Soccer betting preview: Morelia welcomes Universidad Guadalajara in what could be a tight duel

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Competition: Mexico Liga de Expansión MX
Competition: Sun 27.March
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón (35000 seats)

Liga de Expansión MX: Morelia welcome Universidad Guadalajara in what is nearly guaranteed to be an action-packed football match. Here's all the pre-match info you need!

Insights:
  • Morelia have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Universidad Guadalajara have the most conceded goals in the first half (23) in Liga de Expansión MX

It's no vacation for neither Morelia nor Universidad Guadalajara as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Morelia form and stats

The complete Liga de Expansión MX statistics playing at home this season for Morelia are 4-3-2 (wins-draws-losses).

Ramirez was the last player to score a league goal for Morelia and it's becoming a more and more distant memory as Morelia haven't scored in 220 minutes.

The Morelia regulars got no joy from their last match, also played here at Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón: A 0-1 defeat against Universidad Guadalajara.

Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Atlante (0-2).

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Morelia have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found seven matches with the results: Won four, drawn zero and lost three.

The Morelia fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 13 in 9 matches. On the other hand, Morelia have conceded 12 goals.

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Universidad Guadalajara form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Liga de Expansión MX travels is 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. It’s been three wins in a row for Universidad Guadalajara on their travels, an amazing performance which inspire hopes of making this one the fourth consecutive victory.

264 minutes! That's how long the Universidad goalkeeper Jorge Salim Hernandez Soriano and his defense have shut out their league opponents.

Universidad Guadalajara play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 1-0 victory visiting Morelia.

A 0-0 draw was the result before that, hosting Raya2.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Universidad Guadalajara playing away and similar expectations, we found 14 relevant matches. Results were five Universidad Guadalajara wins, two draws and seven defeats.

Universidad are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 10 away goals from 9 games (in the league). It's worth mentioning that 6 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Universidad Guadalajara have conceded 12 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

This was the scoreline when the contenders met earlier this campaign; Morelia - Universidad Guadalajara 0-1. Head-to-head data (for the preceeding six meetings): Morelia won two games, one match ended with a draw and Universidad Guadalajara managed three wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: three / three

Top Goalscorers

Universidad GuadalajaraM. Granados Villegas
M. Granados Villegas
9 goals
MoreliaJ. Ramírez Díaz
J. Ramírez Díaz
8 goals

Morelia missing players

Universidad Guadalajara missing players

Morelia Universidad Guadalajara
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
31 16 5 Played P 5 16 32
14 8 2 Won W 1 7 16
8 3 2 Drew D 2 4 7
9 5 1 Lost L 2 5 9
44 23 8 Scored S 2 18 42
37 19 8 Conceded C 6 19 36
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 94% 91%
74% 69% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 62% 66%
55% 56% 80% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 44% 53%
29% 31% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 19% 22%
3% 6% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 12%
55% 56% 80% BTTS BTTS 20% 50% 53%
29% 25% 0% Clean Sheets C S 40% 38% 34%
16% 19% 20% Failed to Score F T 60% 19% 22%
 
5.2 5.2 6.8 Corners for (avg) C F 4 3.8 4.4
4.9 4.3 4 Corners against (avg) C A 3.2 4.3 4.4
2.3 1.9 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.8 2.8 2.8
5 1 0 Red cards R C 0 2 4
 
10.4 11.6 10.2 Shots (avg) S ( 6.2 7.3 8.1
4.6 5.1 4.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.6 2.9 3.3
31% 28% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 15% 39% 40%
 
9.1 8.8 7.4 Shots against (avg) S A 8.2 8.6 9.6
3.8 4.2 3.6 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.8 3.5 3.6
Key stats in Liga de Expansión MX this season:
  • Morelia have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Morelia haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Universidad Guadalajara have the most conceded goals in the first half (23) in Liga de Expansión MX
  • Universidad Guadalajara have the most points from losing position (21) in Liga de Expansión MX

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Dorados 16 11 4 1 34 13 9 7 1 1 21 8 7 4 3 0 13 5 21 41
2 Atlante 16 9 4 3 22 9 8 6 1 1 12 4 8 3 3 2 10 5 13 33
3 Morelia 16 8 4 4 22 18 9 4 3 2 13 12 7 4 1 2 9 6 4 32
4 Celaya 16 7 4 5 20 16 7 4 2 1 11 5 9 3 2 4 9 11 4 28
5 Pumas Tabasco 16 5 8 3 16 15 7 0 5 2 3 7 9 5 3 1 13 8 1 28
6 Universidad Guadalajara 16 7 4 5 21 18 7 4 2 1 11 6 9 3 2 4 10 12 3 27
7 Tampico Madero 16 4 10 2 23 18 9 2 5 2 14 13 7 2 5 0 9 5 5 24
8 Cimarrones de Sonora 16 6 3 7 22 22 7 3 1 3 9 7 9 3 2 4 13 15 0 24
9 Venados 16 6 3 7 17 19 9 4 2 3 12 7 7 2 1 4 5 12 -2 23
10 Mineros de Zacatecas 16 6 1 9 24 28 8 3 0 5 11 14 8 3 1 4 13 14 -4 21
11 Correcaminos UAT 16 5 4 7 19 27 8 3 3 2 11 11 8 2 1 5 8 16 -8 20
12 Tepatitlan de Morelos 16 4 6 6 17 20 8 3 2 3 10 11 8 1 4 3 7 9 -3 19
13 Tlaxcala 16 4 6 6 15 20 8 2 5 1 8 6 8 2 1 5 7 14 -5 19
14 Raya2 16 4 5 7 16 18 9 3 2 4 9 7 7 1 3 3 7 11 -2 18
15 Zacatepec FC 16 3 7 6 14 17 8 2 3 3 8 9 8 1 4 3 6 8 -3 16
16 Tapatio 16 3 5 8 11 27 7 1 2 4 6 14 9 2 3 4 5 13 -16 16
17 Cancun 16 3 4 9 14 22 8 1 2 5 7 10 8 2 2 4 7 12 -8 15

Read more about Liga de Expansión MX

The Ascenso MX, or Liga Ascenso, is the second level of the football league pyramid in Mexico. It has 15 teams competing in two league tournaments per year, the Apertura (opening) and the Clausura (closing). Only one team is promoted to the top league in Mexico, the Liga MX.