Willem II meet MVV Maastricht as clear favourites: Big betting preview

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Competition: Sun 26.March
Match begins: 12:30 (UTC)
Venue: Koning Willem II Stadion (14637 seats)

Willem II have performed excellent football this season, sitting at 5th spot in the table. MVV Maastricht can look both up and down the table from their 7th position.

Insights:
  • Willem II have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • MVV Maastricht have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

One slightly interesting match fact is that this game is played on grass and that the visiting MVV Maastricht have a different surface at their stadium (artifical turf). The impact of this is hard to measure exactly, but the visitors stats on grass is 6-1-8 (win-draw-loss) from 15 matches.

This looks to be an engaging match with lots of action and energy as both squads are well refreshed since they last saw competitive action. Let's start!

W L D W D

Willem II form and stats

Willem II have collected 26 points from their Eerste Divisie home games so far after 8-2-4.

Willem II enjoyed a nice away win last time out, playing at ADO Den Haag (after extra-time)'s place. The match ended 3-1 with Verreth and Kabangu (2) scoring. The forward Kabangu was announced as "man of the match" for Willem with a rating of 8.1/10. Kabangu scored two goals.

Ahead of that match, Willem II lost 2-3 at home to PEC Zwolle (after extra-time).

The home team are expected to win this game about three out of four times, according to the bookmaker odds. When checking the database for Willem II home games with this odds we find 5 games with a similar winning chance. Resulting in 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat. Looking at the victories, 0 matches were won by at least two goals.

Both teams score at least one goal! That has been the case in 5 league games in a row for this team. Will it happen again?

A decent goal production from Willem in their home games so far, with 23 goals from 14 league matches.

W L L W L

MVV Maastricht form and stats

There's been little loot from MVV Maastricht's travels as they have only collected 11 points from 14 away games in the Eerste Divisie. MVV Maastricht only have 3 wins to counter their 9 defeats and 2 draws. Three consecutive losses in away matches means MVV Maastricht are growing more and more desperate for a good performance on the road.

Steuckers scored in Maastricht's previous match, the home game against Jong Utrecht (after extra-time) that ended 1-0. Goalkeeper Matthys was absolutely vital in the MVV Maastricht victory against Jong Utrecht, making seven saves. Steuckers got a match rating of 8.3 in that game, top player of the team. Steuckers scored one goal, hit four key passes, dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times and had 44 successful passes (of 54 total).

A 1-4 defeat away at NAC Breda (after extra-time) before that.

We have done a similar check as we did with the hometeam, looking up recent matches where MVV Maastricht played away with similar odds. This revealed 12 games. The visitors overcame the odds to win 4 times, 1 were draw and the home team won as expected 7 times.

Goal-happy betting people should observe that 10 of this club's 13 most recent league rounds have ended with three or more goals.

MVV Maastricht have scored 19 goals on their travels this season, from 14 away games in the league. People interested in "over 2,5 goals" betting will like to know that Maastricht concede an average of more than 2,5 goals per away match all on their own.

Head 2 Head

MVV Maastricht have avoided a loss in the last 4 matches (2-2-0) facing Willem II.

The participants have faced each other already this season, with the match result MVV Maastricht - Willem II 3-2 registered in the official records.

Top Goalscorers

MVV MaastrichtR. van Bommel
R. van Bommel
10 goals
MVV MaastrichtJ. Steuckers
J. Steuckers
8 goals
MVV MaastrichtK. Kostons
K. Kostons
8 goals

Willem II missing players

MVV Maastricht missing players

Willem II MVV Maastricht
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
29 14 5 Played P 4 14 29
13 8 4 Won W 1 3 13
8 2 0 Drew D 1 2 5
8 4 1 Lost L 2 9 11
49 23 6 Scored S 4 19 53
34 14 3 Conceded C 9 36 52
93% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
76% 71% 40% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 86% 83%
66% 57% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 86% 72%
34% 14% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 50% 55%
14% 14% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 36% 31%
69% 64% 40% BTTS BTTS 50% 71% 69%
28% 36% 60% Clean Sheets C S 25% 14% 17%
10% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 25% 14% 14%
 
6.3 6.7 8 Corners for (avg) C F 2.2 3.8 3.4
2.9 2.1 1.4 Corners against (avg) C A 9.8 6.5 5.8
1.7 1.5 1.4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 1.9 1.7
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
12.6 14.4 13.8 Shots (avg) S ( 6.8 8.6 9.4
4.2 4.8 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.2 3.4 4
40% 34% 24% Goal Efficiency G E 44% 40% 45%
 
8.3 6.9 5.6 Shots against (avg) S A 14.8 15.6 13.9
3.1 2.5 1.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.8 6.7 5.3
Key stats in Eerste Divisie this season:
  • MVV Maastricht have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • MVV Maastricht haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Willem II have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Willem II have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.
  • Willem II haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 PEC Zwolle 30 22 3 5 81 32 15 11 2 2 47 17 15 11 1 3 34 15 49 69
2 Heracles Almelo 29 20 3 6 83 33 14 11 2 1 51 14 15 9 1 5 32 19 50 63
3 Almere City 29 16 4 9 42 32 14 7 3 4 24 17 15 9 1 5 18 15 10 52
4 VVV-Venlo 30 15 7 8 48 39 15 5 6 4 19 15 15 10 1 4 29 24 9 52
5 Willem II 29 13 8 8 49 34 14 8 2 4 23 14 15 5 6 4 26 20 15 47
6 FC Eindhoven 30 13 8 9 44 42 15 8 4 3 30 18 15 5 4 6 14 24 2 47
7 MVV Maastricht 29 13 5 11 53 52 15 10 3 2 34 16 14 3 2 9 19 36 1 44
8 NAC Breda 30 13 4 13 49 54 15 8 2 5 27 21 15 5 2 8 22 33 -5 43
9 Roda JC Kerkrade 30 12 5 13 41 40 15 7 2 6 23 20 15 5 3 7 18 20 1 41
10 Jong AZ 30 11 8 11 49 49 15 7 6 2 32 20 15 4 2 9 17 29 0 41
11 Telstar 29 10 10 9 30 41 14 5 4 5 16 21 15 5 6 4 14 20 -11 40
12 Graafschap 30 11 6 13 47 41 15 7 2 6 21 15 15 4 4 7 26 26 6 39
13 ADO Den Haag 30 10 9 11 36 44 15 5 4 6 21 23 15 5 5 5 15 21 -8 39
14 Jong PSV 30 10 8 12 46 49 15 6 2 7 25 25 15 4 6 5 21 24 -3 38
15 Helmond Sport 29 9 6 14 28 45 15 7 3 5 22 18 14 2 3 9 6 27 -17 33
16 Jong Ajax 30 7 10 13 51 58 15 4 5 6 27 22 15 3 5 7 24 36 -7 31
17 FC Den Bosch 29 9 3 17 40 70 15 7 2 6 27 26 14 2 1 11 13 44 -30 30
18 TOP Oss 29 9 3 17 34 54 15 5 1 9 21 27 14 4 2 8 13 27 -20 30
19 FC Dordrecht 29 7 5 17 32 51 14 4 2 8 18 23 15 3 3 9 14 28 -19 26
20 Jong Utrecht 29 5 5 19 27 50 15 3 3 9 12 18 14 2 2 10 15 32 -23 20

Read more about Eerste Divisie

The Eerste Divisie, meaning “First Division”, is the second highest level of football in the Netherlands. 20 teams play two fixtures against each other to form a final league table after 380 games. The winning team is promoted with a creative playoff system deciding whether more teams promote.