Home advantage could prove decisive in Orlando City - Toronto battle

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Competition: USA Major League Soccer
Competition: Tue 04.Jul
Match begins: 23:30 (UTC)
Venue: Exploria Stadium (25527 seats)

Orlando City have 31 points performing as the hosts. Toronto have gained 19 points as the visiting team. Could we look at anything else than a home win?

Insights:
  • Orlando City have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (7) in Major League Soccer
  • Toronto have the most dropped points from leading position (16) in Major League Soccer

It's quite the trip for Toronto when visiting Orlando as the cities are 2000 kilometers apart.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Orlando City form and stats

Orlando City have collected 16 points from their Major League Soccer home games so far after 4-4-3.

Orlando City's previous game was also played at home, ending 3-1 versus Chicago Fire (placed 13th). The home side are looking to build on that result. Sweet to taste a league win after three fixtures without. Midfield player Torres got a match rating of 8.44 in that game, the max score being 10. Torres scored two goals, hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 2 of 4 times and had 30 successful passes (of 35 total).

Preceding that game was the away draw at Seattle Sounders that finished 0-0.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Orlando City matches with similar probabilities have ended with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (from 6 games).

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Orlando as they are travelling to their away game against Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer. That match is four days after this one.

The Orlando City fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 14 in 11 matches. It's worth mentioning that 7 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. On the other hand, Orlando have conceded 12 goals.

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Toronto form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Toronto so far with only 4 points returning home. The records show 0-4-6 (win-draw-lose). Travelling has not been lucrative for the away team as they have returned home without a win in ten away games in a row.

This fixture can not go any worse than the last one, the home loss versus Real Salt Lake with 0-1 on the scoreboard. Late heartbreak for Toronto in the Real Salt Lake match, as the deciding 0-1 goal came deep into overtime. Mabika was the top performer of the team in that game with a match score of 7.7. The defender Mabika won 3 of 6 duels.

Prior to that match, the Toronto manager Bradley faced defeat when travelling to New England and losing 1-2.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Toronto when being an outsider away as they are today, we find 8 matches with the visitors losing 3 times, drawing 4 and winning 1 game.

Few goals the story here? 9 of this club's last 12 league rounds have had two or less goals.

A new game in only four days for Toronto, the Major League Soccer home match versus Saint Louis City. Busy days.

The attacking power of Toronto when travelling is not overwhelming with 7 goals scored from 10 league matches away. Toronto have conceded 17 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Orlando have managed a sequence of 6 consecutive matches without defeat (4-2-0) when playing Toronto.

Top Goalscorers

Orlando CityF. Torres Pérez
F. Torres Pérez
7 goals
Orlando CityD. McGuire
D. McGuire
6 goals
Orlando CityE. Kara
E. Kara
4 goals

Orlando City missing players

Toronto missing players

Orlando City Toronto
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
20 11 3 Played P 3 10 21
8 4 2 Won W 0 0 3
7 4 0 Drew D 1 4 10
5 3 1 Lost L 2 6 8
28 14 5 Scored S 3 7 18
23 12 3 Conceded C 6 17 27
90% 91% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 80% 81%
85% 82% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 70% 67%
50% 36% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 40% 33%
30% 27% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 20% 19%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 20% 10%
60% 55% 67% BTTS BTTS 67% 50% 48%
30% 36% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 29%
20% 18% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 50% 43%
 
5.3 6.5 7.3 Corners for (avg) C F 2.3 2.8 3.7
4.4 3.6 3 Corners against (avg) C A 6.7 5.9 5.4
2 1.9 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 1.4 1.6
0 0 0 Red cards R C 1 1 1
 
12.4 13.2 14.7 Shots (avg) S ( 4.3 8.6 10.8
4.3 5.1 5.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.7 3.7 4
32% 25% 29% Goal Efficiency G E 38% 19% 21%
 
12.4 10.1 10 Shots against (avg) S A 13.3 14.2 12.9
4 3.9 4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.7 4.4 4
Key stats in Major League Soccer this season:
  • Orlando City have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (7) in Major League Soccer
  • Orlando City have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Toronto have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Toronto have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Toronto have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Toronto have the most dropped points from leading position (16) in Major League Soccer
  • Toronto have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Toronto have yet to win a game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Cincinnati 20 13 5 2 32 21 11 10 1 0 21 7 9 3 4 2 11 14 11 44
2 Nashville SC 21 11 5 5 30 16 11 8 2 1 21 6 10 3 3 4 9 10 14 38
3 New England 20 10 7 3 35 25 10 7 3 0 23 9 10 3 4 3 12 16 10 37
4 Philadelphia Union 19 10 4 5 34 20 10 7 2 1 21 6 9 3 2 4 13 14 14 34
5 Columbus Crew 20 10 4 6 40 27 11 8 2 1 29 11 9 2 2 5 11 16 13 34
6 Orlando City 20 8 7 5 28 23 11 4 4 3 14 12 9 4 3 2 14 11 5 31
7 Atlanta United 20 7 8 5 37 35 10 6 3 1 24 13 10 1 5 4 13 22 2 29
8 DC United 21 7 5 9 29 28 10 4 3 3 18 12 11 3 2 6 11 16 1 26
9 Montreal Impact 20 8 2 10 20 28 9 7 0 2 15 4 11 1 2 8 5 24 -8 26
10 New York City 21 5 9 7 22 26 9 4 3 2 13 12 12 1 6 5 9 14 -4 24
11 Charlotte 20 6 6 8 27 35 10 3 4 3 13 15 10 3 2 5 14 20 -8 24
12 New York RB 20 5 8 7 18 20 10 4 4 2 13 10 10 1 4 5 5 10 -2 23
13 Chicago Fire 20 5 8 7 26 31 9 2 6 1 14 13 11 3 2 6 12 18 -5 23
14 Toronto 21 3 10 8 18 27 11 3 6 2 11 10 10 0 4 6 7 17 -9 19
15 Inter Miami 19 5 1 13 18 29 10 4 1 5 13 13 9 1 0 8 5 16 -11 16

Read more about Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer (often known simply as MLS) is the top level of football (soccer) in the United States and Canada. MLS has 24 teams divided into two conferences, Eastern and Western. Each team play 34 fixtures to decide a league table champion. The top fourteen teams then compete in playoff to crown a MLS Cup champion.