Major League Soccer prediction and pre-match guide: Toronto odds-on front runner to top Inter Miami

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Competition: USA Major League Soccer
Competition: Fri 30.September
Match begins: 23:30 (UTC)
Venue: BMO Field (30991 seats)

13th- against 8th position might not seem all that steamy. But look: Here's the details that makes Toronto - Inter Miami (even) more entertaining!

Insights:
  • Toronto have the fewest clean sheets (3) in Major League Soccer
  • Inter Miami have the fewest dropped points from leading position (7) in Major League Soccer

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Toronto form and stats

7-3-6 (win-draw-lost) are the Major League Soccer numbers at home for Toronto so far this season. Toronto has three losses from their three previous games and the tension is increasing in the dressing room for both the manager Bradley and the players.

Toronto lost their last game at Orlando City (placed 6th) after a 0-4 scoreline. Toronto were outplayed and humiliated in their previous game, as mentioned in the paragraph above. They will need to reinstall their confidence before this one. The talented striker Bernardeschi outshone all the other footballers in that fixture and was awarded a match rating of 7.6 out of 10. Bernardeschi hit one key pass and dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times.

A defeat was the result before that one, 2-4 away at Atlanta United.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Toronto handle that role? We have found 12 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are 5 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats.

Goal fest? Who knows the future, but we do know that 9 of the 11 latest league games with this team has seen three goals or more.

Toronto have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at BMO Field with 30 goals in 16 league matches. Toronto have conceded 28 from these games.

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Inter Miami form and stats

There's been little loot from Inter Miami's travels as they have only collected 12 points from 16 away games in the Major League Soccer. Inter Miami only have 3 wins to counter their 10 defeats and 3 draws.

Two away games in a row for Inter Miami, whose coach Neville could celebrate last time after the win against DC United. Late drama in the previous game, when Higuaín scored the winning goal four minutes into stoppage time to defeat DC United. Campana got a match rating of 8.15 in that game, top player of the team. Campana scored two goals.

That result followed a home victory 2-1 versus Columbus Crew.

Inter are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 4 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats. From a total of 12 matches.

Take note that 8 of this club's 10 latest league fixtures have ended with at least three goals.

The attacking power of Inter Miami when travelling is not overwhelming with 12 goals scored from 16 league matches away. Inter Miami struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 28 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

Inter Miami have won every one of the 4 latest games versus this side. Something to take note of?

The fixture lists shows this result when the teams met previously this season; Inter Miami - Toronto 2-1.

Top Goalscorers

Inter MiamiG. Higuaín
G. Higuaín
13 goals
Inter MiamiL. Campana Romero
L. Campana Romero
10 goals
TorontoJ. Osorio
J. Osorio
9 goals

Toronto missing players

Inter Miami missing players

Toronto Inter Miami
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
32 16 4 Played P 4 16 31
9 7 1 Won W 1 3 12
7 3 0 Drew D 0 3 6
16 6 3 Lost L 3 10 13
49 30 4 Scored S 4 12 41
61 28 6 Conceded C 8 28 52
97% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 94%
88% 94% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 62% 77%
69% 88% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 38% 58%
44% 50% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 38% 39%
19% 19% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 12% 19%
66% 81% 75% BTTS BTTS 50% 44% 61%
9% 6% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 19% 16%
28% 12% 25% Failed to Score F T 50% 44% 29%
 
4.9 5.6 6 Corners for (avg) C F 2.8 3.9 4.2
5.1 4.9 6 Corners against (avg) C A 7.8 5.6 6
1.9 1.9 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 1.8 2.1
2 0 0 Red cards R C 2 4 5
 
11.2 12.4 13.2 Shots (avg) S ( 8.8 9.8 11.4
4.3 4.7 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.2 3.6 4.5
36% 40% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 24% 21% 29%
 
14.7 12.4 10.8 Shots against (avg) S A 15.2 16 14.5
5.7 4.9 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.5 5.6 4.7
Key stats in Major League Soccer this season:
  • Inter Miami have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Inter Miami have the fewest dropped points from leading position (7) in Major League Soccer
  • Inter Miami have the fewest scored goals (12) away in Major League Soccer
  • Toronto have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Toronto have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Inter Miami have scored away.
  • Toronto have the fewest clean sheets (1) at home in Major League Soccer
  • Toronto have the fewest clean sheets (3) in Major League Soccer
  • Toronto have the fewest matches under the total-line (6) in Major League Soccer
  • Toronto have the most conceded goals in the first half (31) in Major League Soccer
  • Toronto haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Philadelphia Union 32 18 10 4 68 22 16 11 5 0 45 9 16 7 5 4 23 13 46 64
2 Montreal Impact 32 18 5 9 59 49 16 8 3 5 29 21 16 10 2 4 30 28 10 59
3 New York RB 32 14 8 10 47 39 16 5 5 6 24 22 16 9 3 4 23 17 8 50
4 New York City 32 14 7 11 53 39 16 9 4 3 35 18 16 5 3 8 18 21 14 49
5 Cincinnati 31 11 12 8 56 50 16 6 6 4 35 24 15 5 6 4 21 26 6 45
6 Orlando City 31 13 6 12 40 46 16 8 0 8 24 27 15 5 6 4 16 19 -6 45
7 Columbus Crew 31 9 15 7 41 36 16 6 6 4 20 14 15 3 9 3 21 22 5 42
8 Inter Miami 31 12 6 13 41 52 15 9 3 3 29 24 16 3 3 10 12 28 -11 42
9 Atlanta United 32 10 10 12 46 50 16 8 5 3 30 22 16 2 5 9 16 28 -4 40
10 New England 32 9 11 12 44 48 16 6 6 4 20 15 16 3 5 8 24 33 -4 38
11 Charlotte 31 12 2 17 38 48 15 9 0 6 22 14 16 3 2 11 16 34 -10 38
12 Chicago Fire 32 9 8 15 35 45 16 6 4 6 17 16 16 3 4 9 18 29 -10 35
13 Toronto 32 9 7 16 49 61 16 7 3 6 30 28 16 2 4 10 19 33 -12 34
14 DC United 32 7 6 19 34 65 16 4 4 8 20 29 16 3 2 11 14 36 -31 27

Read more about Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer (often known simply as MLS) is the top level of football (soccer) in the United States and Canada. MLS has 24 teams divided into two conferences, Eastern and Western. Each team play 34 fixtures to decide a league table champion. The top fourteen teams then compete in playoff to crown a MLS Cup champion.