Major League Soccer match prediction: Little separates Columbus Crew and New York RB in quality

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Competition: USA Major League Soccer
Competition: Sat 23.October
Match begins: 22:00 (UTC)

Columbus Crew are trusting their home following to help them to win this game against New York RB. Who will win?

Insights:
  • Columbus Crew have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • New York RB have the most dropped points from leading position (21) in Major League Soccer

Columbus have less rest than New York RB in this fixture, as the hosts were involved in a Major League Soccer game only three days ago. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at Nashville SC.

These teams have little in common geographically as New York RB have to travel 1100 kilometers to reach their opponents. The trip home will be especially long if the match ends in defeat.

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Columbus Crew form and stats

8-3-3 (win-draw-lost) are the Major League Soccer numbers at home for Columbus Crew so far this season. Ever since the Seattle Sounders game Columbus has been unbeatable here producing four straight wins.

The home team returns after being equal after 90 minutes with Nashville SC (placed 2nd) on their last time out; the Major League Soccer game ended 1-1. Midfield player Lucas Zelarayán got a match rating of 7.85 in that game, the max score being 10. Zelarayán scored one goal, hit three key passes, dribled past the opponent 3 of 5 times and had 28 successful passes (of 34 total).

Before that, Columbus had a home game versus Inter Miami which ended with a victory 4-0.

This is expected to be a close game, with Columbus Crew perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Columbus Crew as a small favourite), we find 17 games. Columbus Crew has won six of these, drawn six and lost five.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Major League Soccer game versus Orlando City in only four days. This game is also played here.

Columbus have proved capable of finding the net in their games here with 27 goals in 14 league matches. Columbus have conceded 18 in these home matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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New York RB form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for New York RB so far with only 14 points returning home. The records show 4-2-8 (win-draw-lose). York have won three away matches in a row now and will not be intimidated by being the visitors in this fixture.

York have succeeded in guarding their own goal lately, led by their goalkeeper Carlos Miguel Coronel. It's been 343 minutes since they last conceded in Major League Soccer.

New York RB won their last game, 1-0 versus New York City played at home.

A home win before that, celebrating 1-0 vs Inter Miami.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with New York RB playing away and similar expectations, we found eleven relevant matches. Results were four New York RB wins, two draws and five defeats.

The visitors will be packing their bags again in only four days as another away game awaits: The Major League Soccer trip to DC United.

New York RB are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 17 away goals from 14 games (in the league). New York RB have conceded 19 goals in these away matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

Columbus - New York RB 2-1 was the end result in these participants' last head-to-head fixture, played this season. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's six Columbus Crew victories, two draws and two New York RB wins. Over/under statistics; five of these games ended with three goals or more, five matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Columbus CrewG. Zardes
G. Zardes
9 goals
New York RBP. Klimala
P. Klimala
9 goals
Columbus CrewL. Zelarayán
L. Zelarayán
8 goals

Columbus Crew missing players

New York RB missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Columbus Crew New York RB
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
30 14 5 Played P 4 14 29
10 8 3 Won W 2 4 11
8 3 0 Drew D 1 2 7
12 3 2 Lost L 1 8 11
37 27 11 Scored S 7 17 35
40 18 10 Conceded C 3 19 30
87% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 93% 93%
67% 86% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 64% 66%
53% 79% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 57% 38%
30% 43% 60% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 29% 17%
17% 21% 40% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 10%
53% 71% 100% BTTS BTTS 50% 57% 52%
23% 29% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 29% 38%
37% 14% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 21% 17%
 
4.1 4.2 3.2 Corners for (avg) C F 6.5 5.6 4.8
5.1 4.4 4.2 Corners against (avg) C A 2.5 3.9 4.3
1.6 1.7 2.6 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 2.7 2.3
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 2 2
 
