Early odds line movement signal DC United edge versus Columbus Crew

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Competition: USA Major League Soccer
Competition: Sat 30.October
Match begins: 23:30 (UTC)
Venue: Audi Field (20000 seats)

In total; 32 league matches have been played and DC United are 3 points on top of Columbus Crew. Who wins the prize?

Insights:
  • DC United have the most matches over the total-line (20) in Major League Soccer
  • Columbus Crew have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

It's quite the trip for Columbus Crew when visiting DC United as the cities are 3700 kilometers apart.

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DC United form and stats

DC United are steadily winning Major League Soccer games and points here at Audi Field. 11 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats is the summary from 16 games.

DC United's last game was hosting New York RB (placed 8th) and winning 1-0. The goalie Bill Hamid was named most valuable player of the team in that game, scoring 7.95 out of ten. Hamid stopped the opponent with five saves and topped it up with a clean sheet.

Prior to that, an away loss at New York City.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from DC United's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played two games, won one match, drawn one and lost zero.

A decent goal production from DC United in their home games so far, with 31 goals from 16 league matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 3 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. From these home matches, DC United have conceded only 14 goals.

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Columbus Crew form and stats

Columbus Crew have only collected 11 points from their away games in the Major League Soccer, after 2-5-9 (16 played).

Columbus are travelling after their nice 3-2 home win in the Major League Soccer against Orlando City (placed 5th). Lucas Zelarayán got a match rating of 9.3 in that game, top player of the team. Zelarayán scored one goal, signed up for two assists, hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times.

Preceding that, the 1-2 home loss versus New York RB.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Columbus Crew playing away, we found five games. Results were zero away wins, one draw and four home wins.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Columbus as they have only managed to score 10 times from 16 away games in the league. Columbus have conceded 22 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Columbus Crew - DC United 2-4 was the result in these teams' last h2h fixture, earlier this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): DC United five wins, one draw and Columbus Crew four victories. As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

DC UnitedO. Williams Kamara
O. Williams Kamara
17 goals
Columbus CrewL. Zelarayán
L. Zelarayán
9 goals
Columbus CrewG. Zardes
G. Zardes
9 goals

DC United missing players

Columbus Crew missing players

Total First Half Second Half
DC United Columbus Crew
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
32 16 5 Played P 4 16 32
13 11 5 Won W 1 2 11
5 1 0 Drew D 1 5 8
14 4 0 Lost L 2 9 13
52 31 16 Scored S 3 10 41
50 14 3 Conceded C 4 22 44
91% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 88% 88%
69% 56% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 25% 50% 69%
66% 56% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 31% 56%
41% 31% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 19% 31%
28% 19% 40% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 12% 19%
59% 50% 40% BTTS BTTS 25% 38% 56%
28% 38% 60% Clean Sheets C S 50% 19% 22%
22% 19% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 56% 34%
 
5 5.4 4.2 Corners for (avg) C F 3 4.1 4.2
4.7 4.9 5.6 Corners against (avg) C A 6.5 5.7 5.1
2 1.7 1.6 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.8 1.5 1.6
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
13.6 15.4 15.8 Shots (avg) S ( 9 9.4 11.2
4.7 5.2 5.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 2.7 3.7
34% 37% 55% Goal Efficiency G E 30% 23% 35%
Key stats in Major League Soccer this season:
  • Columbus Crew have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • DC United have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • DC United have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Columbus Crew have scored away.
  • DC United have the fewest matches under the total-line (11) in Major League Soccer
  • DC United have the most matches over the total-line (20) in Major League Soccer

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 New England 33 22 7 4 65 40 16 12 3 1 31 17 17 10 4 3 34 23 25 73
2 Nashville SC 32 12 16 4 53 31 16 8 8 0 34 17 16 4 8 4 19 14 22 52
3 Philadelphia Union 32 13 11 8 45 34 16 10 3 3 23 10 16 3 8 5 22 24 11 50
4 New York City 32 13 8 11 52 34 16 10 3 3 36 12 16 3 5 8 16 22 18 47
5 Orlando City 32 12 11 9 47 47 16 8 6 2 28 17 16 4 5 7 19 30 0 47
6 Atlanta United 31 12 10 9 42 35 16 9 4 3 24 13 15 3 6 6 18 22 7 46
7 DC United 32 13 5 14 52 50 16 11 1 4 31 14 16 2 4 10 21 36 2 44
8 New York RB 31 12 7 12 37 32 15 7 5 3 18 11 16 5 2 9 19 21 5 43
9 Montreal Impact 31 11 10 10 44 41 15 8 4 3 27 21 16 3 6 7 17 20 3 43
10 Columbus Crew 32 11 8 13 41 44 16 9 3 4 31 22 16 2 5 9 10 22 -3 41
11 Inter Miami 32 11 5 16 34 50 16 7 2 7 25 32 16 4 3 9 9 18 -16 38
12 Chicago Fire 33 9 7 17 36 52 17 7 5 5 23 18 16 2 2 12 13 34 -16 34
13 Toronto 32 6 9 17 37 62 16 4 7 5 23 24 16 2 2 12 14 38 -25 27
14 Cincinnati 32 4 8 20 36 70 16 1 5 10 16 27 16 3 3 10 20 43 -34 20

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 New England 33 22 7 4 65 40 16 12 3 1 31 17 17 10 4 3 34 23 25 73
2 Nashville SC 32 12 16 4 53 31 16 8 8 0 34 17 16 4 8 4 19 14 22 52
3 Philadelphia Union 32 13 11 8 45 34 16 10 3 3 23 10 16 3 8 5 22 24 11 50
4 New York City 32 13 8 11 52 34 16 10 3 3 36 12 16 3 5 8 16 22 18 47
5 Orlando City 32 12 11 9 47 47 16 8 6 2 28 17 16 4 5 7 19 30 0 47
6 Atlanta United 31 12 10 9 42 35 16 9 4 3 24 13 15 3 6 6 18 22 7 46
7 DC United 32 13 5 14 52 50 16 11 1 4 31 14 16 2 4 10 21 36 2 44
8 New York RB 31 12 7 12 37 32 15 7 5 3 18 11 16 5 2 9 19 21 5 43
9 Montreal Impact 31 11 10 10 44 41 15 8 4 3 27 21 16 3 6 7 17 20 3 43
10 Columbus Crew 32 11 8 13 41 44 16 9 3 4 31 22 16 2 5 9 10 22 -3 41
11 Inter Miami 32 11 5 16 34 50 16 7 2 7 25 32 16 4 3 9 9 18 -16 38
12 Chicago Fire 33 9 7 17 36 52 17 7 5 5 23 18 16 2 2 12 13 34 -16 34
13 Toronto 32 6 9 17 37 62 16 4 7 5 23 24 16 2 2 12 14 38 -25 27
14 Cincinnati 32 4 8 20 36 70 16 1 5 10 16 27 16 3 3 10 20 43 -34 20

More from USA - Major League Soccer

Read more about Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer (often known simply as MLS) is the top level of football (soccer) in the United States and Canada. MLS has 24 teams divided into two conferences, Eastern and Western. Each team play 34 fixtures to decide a league table champion. The top fourteen teams then compete in playoff to crown a MLS Cup champion.