Major League Soccer: Top-notch versus subpar, at least based on the points won so far. Cincinnati - Toronto. Home win or a shock result?
- Cincinnati is in the best form (5-1-0) in Major League Soccer
- Toronto have yet to win a game away.
Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.
Cincinnati form and stats
This stadium, Dr. DY Patil Stadium, has been a fortress for Cincinnati in the Major League Soccer so far this season with the win-draw-loss statistic 9-0-0. Cincinnati has won so many consecutive home games (nine in a row) that they struggle to remember the last time points were lost here at Dr. DY Patil Stadium. We remember; it was Houston Dynamo.
Cincinnati drew their last game, 1-1 away at Vancouver Whitecaps. Acosta was able to secure the draw 1-1 in the game against Vancouver Whitecaps after coming on as a substitute and scoring the final goal. In the starting lineup today? Midfielder Nwobodo was the best player on the team with a rating of 7.45 (out of ten) in that game. Nwobodo hit one key pass, dribled past the opponent 1 of 2 times and had 39 successful passes (of 44 total).
A home victory before that, as predicted. The team were solid favourites against Pittsburgh Riverhounds and won 3-1. The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Cincinnati matches with similar probabilities have ended with 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats (from 4 games).
The manager Noonan will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to DC United in only three days.
The Cincinnati fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 16 goals in 9 league matches. From these home matches, Cincinnati have conceded only 5 goals.
Toronto form and stats
There's been little loot from Toronto's travels as they have only collected 4 points from 8 away games in the Major League Soccer. Toronto only have 0 wins to counter their 4 defeats and 4 draws. With three draws in a row for Toronto the feeling in the team is perhaps one of both relief and disappointment.
Toronto played 1-1 against Nashville SC in their previous match. Mabika, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 7.61. Mabika won 6 of 8 duels.
Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Minnesota United that ended 1-1.As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Toronto playing away, we found 8 games. Results were 1 away win, 4 draws and 3 home wins.
Few goals the story here? 8 of this team's most recent 10 league matches have contained two or less goals.
The visitors will be packing their bags again in only three days as another away game awaits: The Major League Soccer trip to New England.
The attacking power of Toronto when travelling is not overwhelming with 6 goals scored from 8 league matches away. Toronto struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 12 goals conceded from these games.
Head 2 Head
As for the last eight games between these two teams, there's four Cincinnati victories, zero draws and four Toronto wins. Over/under statistics; four of these games ended with three goals or more, four matches with two goals or less.
Top Goalscorers
  L. Acosta 8 goals |  B. Vázquez Toledo 4 goals |  S. Santos Gomes 4 goals |
Cincinnati missing players
Toronto missing players
| Cincinnati | Toronto | ||||||
| Total | Home | vs | Statistics | Stat | vs | Away | Total |
| 17 | 9 | 2 | Played | P | 3 | 8 | 18 |
| 12 | 9 | 2 | Won | W | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | Drew | D | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | Lost | L | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| 27 | 16 | 2 | Scored | S | 3 | 6 | 17 |
| 16 | 5 | 0 | Conceded | C | 5 | 12 | 21 |
| 94% | 100% | 100% | Over 0.5 | O 0.5 | 67% | 75% | 78% |
| 59% | 56% | 0% | Over 1.5 | O 1.5 | 67% | 62% | 67% |
| 47% | 56% | 0% | Over 2.5 | O 2.5 | 33% | 25% | 28% |
| 24% | 11% | 0% | Over 3.5 | O 3.5 | 33% | 25% | 22% |
| 18% | 11% | 0% | Over 4.5 | O 4.5 | 33% | 25% | 11% |
| 53% | 44% | 0% | BTTS | BTTS | 67% | 50% | 50% |
| 47% | 56% | 100% | Clean Sheets | C S | 33% | 25% | 33% |
| 6% | 0% | 0% | Failed to Score | F T | 33% | 50% | 39% |
| 3.6 | 3.8 | 5.5 | Corners for (avg) | C F | 4 | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| 4.5 | 4.8 | 4.5 | Corners against (avg) | C A | 5.7 | 6.2 | 5.4 |
| 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.5 | Yellow cards (avg) | Y C | 1 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | Red cards | R C | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 12.1 | 12 | 14 | Shots (avg) | S ( | 8 | 7.6 | 10.5 |
| 4.6 | 3.9 | 2.5 | Shots on Target (avg) | S O | 3.7 | 2.9 | 3.8 |
| 35% | 46% | 40% | Goal Efficiency | G E | 27% | 26% | 25% |
| 12.3 | 11.7 | 8 | Shots against (avg) | S A | 14 | 14.5 | 12.5 |
| 4 | 4 | 1.5 | Shots on Target against (avg) | S O | 5.3 | 4.4 | 3.8 |
- Cincinnati have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
- Cincinnati have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
- Cincinnati have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Toronto have scored away.
- Cincinnati have scored in all their home matches so far.
- Cincinnati have the most clean sheets (8) in Major League Soccer
- Cincinnati have the most points (27) at home in Major League Soccer
- Cincinnati have won all their matches at home so far.
- Cincinnati haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
- Cincinnati is in the best form (5-1-0) in Major League Soccer
- Toronto have won significantly less corners away then at home.
- Toronto have yet to win a game away.
| Total | Home | Away | |||||||||||||||||||
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | +/- | P |
| 1 | Cincinnati | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 40 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | New England | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Atlanta United | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 29 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 35 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 26 |
| 8 | DC United | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 1 | 23 |
| 9 | Charlotte | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 33 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -8 | 22 |
| 10 | Montreal Impact | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 24 | -8 | 22 |
| 11 | Toronto | 18 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 | New York RB | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -5 | 19 |
| 13 | New York City | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -5 | 17 |
| 15 | Inter Miami | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 15 |
