Early betting action indicate Guadalajara edge when hosting Toluca

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Competition: Mexico Liga MX
Competition: Sun 22.January
Match begins: 03:10 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio AKRON (45000 seats)

Guadalajara will plan to utilise their home advantage to help bridge the gap to today’s opponents. The hosting team are currently 5 points behind Toluca.

Insights:
  • Guadalajara have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (7) in Liga MX
  • Toluca have the most conceded goals in the first half (20) in Liga MX

Guadalajara and Toluca should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

D W L W W

Guadalajara form and stats

Guadalajara have collected 13 points from their Liga MX home games so far after 3-4-2.

Guadalajara are confident in defense, having played 265 minutes without conceding a goal in the league.

The home team returns to Estadio AKRON after drawing with Atlético San Luis on their last time out; the game ended 0-0. Mozo was "man of the match" with a rating of 7.42 out of 10. The defender Mozo hit one key pass and won 4 of 7 duels.

In the preceding match a 1-0 victory visiting Monterrey.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Guadalajara's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played 4 games, won 2 matches, drawn 2 and lost 0.

Guadalajara have scored {7 league goals} here from 9 matches, not a lot. It's worth mentioning that 5 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Guadalajara have only conceded 7 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. It's worth mentioning that 5 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

D W D L D

Toluca form and stats

Playing away, Toluca have won 3 games, drawn 2 and suffered 3 defeats in the Liga MX this season.

Toluca's last game ended in a draw, the home match versus América that finished 2-2. Midfield player Orrantia was the top player of the team with a match rating of 8.03/10. Orrantia scored one goal, hit one key pass and had 26 successful passes (of 28 total).

Before that match, the victory at home hosting Necaxa in the Copa por México (1-0). As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Toluca playing away, we found 5 games. Results were 1 away win, 2 draws and 2 home wins.

Observe that 10 of this side's 12 most recent league matches have ended with three goals or more.

Toluca find the net regularly in their away games. 10 goals from 8 away fixtures in the league. Toluca have conceded 10 goals in these away matches. It's worth mentioning that 5 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Guadalajara have won or drawn the last 4 games (1-3-0) against Toluca.

Strangely enough, Toluca have scored at least one goal in every league game they've had since NOT scoring against today's hosts; the Toluca - Guadalajara 0-0 game 13 rounds ago. The games between these sides sometimes lean towards being hot-tempered, having seen 6 sending-offs from the last ten duels.

Top Goalscorers

TolucaC. Da Silva Sanvezzo
C. Da Silva Sanvezzo
9 goals
TolucaJ. Meneses Villarroel
J. Meneses Villarroel
8 goals
TolucaL. Fernández López
L. Fernández López
6 goals

Guadalajara missing players

Toluca missing players

Guadalajara Toluca
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
20 9 3 Played P 4 11 25
6 3 1 Won W 3 4 11
9 4 1 Drew D 1 3 8
5 2 1 Lost L 0 4 6
21 7 2 Scored S 8 14 43
18 7 4 Conceded C 4 15 39
75% 67% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 96%
55% 33% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 73% 84%
40% 22% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 45% 64%
20% 22% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 36% 48%
5% 11% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 9% 24%
50% 33% 33% BTTS BTTS 75% 73% 80%
45% 56% 67% Clean Sheets C S 25% 9% 12%
30% 44% 33% Failed to Score F T 0% 18% 12%
 
4.8 5.7 7.3 Corners for (avg) C F 2.8 3.1 4.8
4.8 4.4 7 Corners against (avg) C A 8 7.5 5.8
2.4 1.9 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.8 2.6 2.6
6 2 0 Red cards R C 1 2 6
 
15.4 16.3 15.3 Shots (avg) S ( 11.8 10.7 13.4
5 5.4 6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.8 4.5 5.3
21% 14% 11% Goal Efficiency G E 35% 29% 33%
 
12.6 11 14 Shots against (avg) S A 13 17.8 16.8
4.4 4.3 7.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.5 5.4 5.2
Key stats in Liga MX this season:
  • Guadalajara have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (7) in Liga MX
  • Toluca have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Toluca have scored more than double the goals of Guadalajara.
  • Toluca have the most conceded goals in the first half (20) in Liga MX
  • Toluca have the most points from losing position (13) in Liga MX
  • Toluca have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Toluca haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 América 17 12 2 3 38 17 8 6 2 0 20 6 9 6 0 3 18 11 21 38
2 Monterrey 17 10 5 2 29 13 8 5 3 0 14 5 9 5 2 2 15 8 16 35
3 Santos Laguna 17 10 3 4 38 21 9 8 1 0 24 7 8 2 2 4 14 14 17 33
4 Pachuca 17 9 5 3 28 15 9 6 2 1 17 6 8 3 3 2 11 9 13 32
5 Tigres UANL 17 9 3 5 24 14 8 5 1 2 12 6 9 4 2 3 12 8 10 30
6 Toluca 17 7 6 4 27 23 9 4 4 1 17 13 8 3 2 3 10 10 4 27
7 Cruz Azul 17 7 3 7 26 34 9 5 1 3 15 12 8 2 2 4 11 22 -8 24
8 Puebla 17 4 10 3 25 23 9 3 5 1 13 11 8 1 5 2 12 12 2 22
9 Guadalajara 17 5 7 5 19 17 9 3 4 2 7 7 8 2 3 3 12 10 2 22
10 Leon 17 6 4 7 25 29 8 4 2 2 16 14 9 2 2 5 9 15 -4 22
11 Juarez 17 4 7 6 17 18 9 2 5 2 11 10 8 2 2 4 6 8 -1 19
12 Necaxa 17 5 4 8 19 26 8 3 1 4 11 15 9 2 3 4 8 11 -7 19
13 Atlético San Luis 17 4 6 7 15 23 9 2 2 5 7 12 8 2 4 2 8 11 -8 18
14 Mazatlán 17 3 8 6 17 24 8 2 3 3 9 12 9 1 5 3 8 12 -7 17
15 Tijuana 17 4 5 8 18 30 8 2 2 4 9 13 9 2 3 4 9 17 -12 17
16 Pumas UNAM 17 2 8 7 21 31 9 2 4 3 11 15 8 0 4 4 10 16 -10 14
17 Atlas 17 3 4 10 16 27 8 3 2 3 10 10 9 0 2 7 6 17 -11 13
18 Queretaro 17 1 6 10 18 35 8 1 4 3 10 13 9 0 2 7 8 22 -17 9

Read more about Liga MX

Liga MX is the top division in the Mexican football league system. Each season the league has two tournaments, Apertura (opening) and Clausura (closing). This means that the Liga MX has two champions per season. The Liga MX is the fourth most attended football league in the world.