J-League preview: Can Urawa Reds edge out victory against Gamba Osaka?

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Sat 16.October
Match begins: 06:00 (UTC)
Venue: Saitama Stadium 2002 (63700 seats)

Urawa Reds are finding life sweet in the top table spots while Gamba Osaka are more concerned with escaping relegation. Expected home win or surprise away points?

Insights:
  • Gamba Osaka is in the worst form (1-0-5)

Both teams have had time to rest since their previous exertion in an official match. Let's have faith in that this will be an animated fixture!

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Urawa Reds form and stats

33 points is a decent return from 15 J-League games here at Saitama Stadium 2002 for Urawa Reds. The data says 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. Ever since the Shonan Bellmare game Urawa has been unbeatable here at Saitama Stadium 2002 producing four straight wins.

Urawa faced defeat in their previous match, away at Cerezo Osaka (0-1).

In the match before that, Urawa Reds hosted Cerezo Osaka and drew the game 1-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Urawa have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 15 games) they have won eight times, drawn three and lost four.

Urawa has scored 20 league goals at home this season, in 15 matches. Urawa have only conceded 13 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Gamba Osaka form and stats

As the visiting team in J-League matches, Gamba Osaka have produced an overall stat of 5-3-7 so far. Gamba seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

Gamba's previous game was their home loss versus Consadole Sapporo (1-5). Gamba lost the plot completely in their previous game, as mentioned above. They need to recover quickly from that 1-5 beating and focus on this one. Patric, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 7.53. Patric scored one goal, hit one key pass and dribled past the opponent 1 of 2 times.

A home win before that, celebrating 2-1 vs Kashiwa Reysol.

Gamba are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is three wins, three draws and four defeats. From a total of ten matches.

The visitors have scored 10 goals from 15 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (14 so far).

Head 2 Head

Urawa Reds and Gamba Osaka have faced off before this season: Gamba Osaka - Urawa Reds 0-3. Urawa-Gamba Osaka H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Urawa Reds four wins, Gamba Osaka four wins, two draws. seven of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

UrawaK. Junker
K. Junker
8 goals
Gamba OsakaA. Aguiar Oliveira
A. Aguiar Oliveira
8 goals
Gamba OsakaL. Peruchena Pereira
L. Peruchena Pereira
5 goals

Urawa Reds missing players

Gamba Osaka missing players

Urawa Reds Gamba Osaka
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
31 15 5 Played P 3 15 31
16 10 4 Won W 0 5 9
6 3 0 Drew D 0 3 6
9 2 1 Lost L 3 7 16
36 20 8 Scored S 1 10 25
32 13 5 Conceded C 6 14 39
87% 87% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 87% 84%
71% 73% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 40% 55%
35% 33% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 20% 39%
13% 13% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 13% 16%
10% 13% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 10%
26% 27% 20% BTTS BTTS 33% 27% 39%
52% 60% 60% Clean Sheets C S 0% 47% 35%
35% 27% 20% Failed to Score F T 67% 40% 42%
 
5 4.7 4.2 Corners for (avg) C F 3.7 3.8 4
4 4.3 4.2 Corners against (avg) C A 3.3 5.8 4.9
0.7 0.5 0.6 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 1 0.8
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
8.9 8.1 8.8 Shots (avg) S ( 8.3 8.2 9
3.5 3.5 3.6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 3.1 3.2
33% 38% 44% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 22% 25%
Key stats in J-League this season:
  • Gamba Osaka is in the worst form (1-0-5)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 32 25 6 1 69 21 16 14 2 0 33 12 16 11 4 1 36 9 48 81
2 Yokohama F. Marinos 31 21 6 4 67 28 15 11 3 1 35 9 16 10 3 3 32 19 39 69
3 Vissel Kobe 31 16 9 6 50 30 15 8 4 3 25 10 16 8 5 3 25 20 20 57
4 Nagoya Grampus 32 17 6 9 35 24 16 10 2 4 18 11 16 7 4 5 17 13 11 57
5 Urawa Reds 31 16 6 9 36 32 15 10 3 2 20 13 16 6 3 7 16 19 4 54
6 Kashima Antlers 32 16 5 11 53 34 16 8 3 5 30 20 16 8 2 6 23 14 19 53
7 Sagan Tosu 31 14 9 8 38 29 15 9 4 2 25 11 16 5 5 6 13 18 9 51
8 Avispa Fukuoka 31 13 7 11 38 33 16 9 1 6 22 15 15 4 6 5 16 18 5 46
9 Tokyo 32 13 7 12 42 40 15 7 2 6 25 22 17 6 5 6 17 18 2 46
10 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 32 11 12 9 38 31 17 5 6 6 17 17 15 6 6 3 21 14 7 45
11 Consadole Sapporo 31 12 6 13 40 43 16 7 2 7 23 25 15 5 4 6 17 18 -3 42
12 Cerezo Osaka 32 10 9 13 40 42 16 6 5 5 21 22 16 4 4 8 19 20 -2 39
13 Kashiwa Reysol 31 10 4 17 31 43 16 5 2 9 18 26 15 5 2 8 13 17 -12 34
14 Gamba Osaka 31 9 6 16 25 39 16 4 3 9 15 25 15 5 3 7 10 14 -14 33
15 Shimizu S-Pulse 31 7 11 13 31 45 15 3 5 7 12 24 16 4 6 6 19 21 -14 32
16 Tokushima Vortis 31 8 5 18 25 43 16 4 4 8 15 18 15 4 1 10 10 25 -18 29
17 Shonan Bellmare 31 5 12 14 30 37 16 2 9 5 11 13 15 3 3 9 19 24 -7 27
18 Oita Trinita 31 6 6 19 21 48 16 5 5 6 13 18 15 1 1 13 8 30 -27 24
19 Vegalta Sendai 31 4 11 16 24 50 15 2 5 8 9 19 16 2 6 8 15 31 -26 23
20 Yokohama 31 5 7 19 25 66 15 3 5 7 16 25 16 2 2 12 9 41 -41 22