Soccer match preview: Home crowds with high hopes before Philadelphia Union - Cincinnati

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Competition: USA Major League Soccer
Competition: Sun 31.October
Match begins: 23:30 (UTC)
Venue: Subaru Park (19178 seats)

Three points is the only outcome that will suffice for the Philadelphia Union supporters in this Subaru Park duel with Cincinnati, seeing as they have a healthy lead on the away team in the Major League Soccer table.

Insights:
  • Philadelphia Union have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Cincinnati have the most dropped points from leading position (23) in Major League Soccer

It's no vacation for neither Philadelphia nor Cincinnati as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Philadelphia Union form and stats

Philadelphia Union have collected 27 points from their Major League Soccer home games so far after 8-3-3. After failing to beat New England here at Subaru Park, Philadelphia Union has put together a very nice winning streak on their own turf with four wins in a row.

Philadelphia Union travelled for their previous game, a trip to Toronto that ended 2-2. The hometeam coach P. Noonan made a successful contribution in the game against Toronto, bringing on Sergio Santos who scored the equalizer in the 2-2 draw. Kai Wagner, defender, was given a rating of 7.84/10 in that game, top of the team. Wagner served one assist, hit four key passes and won 4 of 6 duels.

Before that game, the 1-0 home victory against Nashville SC.

Philadelphia are believed to win this game, given a winning chance of about 70% by the bookmakers. We have checked our records for their performance in similar circumstances and found three matches and the win/draw/lost stats: Won one, drew two and lost zero.

Philadelphia has scored 19 league goals at home this season, in 14 matches. From these home matches, Philadelphia Union have conceded only 10 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Cincinnati form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Cincinnati so far with only 11 points returning home. The records show 3-2-9 (win-draw-lose). The loyal fans travelling with their beloved Cincinnati have enjoyed the stadium food more than the matches as the visitors have gone ten consecutive matches without winning on the road. The last time three points were secured away was the Toronto game.

The manager T. Marshall was unhappy after their last game, a Major League Soccer match played at their home ground. Cincinnati suffered a 3-6 loss to Nashville SC (placed 2nd). Leading 2-0 was not enough for Cincinnati in their fight with Nashville SC last time out. Happy faces soon turned sour as mistakes flourished in what ended up a 3-6 loss. As you can tell from the result, the match against Nashville SC was as crazy as a clown in a village circus. Great fun for the neutral supporter with 9 goals, will the fun continue today? The attacker Brandon Vazquez got a match rating of 7.1 in that game. Vazquez scored one goal and dribled past the opponent 1 of 2 times.

A 1-5 defeat away at Inter Miami before that.

We have done a similar check as we did with the hometeam, looking up recent matches where Cincinnati played away with similar odds. This revealed eight games. The visitors overcame the odds to win one time, one were draw and the home team won as expected six times.

Cincinnati have scored 18 goals on their travels this season, from 14 away games in the league. Cincinnati are struggling defensively in their away games, having conceded 18 goals in these matches.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met previously this season: Cincinnati - Philadelphia 1-2. Numbers for the former five meetings between these two teams are: four wins for Philadelphia, one draw and zero wins for Cincinnati. Over 2,5 goals: two times; under 2,5 goals: three games.

Top Goalscorers

PhiladelphiaK. Przybyłko
K. Przybyłko
11 goals
CincinnatiB. Souza da Silva
B. Souza da Silva
8 goals
CincinnatiL. Acosta
L. Acosta
7 goals

Philadelphia Union missing players

Cincinnati missing players

Philadelphia Union Cincinnati
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
32 16 5 Played P 5 16 32
13 10 3 Won W 1 3 4
11 3 1 Drew D 1 3 8
8 3 1 Lost L 3 10 20
45 23 9 Scored S 9 20 36
34 10 3 Conceded C 15 43 70
97% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 91%
72% 62% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 88% 75%
47% 38% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 75% 56%
22% 6% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 60% 56% 41%
6% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 40% 44% 31%
56% 38% 40% BTTS BTTS 80% 56% 53%
34% 50% 60% Clean Sheets C S 0% 19% 19%
12% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 20% 31% 38%
 
5.1 5.3 7.2 Corners for (avg) C F 2.2 3.9 4
5.5 4.8 3.2 Corners against (avg) C A 7.2 6.4 5.9
2.2 2.1 2.4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.8 1.9 2.3
3 2 1 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
13 13.4 14.2 Shots (avg) S ( 9.2 11.7 12.7
4.5 4.6 4.6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.2 4.1 4.2
31% 32% 39% Goal Efficiency G E 56% 31% 27%
Key stats in Major League Soccer this season:
  • Cincinnati have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Cincinnati have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Cincinnati have the fewest scored goals in the second half (16) in Major League Soccer
  • Cincinnati have the most conceded goals in the second half (40) in Major League Soccer
  • Cincinnati have the most dropped points from leading position (23) in Major League Soccer
  • Cincinnati is in the worst form (0-0-6)
  • Philadelphia Union have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Philadelphia Union haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 New England 30 21 6 3 61 36 15 11 3 1 30 17 15 10 3 2 31 19 25 69
2 Nashville SC 28 10 15 3 46 27 15 7 8 0 33 17 13 3 7 3 13 10 19 45
3 Philadelphia Union 28 11 10 7 37 29 14 8 3 3 19 10 14 3 7 4 18 19 8 43
4 Montreal Impact 29 11 9 9 43 38 15 8 4 3 27 21 14 3 5 6 16 17 5 42
5 Orlando City 28 11 9 8 37 41 14 7 5 2 21 15 14 4 4 6 16 26 -4 42
6 New York RB 27 11 7 9 32 25 14 7 5 2 17 9 13 4 2 7 15 16 7 40
7 Atlanta United 28 10 9 9 38 33 14 7 4 3 21 12 14 3 5 6 17 21 5 39
8 DC United 28 11 5 12 47 39 14 9 1 4 27 13 14 2 4 8 20 26 8 38
9 New York City 28 10 7 11 40 30 13 8 2 3 26 9 15 2 5 8 14 21 10 37
10 Columbus Crew 28 10 7 11 36 38 13 8 3 2 26 16 15 2 4 9 10 22 -2 37
11 Inter Miami 28 10 5 13 26 43 14 6 2 6 18 28 14 4 3 7 8 15 -17 35
12 Chicago Fire 30 8 7 15 35 49 16 6 5 5 22 18 14 2 2 10 13 31 -14 31
13 Toronto 28 6 5 17 32 57 13 4 4 5 18 19 15 2 1 12 14 38 -25 23
14 Cincinnati 28 4 7 17 31 56 14 1 5 8 13 19 14 3 2 9 18 37 -25 19

Read more about Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer (often known simply as MLS) is the top level of football (soccer) in the United States and Canada. MLS has 24 teams divided into two conferences, Eastern and Western. Each team play 34 fixtures to decide a league table champion. The top fourteen teams then compete in playoff to crown a MLS Cup champion.