Liga MX match prediction: Little separates Tijuana and Toluca in quality

These teams have little in common geographically as Toluca have to travel 2700 kilometers to reach their opponents. The trip home will be especially long if the match ends in defeat.

This has all the signs of an engrossing fixture with lots of fun and bustle as both teams are well renewed since they last ran out on the pitch. Get this show on the road!

Tijuana form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the Liga MX this season. Tijuana have only managed 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their games here at Estadio Caliente. When Tijuana hosts teams that live on the top of the table (like Tigres UANL, Monterrey, Pachuca, Santos Laguna and América), they have won 2 of 5 matches!

No payout for Tijuana in their previous match, an away game at Santos Laguna that ended in defeat 2-3. Midfielder Rodríguez was the best player on the team with a rating of 8.1 (out of ten) in that game. Rodríguez scored one goal, served one assist, hit three key passes, dribled past the opponent 6 of 8 times and had 35 successful passes (of 37 total).

This is expected to be a close game, with Tijuana perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Tijuana as a small favourite), we find 11 games. Tijuana has won 3 of these, drawn 5 and lost 3.

Tijuana are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 9 goals in 8 games. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 13 goals have been conceded. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

Toluca form and stats

The visitors are W3-D2-L3 on the road this term. That's in the Liga MX.

Toluca won their last game, 4-1 versus Mazatlán played at home. Midfield player Navarro was the top player of the team with a match rating of 8.45/10. Navarro served one assist, hit four key passes and had 62 successful passes (of 65 total).

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found 8 similar matches played by Toluca in our archives, and the results are: 2 wins for Toluca, 3 draws and 3 defeats.

Toluca have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 8 league away games 10 goals have been scored. It's worth mentioning that 7 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. 10 goals have been conceded by Toluca in these games.

Head 2 Head

Toluca - Tijuana 3-1 was the end result in these participants' latest head-to-head game, played this season. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: five - one - four (Tijuana wins - draws - Toluca wins). As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

C. Da Silva Sanvezzo 11 goals

J. Meneses Villarroel 9 goals

L. Fernández López 8 goals

Tijuana missing players

Toluca missing players