Football preview: Home fans have high hopes when NAC Breda greet MVV Maastricht

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Competition: Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Competition: Fri 10.March
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Rat Verlegh Stadion (19000 seats)

A classic home victory, the away team steals the points or an exciting draw? Anything could happen when the mid-table sides NAC Breda and MVV Maastricht meet at Rat Verlegh Stadion.

Insights:
  • NAC Breda haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • MVV Maastricht have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

MVV Maastricht play their home fixtures on artifical turf, while this fixture will take place on grass. Relevant results for MVV Maastricht when playing on grass are 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats from 15 matches. They have managed to score {23 goals} and conceded 33 times in these games.

The hosts NAC Breda saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the Eerste Divisie. That game was an away game at Jong PSV, so at least NAC Breda are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

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NAC Breda form and stats

NAC Breda have collected 23 points from their Eerste Divisie home games so far after 7-2-4. Ever since the Almere City game Breda has been unbeatable here at Rat Verlegh Stadion producing four straight wins.

Happy days for NAC Breda in their previous game, a fixture away at Jong PSV (placed 14th) that ended with a 2-1 victory. Martina, defender, was given a rating of 8.72/10 in that game, top of the team. Martina scored two goals and won 4 of 5 duels.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting FC Dordrecht in a game that was won 3-2.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Breda's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played 7 games, won 5 matches, drawn 1 and lost 1.

Some goal stats: A review of the 11 most recent league matches reveals that 9 of them had at least one goal scored by each team.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for NAC Breda, as the Eerste Divisie home game vs Jong Ajax is only three days away.

NAC Breda have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Rat Verlegh Stadion with 21 goals in 13 league matches. 14 goals have been conceded.

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MVV Maastricht form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for MVV Maastricht so far with only 11 points returning home. The records show 3-2-8 (win-draw-lose). Maastricht seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

MVV Maastricht failed to get anything from their last game, a home match vs VVV-Venlo (placed 4th) that ended with defeat 0-1.

Prior to that match, a home win 3-2 against PEC Zwolle.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Maastricht when being an outsider away as they are today, we find 6 matches with the visitors losing 5 times, drawing 0 and winning 1 game.

Goal hungry football fans should note that 9 of this side's 11 latest league fixtures have ended with three or more goals.

MVV Maastricht have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 13 league away games 18 goals have been scored. The MVV Maastricht manager Verberne has some worries about the defense as 32 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

The duelists have met previously this season: MVV Maastricht - Breda 3-1. Data for the previous ten meetings involving these two teams are: five wins for NAC Breda, three draws and two wins for MVV Maastricht. Over 2,5 goals: five times; under 2,5 goals: five games.

Top Goalscorers

NAC BredaO. Velanas
O. Velanas
13 goals
NAC BredaJ. van der Sande
J. van der Sande
10 goals
MVV MaastrichtR. van Bommel
R. van Bommel
9 goals

NAC Breda missing players

MVV Maastricht missing players

Total First Half Second Half
NAC Breda MVV Maastricht
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
27 13 4 Played P 4 13 27
12 7 2 Won W 0 3 12
4 2 1 Drew D 0 2 5
11 4 1 Lost L 4 8 10
43 21 9 Scored S 6 18 51
45 14 4 Conceded C 12 32 48
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
89% 77% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 85% 85%
70% 46% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 85% 74%
41% 23% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 46% 56%
19% 15% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 31% 30%
74% 62% 75% BTTS BTTS 100% 69% 70%
15% 23% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 15% 15%
11% 15% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 15% 15%
 
5.1 5.3 6.2 Corners for (avg) C F 5.5 3.7 3.3
4.5 4.2 2.2 Corners against (avg) C A 7.5 6.7 6
1.7 1.7 1.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 2 1.7
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
9.9 10.7 13.2 Shots (avg) S ( 10.5 8.8 9.4
4.3 4.5 5.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 3.5 4
37% 36% 41% Goal Efficiency G E 43% 40% 47%
 
