Eerste Divisie match prediction: Little separates MVV Maastricht and VVV-Venlo in quality

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Competition: Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Competition: Fri 03.March
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: De Geusselt (10000 seats)

Tempo is likely at De Geusselt when MVV Maastricht face VVV-Venlo in what should be a grand fixture. Read more!

Insights:
  • MVV Maastricht have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • VVV-Venlo have the most points from losing position (19) in Eerste Divisie

These are full days for the home side, as they had a game only four days ago in the Eerste Divisie. Thankfully the previous game, versus PEC Zwolle, was also a home game here at De Geusselt. The away team is better rested.

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MVV Maastricht form and stats

MVV Maastricht are steadily winning Eerste Divisie games and points here at De Geusselt. 9 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat is the summary from 13 games.

Maastricht's last game was hosting PEC Zwolle (placed 1st) and winning 3-2. The game against PEC Zwolle had lots of late drama as MVV Maastricht came back from being down 0-2 and finally secured the victory through Azrak's goal in the 90th minute. Maastricht goalkeeper Matthys did an outstanding job against PEC Zwolle with seven saves, so vital to securing the victory. Kostons, who usually features in attack, was the best player for the side in that game, and was presented with a rating of 8.61 (out of 10). Kostons scored one goal, served one assist, hit one key pass, dribled past the opponent 3 of 3 times and had 21 successful passes (of 24 total).

Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Jong Ajax (2-4).

Some goal stats: A review of the 10 most recent league matches highlights that 9 of them had at least one goal scored by each team.

MVV Maastricht are an "over 2,5 goals" team alone here at De Geusselt in their league games, having scored an impressive 33 goals in 13 matches. MVV Maastricht have conceded 15 in these home matches.

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VVV-Venlo form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Eerste Divisie travels is 8 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats.

The manager Kruijs was unhappy after their last game, played at their home stadium Covebo Stadion - De Koel -. VVV-Venlo suffered a 0-1 loss to TOP Oss (placed 18th). Dekker, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 7.81. Dekker hit one key pass and won 10 of 14 duels.

Prior to that result VVV-Venlo won their away game at FC Dordrecht. The scoreline was 2-1.

VVV-Venlo are not goal shy away from home in the league, finding the net 25 times in 13 away games so far. VVV-Venlo struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 23 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

VVV-Venlo have won all of the 9 latest duels versus this side. Will the streak continue?

The records show that this isn''t the first time these two sides face each other this campaign, as the history books show this recent game: VVV-Venlo - Maastricht 2-1.

Top Goalscorers

MVV MaastrichtR. van Bommel
R. van Bommel
9 goals
VVV-VenloS. Braken
S. Braken
9 goals
VVV-VenloN. Venema
N. Venema
9 goals

MVV Maastricht missing players

VVV-Venlo missing players

MVV Maastricht VVV-Venlo
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
26 13 4 Played P 2 13 26
12 9 3 Won W 0 8 12
5 3 0 Drew D 0 1 6
9 1 1 Lost L 2 4 8
51 33 7 Scored S 3 25 39
47 15 6 Conceded C 7 23 37
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 92%
88% 92% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 85%
77% 69% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 69% 58%
58% 69% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 31% 23%
31% 31% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 31% 15%
73% 77% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 77% 65%
15% 15% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 15% 19%
12% 8% 25% Failed to Score F T 50% 8% 23%
 
3.2 2.7 2 Corners for (avg) C F 3.5 4.7 5.4
6 5.3 3.5 Corners against (avg) C A 7 5.3 5.5
1.7 1.5 1.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.5 1.2 1.8
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
9 9.2 7 Shots (avg) S ( 8.5 11.3 10.8
3.9 4.4 2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 5.4 4.8
50% 58% 88% Goal Efficiency G E 43% 36% 31%
 
13.2 11.5 11.5 Shots against (avg) S A 15.5 10.5 9.5
5.1 3.5 3.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7.5 4.6 4
Key stats in Eerste Divisie this season:
  • All of VVV-Venlo's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • MVV Maastricht have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • MVV Maastricht haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • VVV-Venlo have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • VVV-Venlo have the most points from losing position (19) in Eerste Divisie
  • VVV-Venlo haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 PEC Zwolle 26 18 3 5 62 30 13 9 2 2 32 17 13 9 1 3 30 13 32 57
2 Heracles 26 17 3 6 73 32 13 10 2 1 49 14 13 7 1 5 24 18 41 54
3 Almere City 26 14 4 8 38 29 13 7 3 3 23 14 13 7 1 5 15 15 9 46
4 Willem II 26 12 7 7 42 28 13 8 2 3 21 11 13 4 5 4 21 17 14 43
5 VVV-Venlo 26 12 6 8 39 37 13 4 5 4 14 14 13 8 1 4 25 23 2 42
6 MVV Maastricht 26 12 5 9 51 47 13 9 3 1 33 15 13 3 2 8 18 32 4 41
7 Jong AZ 26 11 6 9 46 42 13 7 4 2 29 17 13 4 2 7 17 25 4 39
8 FC Eindhoven 26 11 6 9 36 39 13 7 3 3 24 16 13 4 3 6 12 23 -3 39
9 NAC Breda 26 11 4 11 41 44 13 7 2 4 21 14 13 4 2 7 20 30 -3 37
10 Telstar 26 9 9 8 26 37 13 5 4 4 16 20 13 4 5 4 10 17 -11 36
11 ADO Den Haag 26 9 8 9 31 35 13 5 4 4 20 17 13 4 4 5 11 18 -4 35
12 Roda JC Kerkrade 26 10 4 12 34 36 13 6 2 5 20 18 13 4 2 7 14 18 -2 34
13 Graafschap 26 9 6 11 40 38 13 6 2 5 19 14 13 3 4 6 21 24 2 33
14 Jong PSV 26 8 8 10 42 43 13 5 2 6 22 22 13 3 6 4 20 21 -1 32
15 Helmond Sport 26 8 5 13 23 41 13 6 2 5 17 16 13 2 3 8 6 25 -18 29
16 Jong Ajax 26 6 10 10 43 47 13 4 5 4 26 18 13 2 5 6 17 29 -4 28
17 FC Den Bosch 26 8 3 15 37 52 14 6 2 6 24 25 12 2 1 9 13 27 -15 27
18 TOP Oss 26 8 3 15 29 45 13 5 1 7 18 19 13 3 2 8 11 26 -16 27
19 FC Dordrecht 26 7 5 14 31 43 12 4 2 6 18 18 14 3 3 8 13 25 -12 26
20 Jong Utrecht 26 5 5 16 26 45 13 3 3 7 11 14 13 2 2 9 15 31 -19 20

Read more about Eerste Divisie

The Eerste Divisie, meaning “First Division”, is the second highest level of football in the Netherlands. 20 teams play two fixtures against each other to form a final league table after 380 games. The winning team is promoted with a creative playoff system deciding whether more teams promote.