Liga MX match prediction: Little separates Necaxa and Cruz Azul in quality

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Competition: Sun 22.January
Match begins: 03:10 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes (25500 seats)

Which side will win when Cruz Azul visit Necaxa? In this match guide you'll find all the relevant news and numbers needed to get smart.

Insights:
  • Necaxa have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Cruz Azul have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

This should be an engrossing match with lots of fun and bustle as both sides are well renewed since they last saw competitive action. Get this show on the road!

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Necaxa form and stats

The story so far in the Liga MX for Necaxa at their home stadium (Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes) is 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats. Regardless of arena the trend is looking very unhealthy for Necaxa with their four defeats in a row. Not since the Mazatlan game, 120 days ago, have they avoided a loss.

No payout for Necaxa in their previous match, an away game at León that ended in defeat 1-2. The talented striker Batista outdid all others in that fixture and managed a match rating of 7.41 out of 10. Batista scored one goal.

Preceding that match was the home game against Atletico San Luis that was lost 2-3.

This is expected to be a close game, with Necaxa perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Necaxa as a small favourite), we find 9 games. Necaxa has won 4 of these, drawn 1 and lost 4.

Necaxa has scored 11 league goals at home this season, in 8 matches. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 15 goals have been conceded.

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Cruz Azul form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Cruz Azul so far with only 8 points returning home. The records show 2-2-4 (win-draw-lose).

Cruz Azul might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. Monterrey proved too strong as Cruz Azul slumped to a 2-3 defeat in front of their own fans at Estadio Azteca. Midfielder Rodríguez was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 7.42. Rodríguez served one assist, hit three key passes and had 23 successful passes (of 25 total).

Preceding that game, the 1-1 draw paying a visit to Tijuana.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Cruz Azul playing away and similar expectations, we found 9 relevant matches. Results were 3 Cruz Azul wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat.

Goal-happy betting people should observe that 12 of this team's 16 most recent league fixtures have ended with three goals or more.

Cruz have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 8 league away games 11 goals have been scored. Cruz Azul are struggling defensively in their away games, having conceded 11 goals in these matches.

Head 2 Head

It's not the first time these parties meet this season, as the history books show this recent fixture: Cruz Azul - Necaxa 1-0. Last ten meetings with these participants: Necaxa won one, Cruz Azul were winners in six and we saw three draws. five games with more than 2,5 goals, five matches with under 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

NecaxaF. Batista Ochoa
F. Batista Ochoa
8 goals
NecaxaM. Giménez
M. Giménez
4 goals
Cruz AzulC. Antuna Romero
C. Antuna Romero
3 goals

Necaxa missing players

Cruz Azul missing players

Necaxa Cruz Azul
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
20 9 3 Played P 1 10 22
5 3 2 Won W 0 2 8
4 1 0 Drew D 1 3 5
11 5 1 Lost L 0 5 9
22 13 4 Scored S 2 12 30
33 18 6 Conceded C 2 26 41
95% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 90% 91%
75% 89% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 90% 82%
60% 78% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 80% 73%
35% 56% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 60% 41%
10% 22% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 40% 27%
60% 67% 33% BTTS BTTS 100% 60% 64%
15% 22% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 10% 23%
30% 11% 33% Failed to Score F T 0% 40% 23%
 
3.7 4.4 2.3 Corners for (avg) C F 2 3.4 5
5.2 6.4 7.3 Corners against (avg) C A 4 5.1 4.7
2.6 2.9 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 7 2.4 2.3
2 1 1 Red cards R C 0 2 5
 
12.8 12.2 10.3 Shots (avg) S ( 12 11.3 12.5
3.6 3.7 3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5 3.5 4.2
30% 39% 44% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 34% 33%
 
15.2 14.6 18.3 Shots against (avg) S A 10 15.6 13.7
5.2 5.8 7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4 6.5 4.9
Key stats in Liga MX this season:
  • Cruz Azul have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Cruz Azul have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Cruz Azul have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Necaxa have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Necaxa have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Necaxa haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 America 17 12 2 3 38 17 8 6 2 0 20 6 9 6 0 3 18 11 21 38
2 Monterrey 17 10 5 2 29 13 8 5 3 0 14 5 9 5 2 2 15 8 16 35
3 Santos Laguna 17 10 3 4 38 21 9 8 1 0 24 7 8 2 2 4 14 14 17 33
4 Pachuca 17 9 5 3 28 15 9 6 2 1 17 6 8 3 3 2 11 9 13 32
5 Tigres UANL 17 9 3 5 24 14 8 5 1 2 12 6 9 4 2 3 12 8 10 30
6 Toluca 17 7 6 4 27 23 9 4 4 1 17 13 8 3 2 3 10 10 4 27
7 Cruz Azul 17 7 3 7 26 34 9 5 1 3 15 12 8 2 2 4 11 22 -8 24
8 Puebla 17 4 10 3 25 23 9 3 5 1 13 11 8 1 5 2 12 12 2 22
9 Guadalajara 17 5 7 5 19 17 9 3 4 2 7 7 8 2 3 3 12 10 2 22
10 León 17 6 4 7 25 29 8 4 2 2 16 14 9 2 2 5 9 15 -4 22
11 Juarez 17 4 7 6 17 18 9 2 5 2 11 10 8 2 2 4 6 8 -1 19
12 Necaxa 17 5 4 8 19 26 8 3 1 4 11 15 9 2 3 4 8 11 -7 19
13 Atletico San Luis 17 4 6 7 15 23 9 2 2 5 7 12 8 2 4 2 8 11 -8 18
14 Mazatlan 17 3 8 6 17 24 8 2 3 3 9 12 9 1 5 3 8 12 -7 17
15 Tijuana 17 4 5 8 18 30 8 2 2 4 9 13 9 2 3 4 9 17 -12 17
16 Pumas UNAM 17 2 8 7 21 31 9 2 4 3 11 15 8 0 4 4 10 16 -10 14
17 Atlas 17 3 4 10 16 27 8 3 2 3 10 10 9 0 2 7 6 17 -11 13
18 Queretaro 17 1 6 10 18 35 8 1 4 3 10 13 9 0 2 7 8 22 -17 9

Read more about Liga MX

Liga MX is the top division in the Mexican football league system. Each season the league has two tournaments, Apertura (opening) and Clausura (closing). This means that the Liga MX has two champions per season. The Liga MX is the fourth most attended football league in the world.