11.2 9.8 11 Shots against (avg) S A 15.2 14.8 13.4
4.5 3.4 4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6.8 6.7 5.1
Key stats in Eerste Divisie this season:
  • MVV Maastricht have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • MVV Maastricht haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • NAC Breda haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 PEC Zwolle 27 19 3 5 75 30 14 10 2 2 45 17 13 9 1 3 30 13 45 60
2 Heracles Almelo 27 18 3 6 76 32 13 10 2 1 49 14 14 8 1 5 27 18 44 57
3 Almere City 27 15 4 8 39 29 13 7 3 3 23 14 14 8 1 5 16 15 10 49
4 VVV-Venlo 27 13 6 8 40 37 13 4 5 4 14 14 14 9 1 4 26 23 3 45
5 Willem II 27 12 8 7 44 30 13 8 2 3 21 11 14 4 6 4 23 19 14 44
6 FC Eindhoven 27 12 6 9 37 39 13 7 3 3 24 16 14 5 3 6 13 23 -2 42
7 MVV Maastricht 27 12 5 10 51 48 14 9 3 2 33 16 13 3 2 8 18 32 3 41
8 Jong AZ 27 11 7 9 48 44 14 7 5 2 31 19 13 4 2 7 17 25 4 40
9 NAC Breda 27 12 4 11 43 45 13 7 2 4 21 14 14 5 2 7 22 31 -2 40
10 Roda JC Kerkrade 27 11 4 12 37 37 13 6 2 5 20 18 14 5 2 7 17 19 0 37
11 De Graafschap 27 10 6 11 42 38 14 7 2 5 21 14 13 3 4 6 21 24 4 36
12 Telstar 27 9 9 9 26 38 14 5 4 5 16 21 13 4 5 4 10 17 -12 36
13 ADO Den Haag 27 9 8 10 31 38 14 5 4 5 20 20 13 4 4 5 11 18 -7 35
14 Jong PSV 27 8 8 11 43 45 14 5 2 7 23 24 13 3 6 4 20 21 -2 32
15 TOP Oss 27 9 3 15 31 46 13 5 1 7 18 19 14 4 2 8 13 27 -15 30
16 Helmond Sport 27 8 5 14 23 43 13 6 2 5 17 16 14 2 3 9 6 27 -20 29
17 Jong Ajax 27 6 10 11 44 49 14 4 5 5 27 20 13 2 5 6 17 29 -5 28
18 FC Den Bosch 27 8 3 16 37 65 14 6 2 6 24 25 13 2 1 10 13 40 -28 27
19 FC Dordrecht 27 7 5 15 31 44 13 4 2 7 18 19 14 3 3 8 13 25 -13 26
20 Jong Utrecht 27 5 5 17 27 48 14 3 3 8 12 17 13 2 2 9 15 31 -21 20

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 PEC Zwolle 27 19 3 5 75 30 14 10 2 2 45 17 13 9 1 3 30 13 45 60
2 Heracles Almelo 27 18 3 6 76 32 13 10 2 1 49 14 14 8 1 5 27 18 44 57
3 Almere City 27 15 4 8 39 29 13 7 3 3 23 14 14 8 1 5 16 15 10 49
4 VVV-Venlo 27 13 6 8 40 37 13 4 5 4 14 14 14 9 1 4 26 23 3 45
5 Willem II 27 12 8 7 44 30 13 8 2 3 21 11 14 4 6 4 23 19 14 44
6 FC Eindhoven 27 12 6 9 37 39 13 7 3 3 24 16 14 5 3 6 13 23 -2 42
7 MVV Maastricht 27 12 5 10 51 48 14 9 3 2 33 16 13 3 2 8 18 32 3 41
8 Jong AZ 27 11 7 9 48 44 14 7 5 2 31 19 13 4 2 7 17 25 4 40
9 NAC Breda 27 12 4 11 43 45 13 7 2 4 21 14 14 5 2 7 22 31 -2 40
10 Roda JC Kerkrade 27 11 4 12 37 37 13 6 2 5 20 18 14 5 2 7 17 19 0 37
11 De Graafschap 27 10 6 11 42 38 14 7 2 5 21 14 13 3 4 6 21 24 4 36
12 Telstar 27 9 9 9 26 38 14 5 4 5 16 21 13 4 5 4 10 17 -12 36
13 ADO Den Haag 27 9 8 10 31 38 14 5 4 5 20 20 13 4 4 5 11 18 -7 35
14 Jong PSV 27 8 8 11 43 45 14 5 2 7 23 24 13 3 6 4 20 21 -2 32
15 TOP Oss 27 9 3 15 31 46 13 5 1 7 18 19 14 4 2 8 13 27 -15 30
16 Helmond Sport 27 8 5 14 23 43 13 6 2 5 17 16 14 2 3 9 6 27 -20 29
17 Jong Ajax 27 6 10 11 44 49 14 4 5 5 27 20 13 2 5 6 17 29 -5 28
18 FC Den Bosch 27 8 3 16 37 65 14 6 2 6 24 25 13 2 1 10 13 40 -28 27
19 FC Dordrecht 27 7 5 15 31 44 13 4 2 7 18 19 14 3 3 8 13 25 -13 26
20 Jong Utrecht 27 5 5 17 27 48 14 3 3 8 12 17 13 2 2 9 15 31 -21 20

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Read more about Eerste Divisie

The Eerste Divisie, meaning “First Division”, is the second highest level of football in the Netherlands. 20 teams play two fixtures against each other to form a final league table after 380 games. The winning team is promoted with a creative playoff system deciding whether more teams promote.