J-League match prediction: Little separates Gamba Osaka and Kashiwa Reysol in quality

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Sun 26.September
Match begins: 10:00 (UTC)
Venue: Nishigaoka National Stadium (4000 seats)

Gamba Osaka are leaning on their home fans to help them to do well in this match versus Kashiwa Reysol. Who triumphs at Nishigaoka National Stadium?

Insights:
  • Gamba Osaka have the fewest scored goals in the first half (7) in J-League
  • Kashiwa Reysol have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in J-League

There have been limited time to rest for the hosting team, as they were involved in a Emperor Cup game only four days ago. This match was also played here at Nishigaoka National Stadium. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Kashiwa Reysol have had more rest.

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Gamba Osaka form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the J-League this season. Gamba Osaka have only managed 3 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses from their games here at Nishigaoka National Stadium. It's trouble wherever Gamba are playing these days as they have suffered four straight defeats now, regardless of arena. They really need to get back to winning ways.

Gamba's previous game was a Emperor Cup match also played at home, ending 4-1 versus Shonan Bellmare (placed 16th). The home side are looking to build on that result.

Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Kashima Antlers (1-3).

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Gamba have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 14 matches with the results: Won nine, drawn one and lost four.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Gamba here at Nishigaoka National Stadium in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (12 from 14 games). Gamba's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 19 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Kashiwa Reysol form and stats

Playing away, Kashiwa Reysol have won 5 games, drawn 2 and suffered 7 defeats in the J-League this season. Kashiwa has been amazing away for a time now, winning four in a row on their travels. The last time they went home with a point loss was against Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

The manager N. Baptista Júnior was unhappy after their last game, a J-League match played at their home ground SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium. Kashiwa suffered a 0-3 loss to Sanfrecce Hiroshima (placed 10th). Matheus Sávio got a match rating of 7.35 in that game, top player of the team. Sávio hit three key passes and had 29 successful passes (of 35 total).

Ahead of that match was the victory versus Tokyo at their stadium, the result 1-0.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found seven similar matches played by Kashiwa in our archives, and the results are: six wins for Kashiwa Reysol, zero draws and one defeat.

The attacking power of Kashiwa Reysol when travelling is not overwhelming with 12 goals scored from 14 league matches away. 15 goals have been conceded by Kashiwa in these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

The sides have played each other previously this season, with the result Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka 1-0 logged in the official records. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: two - one - seven (Gamba wins - draws - Kashiwa Reysol wins). As for goals, seven matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Gamba OsakaA. Aguiar Oliveira
A. Aguiar Oliveira
7 goals
Kashiwa ReysolC. da Silva
C. da Silva
6 goals
Gamba OsakaL. Peruchena Pereira
L. Peruchena Pereira
5 goals

Gamba Osaka missing players

Kashiwa Reysol missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Gamba Osaka Kashiwa Reysol
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
29 14 5 Played P 5 14 29
8 3 0 Won W 3 5 10
6 3 2 Drew D 1 2 3
15 8 3 Lost L 1 7 16
22 12 1 Scored S 7 12 29
33 19 4 Conceded C 4 15 40
83% 79% 60% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 97%
52% 64% 20% Over 1.5 O 1.5 40% 50% 66%
34% 50% 20% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 21% 48%
14% 14% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 7% 14%
7% 14% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 7% 7%
34% 43% 20% BTTS BTTS 40% 36% 48%
38% 29% 40% Clean Sheets C S 40% 21% 17%
45% 50% 80% Failed to Score F T 20% 43% 38%
 
