Obos-Ligaen prediction and preview: Sandnes Ulf modest favorites to beat Raufoss

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Competition: Norway Obos-Ligaen
Competition: Thu 27.August
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Sandnes Ulf are in the 6th position while the guesting Raufoss worry at 12th.

It's no vacation for neither Sandnes Ulf nor Raufoss as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Sandnes Ulf form and stats

Sandnes Ulf have performed here this season with 4 wins from 6 Obos-Ligaen matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 1 game and lost 1.

The Sandnes fans got no joy from their last match, a Obos-Ligaen game also here: A 1-2 defeat against HamKam (placed 16th). A defeat was the result before that one, 1-4 away at Åsane.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Sandnes Ulf have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found seven games) they have won four times, drawn one and lost two.

Sandnes are traveling soon after this match as the Obos-Ligaen match at Grorud awaits in three days.

Goals decide football matches and Sandnes are scoring many of them at home; 13 on target from 6 league matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Sandnes defense is not exactly impregnable. 9 goals conceded from 6 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Raufoss form and stats

Raufoss have only collected 2 points from their away games in the Obos-Ligaen, after 0-2-4 (6 played). With three draws in a row for Raufoss the feeling in the team is perhaps one of both relief and disappointment.

Raufoss's last game ended in a draw, the home match versus Ullensaker / Kisa that finished 1-1. Preceding that game, the 2-2 draw paying a visit to Lillestrøm.

We have checked recent matches where Raufoss have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those six games were two victories, zero draws and four defeats.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Åsane in just three days.

Raufoss have scored 7 goals on their travels this season, from 6 away games in the league. The Raufoss manager C. Johnsen has some worries about the defense as 13 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the last five meetings between these two teams are: five wins for Sandnes, zero draws and zero wins for Raufoss. Over 2,5 goals: five times; under 2,5 goals: zero games.

Top Goalscorers

Sandnes UlfK. Eriksen
K. Eriksen
6 goals
SandnesM. Retsius Grødem
M. Retsius Grødem
5 goals
RaufossK. Nesso
K. Nesso
4 goals

Sandnes Ulf missing players

Raufoss missing players

Sandnes Ulf Raufoss
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
11 6 3 Played P 2 6 11
5 4 2 Won W 0 0 2
2 1 0 Drew D 1 2 5
4 1 1 Lost L 1 4 4
18 13 7 Scored S 3 7 15
24 9 6 Conceded C 4 13 17
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 67% 82%
82% 83% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 67% 45%
55% 33% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 33% 27%
27% 17% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 17% 9%
73% 100% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 50% 64%
9% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 9%
18% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 50% 27%
 
3.1 3.5 4.7 Corners for (avg) C F 3.5 4.2 6.7
6.9 6.7 5 Corners against (avg) C A 8 7 5.5
1.7 1.5 1.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.5 2.8 2.6
1 1 0 Red cards R C 1 1 1
 
98 54 37 Total Shots T S 12 48 144
44 26 16 Shots on Target S O 4 18 55
41% 50% 44% Goal Efficiency G E 75% 39% 27%
Key stats in Obos-Ligaen this season:
  • All of Sandnes Ulf's matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Raufoss has the fewest matches over the total-line (3)
  • Raufoss has the most matches under the total-line (8)
  • Raufoss have created more than twice as many corners as Sandnes Ulf.
  • Raufoss have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Raufoss have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Raufoss have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Raufoss have yet to win a game away.
  • Raufoss haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Sandnes Ulf has the most conceded goals in the first half (12)
  • Sandnes Ulf have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • Sandnes Ulf have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their home matches.
  • Sandnes Ulf have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Sandnes Ulf have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Sandnes Ulf haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Tromsø 11 8 1 2 19 8 6 5 1 0 14 4 5 3 0 2 5 4 11 25
2 Ranheim 11 8 0 3 34 20 6 5 0 1 23 9 5 3 0 2 11 11 14 24
3 Sogndal 11 6 2 3 27 17 5 4 0 1 15 5 6 2 2 2 12 12 10 20
4 Åsane 11 5 3 3 20 14 6 2 1 3 10 12 5 3 2 0 10 2 6 18
5 Grorud 11 5 2 4 18 15 6 4 0 2 11 6 5 1 2 2 7 9 3 17
6 Sandnes Ulf 11 5 2 4 18 24 6 4 1 1 13 9 5 1 1 3 5 15 -6 17
7 Lillestrøm 11 4 4 3 16 14 5 1 2 2 6 7 6 3 2 1 10 7 2 16
8 Jerv 11 3 6 2 18 15 5 2 3 0 9 7 6 1 3 2 9 8 3 15
9 Stjørdals-Blink 11 4 3 4 21 21 6 2 3 1 15 12 5 2 0 3 6 9 0 15
10 KFUM 11 3 4 4 15 17 6 3 2 1 10 6 5 0 2 3 5 11 -2 13
11 Ullensaker / Kisa 11 2 5 4 17 23 6 2 3 1 11 9 5 0 2 3 6 14 -6 11
12 Raufoss 11 2 5 4 15 17 5 2 3 0 8 4 6 0 2 4 7 13 -2 10
13 Øygarden 11 2 4 5 17 25 5 1 2 2 6 8 6 1 2 3 11 17 -8 10
14 Kongsvinger 11 2 3 6 12 22 5 1 1 3 3 8 6 1 2 3 9 14 -10 9
15 Strømmen 11 3 2 6 14 22 5 3 1 1 10 7 6 0 1 5 4 15 -8 8
16 HamKam 11 1 4 6 21 28 5 0 2 3 11 14 6 1 2 3 10 14 -7 7

Read more about Obos-Ligaen

The Norwegian 1. divisjon (usually referred to as OBOS-ligaen) is the second highest level of football in Norway. 16 teams play each other home and away. After these 240 fixtures the top two teams in the league table are promoted, while another can promote through playoff. Relegation follows a similar system.