Major League Soccer forecast and guide: New York City small favourite to beat Orlando City

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Competition: USA Major League Soccer
Competition: Sun 02.October
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Red Bull Arena, Harrison (26765 seats)

4th place in the Major League Soccer table for New York City at present, a strong campaign. The home team ticketholders hope for more joy as 6th-placed Orlando City visit Red Bull Arena, Harrison.

Insights:
  • New York City have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • New York City have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Orlando City have scored away.

It's quite the trip for Orlando City when visiting New York City as the cities are 1700 kilometers apart.

New York City and Orlando City should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

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New York City form and stats

New York City have played 16 Major League Soccer games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 9-4-3 (wins-draws-losses).

A nice win for York last time playing, versus New York RB. That was also a home game and the match ended 2-0 with Callens and Rodríguez scoring for the victors. Finally, a league win after five games without one. Callens, defender, was given a rating of 8.43/10 in that game, top of the team. Callens scored one goal and won 5 of 13 duels.

Ahead of that match, a home win hosting Atlas in the Campeones Cup. The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how New York City have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 6 games) they have won 2 times, drawn 1 and lost 3.

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (35 in 16 games), New York City's attacking play is working. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 4 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. York have conceded 18 in these home matches.

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Orlando City form and stats

5-6-4 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Orlando City in their Major League Soccer matches away.

Akindele, Torres and Kara scored in Orlando City's previous match, the home game against Toronto that ended 4-0. As mentioned above, Orlando City was the only team on the pitch versus Toronto in their previous game, winning 4-0. This could be a tougher task. Midfield player Pereyra was the top player of the team with a match rating of 8.1/10. Pereyra served one assist, hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times and had 38 successful passes (of 45 total).

A 0-1 loss hosting Atlanta United before that.

We have checked recent matches where Orlando City have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 12 games were 4 victories, 5 draws and 3 defeats.

The schedule is very tough for Orlando now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Major League Soccer game at Inter Miami is waiting in only three days.

Orlando City have scored 16 goals on their travels this season, from 15 away games in the league. 19 goals have been conceded by Orlando in these games.

Head 2 Head

These competitors have played earlier this season: Orlando City - New York City 2-1. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: one - six - three (New York City wins - draws - Orlando City wins). As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

New York CityV. Castellanos Giménez
V. Castellanos Giménez
13 goals
Orlando CityE. Kara
E. Kara
10 goals
YorkH. Araujo dos Santos
H. Araujo dos Santos
7 goals

New York City missing players

Orlando City missing players

New York City Orlando City
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
32 16 4 Played P 3 15 31
14 9 2 Won W 1 5 13
7 4 2 Drew D 0 6 6
11 3 0 Lost L 2 4 12
53 35 7 Scored S 3 16 40
39 18 3 Conceded C 9 19 46
91% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 93% 97%
72% 88% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 67% 71%
47% 50% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 33% 52%
28% 38% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 20% 26%
22% 25% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 67% 13% 16%
44% 50% 50% BTTS BTTS 67% 60% 55%
44% 44% 50% Clean Sheets C S 33% 33% 29%
22% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 13% 19%
 
5.3 6.2 6.8 Corners for (avg) C F 2.3 3.7 4.2
4.9 4.1 3.8 Corners against (avg) C A 4.3 5.8 4.6
2.3 2.4 2.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 2.7 2.3
2 2 1 Red cards R C 0 2 3
 
14.5 17 18.2 Shots (avg) S ( 4.3 8.7 11.8
5.3 6.2 5.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.3 3.3 4
31% 35% 30% Goal Efficiency G E 75% 33% 32%
 
10.6 9.2 9.2 Shots against (avg) S A 19.3 14.5 12.4
3.8 3.6 3.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7 4.3 4
Key stats in Major League Soccer this season:
  • New York City have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • New York City have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Orlando City have scored away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Philadelphia Union 32 18 10 4 68 22 16 11 5 0 45 9 16 7 5 4 23 13 46 64
2 Montreal Impact 32 18 5 9 59 49 16 8 3 5 29 21 16 10 2 4 30 28 10 59
3 New York RB 32 14 8 10 47 39 16 5 5 6 24 22 16 9 3 4 23 17 8 50
4 New York City 32 14 7 11 53 39 16 9 4 3 35 18 16 5 3 8 18 21 14 49
5 Cincinnati 31 11 12 8 56 50 16 6 6 4 35 24 15 5 6 4 21 26 6 45
6 Orlando City 31 13 6 12 40 46 16 8 0 8 24 27 15 5 6 4 16 19 -6 45
7 Columbus Crew 31 9 15 7 41 36 16 6 6 4 20 14 15 3 9 3 21 22 5 42
8 Inter Miami 31 12 6 13 41 52 15 9 3 3 29 24 16 3 3 10 12 28 -11 42
9 Atlanta United 32 10 10 12 46 50 16 8 5 3 30 22 16 2 5 9 16 28 -4 40
10 New England 32 9 11 12 44 48 16 6 6 4 20 15 16 3 5 8 24 33 -4 38
11 Charlotte 31 12 2 17 38 48 15 9 0 6 22 14 16 3 2 11 16 34 -10 38
12 Chicago Fire 32 9 8 15 35 45 16 6 4 6 17 16 16 3 4 9 18 29 -10 35
13 Toronto 32 9 7 16 49 61 16 7 3 6 30 28 16 2 4 10 19 33 -12 34
14 DC United 32 7 6 19 34 65 16 4 4 8 20 29 16 3 2 11 14 36 -31 27

Read more about Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer (often known simply as MLS) is the top level of football (soccer) in the United States and Canada. MLS has 24 teams divided into two conferences, Eastern and Western. Each team play 34 fixtures to decide a league table champion. The top fourteen teams then compete in playoff to crown a MLS Cup champion.