11.4 13.7 11.2 Shots (avg) S ( 19 14.6 13.9
3.7 4.8 3.6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5 4.3 4.3
34% 40% 61% Goal Efficiency G E 35% 28% 28%
Key stats in Major League Soccer this season:
  • Columbus Crew have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • New York RB have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • New York RB have the fewest matches over the total-line (10) in Major League Soccer
  • New York RB have the fewest points from losing position (2) in Major League Soccer
  • New York RB have the most dropped points from leading position (21) in Major League Soccer
  • New York RB have the most matches under the total-line (18) in Major League Soccer

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 New England 31 21 6 4 62 38 15 11 3 1 30 17 16 10 3 3 32 21 24 69
2 Nashville SC 30 11 16 3 47 27 16 8 8 0 34 17 14 3 8 3 13 10 20 49
3 Philadelphia Union 30 12 10 8 42 32 15 9 3 3 22 10 15 3 7 5 20 22 10 46
4 Orlando City 30 12 10 8 43 42 15 8 5 2 26 15 15 4 5 6 17 27 1 46
5 Atlanta United 30 11 10 9 40 34 15 8 4 3 22 12 15 3 6 6 18 22 6 43
6 Montreal Impact 30 11 9 10 43 40 15 8 4 3 27 21 15 3 5 7 16 19 3 42
7 New York City 30 11 8 11 45 34 14 8 3 3 29 12 16 3 5 8 16 22 11 41
8 DC United 30 12 5 13 51 44 15 10 1 4 30 14 15 2 4 9 21 30 7 41
9 New York RB 29 11 7 11 35 30 15 7 5 3 18 11 14 4 2 8 17 19 5 40
10 Columbus Crew 30 10 8 12 37 40 14 8 3 3 27 18 16 2 5 9 10 22 -3 38
11 Inter Miami 30 10 5 15 28 47 15 6 2 7 20 31 15 4 3 8 8 16 -19 35
12 Chicago Fire 31 8 7 16 35 51 16 6 5 5 22 18 15 2 2 11 13 33 -16 31
13 Toronto 30 6 7 17 34 59 14 4 5 5 20 21 16 2 2 12 14 38 -25 25
14 Cincinnati 30 4 8 18 32 59 15 1 5 9 13 21 15 3 3 9 19 38 -27 20

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 New England 31 21 6 4 62 38 15 11 3 1 30 17 16 10 3 3 32 21 24 69
2 Nashville SC 30 11 16 3 47 27 16 8 8 0 34 17 14 3 8 3 13 10 20 49
3 Philadelphia Union 30 12 10 8 42 32 15 9 3 3 22 10 15 3 7 5 20 22 10 46
4 Orlando City 30 12 10 8 43 42 15 8 5 2 26 15 15 4 5 6 17 27 1 46
5 Atlanta United 30 11 10 9 40 34 15 8 4 3 22 12 15 3 6 6 18 22 6 43
6 Montreal Impact 30 11 9 10 43 40 15 8 4 3 27 21 15 3 5 7 16 19 3 42
7 New York City 30 11 8 11 45 34 14 8 3 3 29 12 16 3 5 8 16 22 11 41
8 DC United 30 12 5 13 51 44 15 10 1 4 30 14 15 2 4 9 21 30 7 41
9 New York RB 29 11 7 11 35 30 15 7 5 3 18 11 14 4 2 8 17 19 5 40
10 Columbus Crew 30 10 8 12 37 40 14 8 3 3 27 18 16 2 5 9 10 22 -3 38
11 Inter Miami 30 10 5 15 28 47 15 6 2 7 20 31 15 4 3 8 8 16 -19 35
12 Chicago Fire 31 8 7 16 35 51 16 6 5 5 22 18 15 2 2 11 13 33 -16 31
13 Toronto 30 6 7 17 34 59 14 4 5 5 20 21 16 2 2 12 14 38 -25 25
14 Cincinnati 30 4 8 18 32 59 15 1 5 9 13 21 15 3 3 9 19 38 -27 20

More from USA - Major League Soccer

Read more about Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer (often known simply as MLS) is the top level of football (soccer) in the United States and Canada. MLS has 24 teams divided into two conferences, Eastern and Western. Each team play 34 fixtures to decide a league table champion. The top fourteen teams then compete in playoff to crown a MLS Cup champion.