Obos-Ligaen prediction and preview: Sogndal modest favorites to beat Raufoss

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Competition: Norway Obos-Ligaen
Competition: Fri 31.July
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Fosshaugane Campus (5622 seats)

The Obos-Ligaen league table might not tell the truth so early on, but it's the best truth we have so far. Sogndal and Raufoss are placed 10th and 8th respectively.

It's no vacation for neither Sogndal nor Raufoss as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Sogndal form and stats

Only two Obos-Ligaen home games for Sogndal so far, yet both highs and lows with 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat. Sogndal has three losses from their three previous games and the tension is increasing in the dressing room for both the manager E. Bakke and the players.

In their previous game, the manager E. Bakke led his Sogndal to a defeat in the Obos-Ligaen match away at KFUM. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Fosshaugane Campus. Preceding that match was the home game against Sandnes Ulf that was lost 0-2.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Sogndal matches with similar probabilities have ended with three wins, one draw and zero defeats (from four games).

Sogndal are traveling soon after this match as the Obos-Ligaen match at Lillestrøm awaits in four days.

It's still early days, but we have some goal stats for the Sogndal at home in the league. 6 on target and 3 scored by the opposition; from 2 matches.

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Raufoss form and stats

The Obos-Ligaen season is young and Raufoss have only just started going through their travel schedule, with 3 away games done and still no victory. 1 draw and 2 defeats so far.

Raufoss won their last game, 2-0 versus Kongsvinger played at home. Before that, Raufoss travelled to Øygarden and returned home with a draw after the game finished 4-4.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Raufoss playing away, we found four games. Results were one away win, zero draws and three home wins.

After this away game Raufoss return home for a Obos-Ligaen game against Strømmen. That game is only three sleeps after this.

Raufoss are not goal shy away from home in the league, finding the net 5 times in 3 away games so far. The Raufoss manager C. Johnsen has some worries about the defense as 7 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

As for the last six games between these two teams, there's two Sogndal victories, two draws and two Raufoss wins. Over/under statistics; three of these games ended with three goals or more, three matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

RaufossK. Nesso
K. Nesso
4 goals
SogndalD. Eid
D. Eid
3 goals
SogndalA. Ndour
A. Ndour
3 goals

Sogndal missing players

Raufoss missing players

Sogndal Raufoss
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
5 2 0 Played P 0 3 5
2 1 0 Won W 0 0 2
0 0 0 Drew D 0 1 1
3 1 0 Lost L 0 2 2
12 6 0 Scored S 0 5 10
11 3 0 Conceded C 0 7 8
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 100%
100% 100% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 67% 80%
80% 50% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 67% 60%
80% 50% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 33% 40%
60% 50% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 33% 20%
80% 50% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 67% 60%
0% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 20%
20% 50% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 33% 20%
 
6.6 8 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 4 5.8
3.2 3.5 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 7.7 5.4
1.8 1 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 4.3 3.8
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
68 29 0 Total Shots T S 0 24 71
29 12 0 Shots on Target S O 0 12 33
41% 50% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 42% 30%
Key stats in Obos-Ligaen this season:
  • All of Sogndal's matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Raufoss have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Raufoss have yet to win a game away.
  • Raufoss haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Sogndal have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their matches.
  • Sogndal have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.
  • Sogndal have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Sogndal haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
Sogndal Last season Raufoss
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
31 15   Played P   15 30
13 9   Won W   5 12
6 2   Drew D   0 2
12 4   Lost L   10 16
51 38   Scored S   17 47
40 20   Conceded C   28 59
97% 100%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   100% 97%
71% 87%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   73% 77%
55% 73%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   73% 70%
35% 53%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   33% 37%
19% 40%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   13% 27%
48% 67%   BTTS BTTS   67% 70%
23% 20%   Clean Sheets C S   7% 13%
32% 13%   Failed to Score F T   27% 20%
 
5 6.4   Corners for (avg) C F   5.6 5.8
4.7 3.9   Corners against (avg) C A   6.5 5.2
1.4 1.5   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   1.7 1.6
0 0   Red cards R C   2 5
 
279 136   Total Shots T S   191 395
128 65   Shots on Target S O   70 151
39% 57%   Goal Efficiency G E   24% 31%

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Tromsø 5 5 0 0 7 1 3 3 0 0 3 0 2 2 0 0 4 1 6 15
2 Ranheim 5 4 0 1 16 10 2 1 0 1 6 5 3 3 0 0 10 5 6 12
3 Sandnes Ulf 5 3 2 0 11 7 3 2 1 0 7 5 2 1 1 0 4 2 4 11
4 KFUM 5 3 1 1 10 6 3 3 0 0 8 3 2 0 1 1 2 3 4 10
5 Stjørdals-Blink 5 3 0 2 11 9 3 2 0 1 9 6 2 1 0 1 2 3 2 9
6 Åsane 5 3 0 2 9 8 3 1 0 2 4 8 2 2 0 0 5 0 1 9
7 Jerv 5 2 2 1 11 8 2 1 1 0 5 4 3 1 1 1 6 4 3 8
8 Raufoss 5 2 1 2 10 8 2 2 0 0 5 1 3 0 1 2 5 7 2 7
9 Lillestrøm 5 2 1 2 5 5 2 1 0 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 3 4 0 7
10 Sogndal 5 2 0 3 12 11 2 1 0 1 6 3 3 1 0 2 6 8 1 6
11 Grorud 5 2 0 3 7 10 3 1 0 2 3 5 2 1 0 1 4 5 -3 6
12 Ullensaker / Kisa 5 1 2 2 9 11 3 1 2 0 7 3 2 0 0 2 2 8 -2 5
13 Øygarden 5 1 1 3 11 14 2 0 1 1 4 6 3 1 0 2 7 8 -3 4
14 Kongsvinger 5 1 0 4 5 12 2 0 0 2 0 3 3 1 0 2 5 9 -7 3
15 Strømmen 5 1 0 4 3 11 2 1 0 1 2 4 3 0 0 3 1 7 -8 3
16 HamKam 5 0 0 5 10 16 3 0 0 3 8 11 2 0 0 2 2 5 -6 0

Read more about Obos-Ligaen

The Norwegian 1. divisjon (usually referred to as OBOS-ligaen) is the second highest level of football in Norway. 16 teams play each other home and away. After these 240 fixtures the top two teams in the league table are promoted, while another can promote through playoff. Relegation follows a similar system.