Vasco da Gama
Total Home Home vs mid Statistics Stat Away vs low Away Total
27 13 5 Played P 4 13 27
8 6 1 Won W 1 4 10
5 3 2 Drew D 2 3 7
14 4 2 Lost L 1 6 10
27 16 3 Scored S 3 10 25
29 10 4 Conceded C 3 16 31
89% 77% 60% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 92% 93%
56% 54% 40% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 54% 63%
48% 46% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 38% 37%
11% 15% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 8% 7%
4% 8% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 7%
44% 31% 40% BTTS BTTS 50% 46% 52%
22% 46% 40% Clean Sheets C S 25% 23% 26%
44% 46% 60% Failed to Score F T 50% 38% 30%
 
7 7.4 10 Corners For (avg) C F 6.8 5.2 5.3
4.7 3.8 4.2 Corners Against (avg) C A 4.8 5.2 4.6
2.1 1.8 1.4 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 3 3.2 2.6
0 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 2 2
Key stats this season:
  • Vasco da Gama have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Ceará
All Cearense 1 Copa do Nordeste Copa do Brasil Serie A
All Home Away Home vs mid
06-10-19 SA Ceará 0 - 1 Goias
10-10-19 SA Gremio 2 - 1 Ceará
13-10-19 SA Ceará 1 - 0 Avaí
18-10-19 SA Santos 2 - 1 Ceará
22-10-19 SA Bahia 1 - 2 Ceará
26-10-19 SA Ceará 22:00 Vasco da Gama
31-10-19 SA Ceará 01:30 Fluminense
02-11-19 SA Palmeiras 23:00 Ceará
07-11-19 SA Ceará 23:30 Internacional
10-11-19 SA Fortaleza 23:00 Ceará
Vasco da Gama
All Carioca 1 Copa Libertadores Copa do Brasil Serie A Copa Sudamericana
All Home Away Away vs low
05-10-19 SA Vasco da Gama 0 - 1 Santos
11-10-19 SA Avaí 0 - 0 Vasco da Gama
13-10-19 SA Vasco da Gama 1 - 0 Fortaleza
17-10-19 SA Vasco da Gama 2 - 1 Botafogo
20-10-19 SA Internacional 0 - 1 Vasco da Gama
26-10-19 SA Ceará 22:00 Vasco da Gama
31-10-19 SA Vasco da Gama 01:30 Gremio
02-11-19 SA Fluminense 23:00 Vasco da Gama
07-11-19 SA Vasco da Gama 01:30 Palmeiras
10-11-19 SA CSA 23:00 Vasco da Gama

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Flamengo 27 20 4 3 57 22 13 12 1 0 34 10 14 8 3 3 23 12 35 64
2 Palmeiras 27 15 9 3 42 21 13 10 3 0 28 6 14 5 6 3 14 15 21 54
3 Santos 27 15 6 6 38 26 13 9 3 1 28 12 14 6 3 5 10 14 12 51
4 São Paulo 27 12 10 5 27 17 14 7 6 1 18 8 13 5 4 4 9 9 10 46
5 Corinthians 27 11 11 5 30 20 14 8 5 1 18 9 13 3 6 4 12 11 10 44
6 Internacional 27 12 6 9 31 24 14 9 4 1 20 8 13 3 2 8 11 16 7 42
7 Gremio 27 11 8 8 44 30 13 7 3 3 26 16 14 4 5 5 18 14 14 41
8 Bahia 27 11 8 8 30 24 14 7 4 3 18 11 13 4 4 5 12 13 6 41
9 Atletico PR 27 11 6 10 38 29 13 7 2 4 17 10 14 4 4 6 21 19 9 39
10 Goias 27 11 5 11 29 39 13 8 2 3 19 11 14 3 3 8 10 28 -10 38
11 Vasco da Gama 27 10 7 10 25 31 14 6 4 4 15 15 13 4 3 6 10 16 -6 37
12 Atlético Mineiro 27 10 5 12 34 37 14 7 2 5 22 19 13 3 3 7 12 18 -3 35
13 Botafogo 27 10 3 14 25 30 13 7 1 5 15 12 14 3 2 9 10 18 -5 33
14 Fortaleza 27 9 4 14 30 37 14 7 1 6 16 13 13 2 3 8 14 24 -7 31
15 Ceará 27 8 5 14 27 29 13 6 3 4 16 10 14 2 2 10 11 19 -2 29
16 Fluminense 27 8 5 14 28 38 14 5 3 6 15 13 13 3 2 8 13 25 -10 29
17 Cruzeiro 27 6 10 11 22 34 13 5 4 4 11 12 14 1 6 7 11 22 -12 28
18 CSA 27 6 8 13 18 39 14 5 5 4 13 15 13 1 3 9 5 24 -21 26
19 Chapecoense 27 3 8 16 21 42 14 2 5 7 12 17 13 1 3 9 9 25 -21 17
20 Avaí 27 3 8 16 13 40 13 1 7 5 6 15 14 2 1 11 7 25 -27 17

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