Ekstraklasa prediction and preview: Lech Poznań modest favorites to beat Pogoń Szczecin

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Competition: Poland Ekstraklasa
Competition: Tue 09.June
Match begins: 18:30 (UTC)
Venue: INEA stadion (45830 seats)

A key match in Ekstraklasa as both teams are battling for the top positions. With Lech Poznań in 4th position and Pogoń Szczecin placed 3rd, this promises to be an exciting meeting. Read on to find out more!

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Lech Poznań form and stats

Overall Ekstraklasa stats at home this season for Lech Poznań are 7-3-4 (wins-draw-losses).

The home team returns to INEA stadion after being equal after 90 minutes with Zagłębie Lubin (placed 10th) on their last time out; the Ekstraklasa game ended 3-3. Ahead of that match, Poznań lost 0-1 at home to Legia Warszawa.

Late drama in the game against Zagłębie Lubin as Poznań were trailing by a goal near the finishing line until Dani Ramirez popped out and made it level in the 88th minute. A goal frenzy last time out for Poznań, with a total of 6 goals in the match against Zagłębie Lubin. Fun stuff to watch!

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Lech Poznań matches with similar probabilities have ended with three wins, one draw and one defeat (from five games).

The Poznań fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 27 goals in 14 league matches. Poznań have only conceded 11 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Pogoń Szczecin form and stats

6-5-3 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Pogoń Szczecin, who have the most clean sheets (12) in Ekstraklasa, in their Ekstraklasa matches away.

Kamil Drygas scored in Pogoń Szczecin's previous match, the home game against Cracovia Kraków that ended 1-0. A 0-3 loss hosting Zagłębie Lubin before that.

Kamil Drygas came off the bench to score the winning goal in the match against Cracovia Kraków last time out, making the manager K. Runjaic feel like a tactical genius.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Szczecin when being an outsider away as they are today, we find one match with the visitors losing one time, drawing zero and winning zero games.

The visiting Szczecin have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 14 goals from 14 games. Pogoń Szczecin are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 13 times in 14 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

These teams' last encounter with each other was the Pogoń Szczecin - Lech Poznań 1-1 earlier this season. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: five wins for Poznań, three draws and two wins for Pogoń Szczecin. Over 2,5 goals: four times; under 2,5 goals: six games.

Top Goalscorers

Lech PoznańC. Gytkjær
C. Gytkjær
16 goals
PoznańK. Jóźwiak
K. Jóźwiak
6 goals
Pogoń SzczecinS. Spiridonović
S. Spiridonović
6 goals

Lech Poznań missing players

Pogoń Szczecin missing players

Lech Poznań Pogoń Szczecin
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
28 14 3 Played P 3 14 28
11 7 1 Won W 1 6 12
10 3 0 Drew D 2 5 8
7 4 2 Lost L 0 3 8
48 27 4 Scored S 3 14 28
29 11 4 Conceded C 2 13 26
93% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 79% 86%
89% 86% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 50% 54%
54% 57% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 29% 32%
25% 29% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 21% 14%
11% 7% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 7%
64% 43% 33% BTTS BTTS 67% 43% 43%
32% 50% 33% Clean Sheets C S 33% 43% 43%
11% 14% 33% Failed to Score F T 33% 36% 29%
 
7.2 8.1 6 Corners for (avg) C F 2 3.6 4.9
4.7 4 2.7 Corners against (avg) C A 6 5.3 4.9
1.8 1.9 3.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.7 1.7 1.5
3 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
422 229 39 Total Shots T S 33 147 332
180 99 17 Shots on Target S O 16 56 125
27% 27% 24% Goal Efficiency G E 19% 25% 22%
Key stats in Ekstraklasa this season:
  • Lech Poznań has the fewest conceded goals in the second half (8)
  • Lech Poznań have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Lech Poznań have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Lech Poznań have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Pogoń Szczecin has the most clean sheets (12)
  • Pogoń Szczecin have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Legia Warszawa 28 18 3 7 58 27 14 10 1 3 37 12 14 8 2 4 21 15 31 57
2 Piast Gliwice 28 15 4 9 34 26 14 10 2 2 21 9 14 5 2 7 13 17 8 49
3 Pogoń Szczecin 28 12 8 8 28 26 14 6 3 5 14 13 14 6 5 3 14 13 2 44
4 Lech Poznań 28 11 10 7 48 29 14 7 3 4 27 11 14 4 7 3 21 18 19 43
5 Śląsk Wrocław 28 11 10 7 36 32 14 7 6 1 25 20 14 4 4 6 11 12 4 43
6 Cracovia Kraków 28 13 3 12 35 27 14 9 1 4 21 10 14 4 2 8 14 17 8 42
7 Lechia Gdańsk 28 11 9 8 38 38 14 6 4 4 18 16 14 5 5 4 20 22 0 42
8 Jagiellonia Białystok 28 11 8 9 38 37 14 7 4 3 22 13 14 4 4 6 16 24 1 41
9 Raków Częstochowa 28 11 5 12 34 39 14 7 3 4 19 15 14 4 2 8 15 24 -5 38
10 Zagłębie Lubin 28 10 7 11 47 43 14 6 5 3 29 20 14 4 2 8 18 23 4 37
11 Górnik Zabrze 28 9 10 9 37 38 14 8 5 1 27 14 14 1 5 8 10 24 -1 37
12 Wisła Płock 28 10 7 11 35 47 14 6 3 5 20 20 14 4 4 6 15 27 -12 37
13 Wisła Kraków 28 9 4 15 34 45 14 6 2 6 20 14 14 3 2 9 14 31 -11 31
14 Korona Kielce 28 8 5 15 20 33 14 5 2 7 11 12 14 3 3 8 9 21 -13 29
15 Arka Gdynia 28 7 7 14 27 42 14 4 6 4 14 16 14 3 1 10 13 26 -15 28
16 ŁKS Łódź 28 5 6 17 26 46 14 4 3 7 16 19 14 1 3 10 10 27 -20 21

Read more about Ekstraklasa

The Ekstraklasa, which carries the sponsorship name Lotto Ekstraklasa, is the top football league in Poland. It has 16 teams playing each other home and away to decide a regular season league table. The top eight teams then play a championship round while the bottom eight play a relegation round.