4.1 4.4 5.2 Corners for (avg) C F 4.4 4.5 4.7
4.9 3.9 4.6 Corners against (avg) C A 3.8 5 4.9
0.8 0.6 0.4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.3 1
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
9.1 10.1 7.8 Shots (avg) S ( 9.6 9.1 9.5
3.2 3.4 2.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.6 3.5 3.4
24% 26% 8% Goal Efficiency G E 30% 24% 30%
Key stats in J-League this season:
  • Gamba Osaka have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Gamba Osaka have the fewest scored goals in the first half (7) in J-League
  • Kashiwa Reysol have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in J-League
  • Kashiwa Reysol haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 29 22 6 1 63 19 13 11 2 0 27 10 16 11 4 1 36 9 44 72
2 Yokohama F. Marinos 29 20 5 4 64 26 15 11 3 1 35 9 14 9 2 3 29 17 38 65
3 Nagoya Grampus 30 16 6 8 34 23 15 9 2 4 17 11 15 7 4 4 17 12 11 54
4 Vissel Kobe 28 14 9 5 42 26 14 7 4 3 20 9 14 7 5 2 22 17 16 51
5 Sagan Tosu 29 14 9 6 38 23 15 9 4 2 25 11 14 5 5 4 13 12 15 51
6 Urawa Reds 29 15 6 8 33 26 15 10 3 2 20 13 14 5 3 6 13 13 7 51
7 Kashima Antlers 30 15 5 10 50 31 15 8 3 4 29 18 15 7 2 6 21 13 19 50
8 Tokyo 30 13 7 10 41 37 14 7 2 5 24 20 16 6 5 5 17 17 4 46
9 Avispa Fukuoka 29 12 7 10 34 31 14 8 1 5 18 13 15 4 6 5 16 18 3 43
10 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 30 9 12 9 35 31 16 4 6 6 16 17 14 5 6 3 19 14 4 39
11 Cerezo Osaka 30 10 9 11 39 39 15 6 5 4 20 20 15 4 4 7 19 19 0 39
12 Consadole Sapporo 29 11 6 12 35 40 15 7 2 6 23 23 14 4 4 6 12 17 -5 39
13 Kashiwa Reysol 29 10 3 16 29 40 15 5 1 9 17 25 14 5 2 7 12 15 -11 33
14 Gamba Osaka 29 8 6 15 22 33 14 3 3 8 12 19 15 5 3 7 10 14 -11 30
15 Shimizu S-Pulse 29 6 11 12 29 42 14 3 5 6 12 22 15 3 6 6 17 20 -13 29
16 Shonan Bellmare 29 5 12 12 29 34 15 2 9 4 11 12 14 3 3 8 18 22 -5 27
17 Tokushima Vortis 29 6 5 18 21 43 15 3 4 8 12 18 14 3 1 10 9 25 -22 23
18 Vegalta Sendai 29 4 10 15 23 48 14 2 5 7 9 18 15 2 5 8 14 30 -25 22
19 Oita Trinita 29 5 6 18 20 47 15 4 5 6 12 18 14 1 1 12 8 29 -27 21
20 Yokohama 29 4 6 19 21 63 14 3 4 7 14 23 15 1 2 12 7 40 -42 18

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 29 22 6 1 63 19 13 11 2 0 27 10 16 11 4 1 36 9 44 72
2 Yokohama F. Marinos 29 20 5 4 64 26 15 11 3 1 35 9 14 9 2 3 29 17 38 65
3 Nagoya Grampus 30 16 6 8 34 23 15 9 2 4 17 11 15 7 4 4 17 12 11 54
4 Vissel Kobe 28 14 9 5 42 26 14 7 4 3 20 9 14 7 5 2 22 17 16 51
5 Sagan Tosu 29 14 9 6 38 23 15 9 4 2 25 11 14 5 5 4 13 12 15 51
6 Urawa Reds 29 15 6 8 33 26 15 10 3 2 20 13 14 5 3 6 13 13 7 51
7 Kashima Antlers 30 15 5 10 50 31 15 8 3 4 29 18 15 7 2 6 21 13 19 50
8 Tokyo 30 13 7 10 41 37 14 7 2 5 24 20 16 6 5 5 17 17 4 46
9 Avispa Fukuoka 29 12 7 10 34 31 14 8 1 5 18 13 15 4 6 5 16 18 3 43
10 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 30 9 12 9 35 31 16 4 6 6 16 17 14 5 6 3 19 14 4 39
11 Cerezo Osaka 30 10 9 11 39 39 15 6 5 4 20 20 15 4 4 7 19 19 0 39
12 Consadole Sapporo 29 11 6 12 35 40 15 7 2 6 23 23 14 4 4 6 12 17 -5 39
13 Kashiwa Reysol 29 10 3 16 29 40 15 5 1 9 17 25 14 5 2 7 12 15 -11 33
14 Gamba Osaka 29 8 6 15 22 33 14 3 3 8 12 19 15 5 3 7 10 14 -11 30
15 Shimizu S-Pulse 29 6 11 12 29 42 14 3 5 6 12 22 15 3 6 6 17 20 -13 29
16 Shonan Bellmare 29 5 12 12 29 34 15 2 9 4 11 12 14 3 3 8 18 22 -5 27
17 Tokushima Vortis 29 6 5 18 21 43 15 3 4 8 12 18 14 3 1 10 9 25 -22 23
18 Vegalta Sendai 29 4 10 15 23 48 14 2 5 7 9 18 15 2 5 8 14 30 -25 22
19 Oita Trinita 29 5 6 18 20 47 15 4 5 6 12 18 14 1 1 12 8 29 -27 21
20 Yokohama 29 4 6 19 21 63 14 3 4 7 14 23 15 1 2 12 7 40 -42 18

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