Soccer match preview: Home crowds with big expectations before Morelia - Tampico Madero

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Competition: Mexico Liga de Expansión MX
Competition: Sun 20.March
Match begins: 18:05 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón (35000 seats)

Most experts are most impressed by Morelia so far this season, with their 3rd position in the Liga de Expansión MX table and hosting Tampico Madero (who are placed 7th).

Insights:
  • Morelia have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Tampico Madero have won significantly less corners away then at home.

It's no vacation for neither Morelia nor Tampico Madero as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Morelia form and stats

Morelia have played 9 Liga de Expansión MX games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 4-3-2 (wins-draws-losses). There’s a good atmosphere here at Estadio Generalísimo José María Morelos y Pavón after three straight home wins.

A nice win for Morelia last time playing, versus Tampico Madero. That was also a home game and the match ended 2-1 with Pérez and Ramírez scoring for the victors.

A 2-2 draw away before that, with Celaya the opponent.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Morelia's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played five games, won three matches, drawn one and lost one.

Morelia are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 13 goals in 9 games. It's worth mentioning that 8 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. On the other hand, Morelia have conceded 12 goals.

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Tampico Madero form and stats

2 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses. That’s the product of Tampico Madero playing as the away team in the Liga de Expansión MX this season. A depressing seven defeats in a row for Tampico in their away games. Unhappy days, as the last time they avoided a loss on the road was versus Dorados.

Tampico Madero are travelling again after losing away to Morelia in their previous match (1-2).

Ahead of that game was the 0-0 draw at home against Raya2.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Tampico when being an outsider away as they are today, we find seven matches with the visitors losing four times, drawing one and winning two games.

The visiting Tampico Madero have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 9 goals from 7 games. Tampico Madero are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 5 times in 7 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above. It's worth mentioning that 5 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

The former H2H game ended Morelia - Tampico Madero 2-1, played this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last six matches): Morelia three wins, two draws and Tampico Madero one victory. As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

MoreliaJ. Ramírez Díaz
J. Ramírez Díaz
8 goals
Tampico MaderoE. Pérez Reyes
E. Pérez Reyes
7 goals
Tampico MaderoL. Loroña Aguilar
L. Loroña Aguilar
7 goals

Morelia missing players

Tampico Madero missing players

Morelia Tampico Madero
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
29 15 3 Played P 6 16 34
14 8 1 Won W 2 4 9
8 3 2 Drew D 1 5 15
7 4 0 Lost L 3 7 10
44 23 6 Scored S 4 15 40
34 18 5 Conceded C 6 18 39
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 83% 88% 88%
76% 73% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 69% 76%
59% 60% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 44% 44%
31% 33% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 6% 15%
3% 7% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 6%
59% 60% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 44% 59%
31% 27% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 31% 26%
10% 13% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 38% 26%
 
5.4 5.4 8 Corners for (avg) C F 4 3.9 5.3
4.7 4.4 3.7 Corners against (avg) C A 7.5 6.9 5.8
2.2 1.8 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 1.6 1.6
5 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
10.6 11.7 9.7 Shots (avg) S ( 9.2 8 7.7
4.7 5.1 4.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.8 3.2 3
32% 30% 43% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 29% 39%
 
9.2 9 7.3 Shots against (avg) S A 9.3 10.6 7.7
3.8 4.3 3.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.3 3.9 3.1
Key stats in Liga de Expansión MX this season:
  • Morelia have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Morelia haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Tampico Madero have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Dorados 16 11 4 1 34 13 9 7 1 1 21 8 7 4 3 0 13 5 21 41
2 Atlante 16 9 4 3 22 9 8 6 1 1 12 4 8 3 3 2 10 5 13 33
3 Morelia 16 8 4 4 22 18 9 4 3 2 13 12 7 4 1 2 9 6 4 32
4 Celaya 16 7 4 5 20 16 7 4 2 1 11 5 9 3 2 4 9 11 4 28
5 Pumas Tabasco 16 5 8 3 16 15 7 0 5 2 3 7 9 5 3 1 13 8 1 28
6 Universidad Guadalajara 16 7 4 5 21 18 7 4 2 1 11 6 9 3 2 4 10 12 3 27
7 Tampico Madero 16 4 10 2 23 18 9 2 5 2 14 13 7 2 5 0 9 5 5 24
8 Cimarrones de Sonora 16 6 3 7 22 22 7 3 1 3 9 7 9 3 2 4 13 15 0 24
9 Venados 16 6 3 7 17 19 9 4 2 3 12 7 7 2 1 4 5 12 -2 23
10 Mineros de Zacatecas 16 6 1 9 24 28 8 3 0 5 11 14 8 3 1 4 13 14 -4 21
11 Correcaminos UAT 16 5 4 7 19 27 8 3 3 2 11 11 8 2 1 5 8 16 -8 20
12 Tepatitlan de Morelos 16 4 6 6 17 20 8 3 2 3 10 11 8 1 4 3 7 9 -3 19
13 Tlaxcala 16 4 6 6 15 20 8 2 5 1 8 6 8 2 1 5 7 14 -5 19
14 Raya2 16 4 5 7 16 18 9 3 2 4 9 7 7 1 3 3 7 11 -2 18
15 Zacatepec FC 16 3 7 6 14 17 8 2 3 3 8 9 8 1 4 3 6 8 -3 16
16 Tapatio 16 3 5 8 11 27 7 1 2 4 6 14 9 2 3 4 5 13 -16 16
17 Cancun 16 3 4 9 14 22 8 1 2 5 7 10 8 2 2 4 7 12 -8 15

Read more about Liga de Expansión MX

The Ascenso MX, or Liga Ascenso, is the second level of the football league pyramid in Mexico. It has 15 teams competing in two league tournaments per year, the Apertura (opening) and the Clausura (closing). Only one team is promoted to the top league in Mexico, the Liga MX.