Eliteserien prediction and preview: Sarpsborg 08 modest favorites to beat Stabæk

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Competition: Norway Eliteserien
Competition: Sat 03.October
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Sarpsborg Stadion (8022 seats)

Getting closer to the top teams is at stake when these two mid-table clubs battle it out. Both will be aiming to improve their league table standing, Sarpsborg 08 in 8th and Stabæk in 10th place.

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

Sarpsborg's stadium, Sarpsborg Stadion, has a artifical turf surface. Stabæk have grass on their own stadium. This might or might not make a difference, and to help evaluate that we give you the recent performance numbers for Stabæk when playing on artifical turf; 10 wins, 6 draws and 13 losses from 29 matches. They have scored 46 goals in these games and conceded 49.

D W W L L

Sarpsborg 08 form and stats

The story so far in the Eliteserien for Sarpsborg 08, who have the most clean sheets (8) in Eliteserien, at their home stadium (Sarpsborg Stadion) is 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats.

Nothing to worry about in defence for Sarpsborg 08, as their goalkeeper David Mitov-Nilsson has completely shut out the opponents for 284 minutes in the Eliteserien.

Sarpsborg drew their last game, 0-0 away at Strømsgodset (placed 13th). Before that game, the 2-0 home victory against Mjøndalen.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Sarpsborg 08 have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found six games) they have won three times, drawn two and lost one.

Sarpsborg are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 13 goals in 10 games. From these home matches, Sarpsborg have conceded only 9 goals.

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Stabæk form and stats

2 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. That’s the product of Stabæk playing as the away team in the Eliteserien this season.

Stabæk go into this game after a win, the home game against Start that ended 2-0. A 0-2 defeat away at Odd before that.

We have checked recent matches where Stabæk have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those seven games were two victories, three draws and two defeats.

Stabæk are not goal shy away from home in the league, finding the net 14 times in 9 away games so far. Stabæk have conceded 18 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Stabæk - Sarpsborg 1-1. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: five - four - one (Sarpsborg wins - draws - Stabæk wins). As for goals, eight matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), two had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Sarpsborg 08M. Abdellaoue
M. Abdellaoue
6 goals
StabækH. Vetlesen
H. Vetlesen
4 goals
StabækK. Hansen
K. Hansen
4 goals

Sarpsborg 08 missing players

Stabæk missing players

Sarpsborg 08 Stabæk
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
19 10 1 Played P 2 9 19
7 5 0 Won W 1 2 6
3 1 0 Drew D 1 4 7
9 4 1 Lost L 0 3 6
21 13 0 Scored S 5 14 25
25 9 1 Conceded C 4 18 28
89% 90% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 89% 89%
63% 60% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 89% 84%
47% 40% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 78% 53%
21% 20% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 67% 37%
16% 10% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 22% 11%
32% 20% 0% BTTS BTTS 100% 78% 53%
42% 50% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 11% 26%
37% 40% 100% Failed to Score F T 0% 22% 32%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.9 1.8 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 1.3 1.3
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
263 170 20 Total Shots T S 28 116 234
70 46 5 Shots on Target S O 10 29 65
30% 28% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 48% 38%
Key stats in Eliteserien this season:
  • Sarpsborg 08 has the fewest dropped points from leading position (0) in Eliteserien
  • Sarpsborg 08 has the fewest matches over the total-line (6) in Eliteserien
  • Sarpsborg 08 has the most clean sheets (5) at home in Eliteserien
  • Sarpsborg 08 has the most clean sheets (8) in Eliteserien
  • Sarpsborg 08 has the most matches under the total-line (12) in Eliteserien
  • Stabæk have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bodø / Glimt 19 17 2 0 67 20 9 9 0 0 35 7 10 8 2 0 32 13 47 53
2 Rosenborg 19 10 5 4 36 20 10 6 3 1 23 11 9 4 2 3 13 9 16 35
3 Odd 19 11 2 6 36 28 10 7 1 2 21 12 9 4 1 4 15 16 8 35
4 Molde 19 11 1 7 46 23 9 7 0 2 24 6 10 4 1 5 22 17 23 34
5 Vålerenga 19 9 5 5 29 26 9 6 3 0 20 10 10 3 2 5 9 16 3 32
6 Kristiansund 19 8 7 4 39 28 9 4 3 2 24 16 10 4 4 2 15 12 11 31
7 Viking 19 8 4 7 36 36 9 4 2 3 21 16 10 4 2 4 15 20 0 28
8 Stabæk 19 6 7 6 25 28 10 4 3 3 11 10 9 2 4 3 14 18 -3 25
9 Sarpsborg 08 19 7 3 9 21 25 10 5 1 4 13 9 9 2 2 5 8 16 -4 24
10 Brann 19 6 5 8 24 31 9 2 3 4 12 12 10 4 2 4 12 19 -7 23
11 Sandefjord 19 7 2 10 20 29 9 3 2 4 7 11 10 4 0 6 13 18 -9 23
12 Haugesund 19 6 4 9 23 31 10 4 2 4 16 18 9 2 2 5 7 13 -8 22
13 Strømsgodset 19 5 7 7 26 35 10 3 4 3 15 18 9 2 3 4 11 17 -9 22
14 Start 19 3 6 10 19 38 10 3 4 3 12 14 9 0 2 7 7 24 -19 15
15 Mjøndalen 19 4 2 13 14 32 9 2 0 7 6 14 10 2 2 6 8 18 -18 14
16 Aalesund 19 1 4 14 24 55 10 1 2 7 13 28 9 0 2 7 11 27 -31 7

Sarpsborg 08:
Stabæk:
Eliteserien:
Norway:

Read more about Eliteserien

Eliteserien is at the top of the Norwegian football league system. Seasons run from March to November with the 16 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 240 fixtures. When all these are played, the top team in the league table is the the “League Winner” while the winner of the cup in Norway is the “Norwegian Champion”.