Delightful dogfight as daring Sagan Tosu duel with determined Shonan Bellmare

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Competition: Japan J-League
Competition: Sat 16.October
Match begins: 05:00 (UTC)
Venue: Ekimae Real Estate Stadium

Sagan Tosu have delivered 9 home triumphs so far this season, Shonan Bellmare have won 3 away. Who betters their standings in this one?

Insights:
  • Sagan Tosu have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Shonan Bellmare have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

This promises to be an intriguing game with lots of action and excitement as both squads are well revitalized since they last played a game. Bring it on!

These teams have little in common geographically as Shonan Bellmare have to travel 1000 kilometers to reach their opponents. The trip home will be especially long if the match ends in defeat.

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Sagan Tosu form and stats

31 points is a decent return from 15 J-League games here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium for Sagan Tosu. The data says 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses.

Sagan are anxiously hoping for a goal as it's been 286 minutes since the last one in league fixtures. (Scored by Eduardo).

Sagan are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 0-3 away versus Tokushima Vortis. The forward Yuta Higuchi edged out all the other players in that game and was awarded a match rating of 7.12 out of 10. Higuchi hit one key pass and had 43 successful passes (of 49 total).

A defeat was the result before that one, 0-3 away at Avispa Fukuoka.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Sagan have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found four games) they have won three times, drawn one and lost zero.

A decent goal production from Sagan in their home games so far, with 25 goals from 15 league matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Sagan Tosu have only conceded 11 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Shonan Bellmare form and stats

Shonan Bellmare have only collected 12 points from their away games in the J-League, after 3-3-9 (15 played). The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as Bellmare have lost on their last two travels.

The manager S. Yamaguchi was unhappy after their last game, a J-League match played at their home ground Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka. Bellmare suffered a 0-1 loss to Yokohama F. Marinos (placed 2nd). Wellington, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 7.32. Wellington hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times.

It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Kawasaki Frontale wasn't a success with a 1-2 loss.

We have checked recent matches where Bellmare have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 14 games were three victories, five draws and six defeats.

Bellmare have scored 19 goals on their travels this season, from 15 away games in the league. As for defending, Bellmare rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 24 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Shonan Bellmare - Sagan Tosu 0-1 was the result in these participants' previous head to head match, earlier this season. Sagan Tosu-Shonan Bellmare H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Sagan three wins, Shonan Bellmare three wins, four draws. two of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Sagan TosuK. Yamashita
K. Yamashita
9 goals
SaganN. Sakai
N. Sakai
6 goals
Sagan TosuY. Higuchi
Y. Higuchi
5 goals

Sagan Tosu missing players

Shonan Bellmare missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Sagan Tosu Shonan Bellmare
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
31 15 6 Played P 5 15 31
14 9 4 Won W 2 3 5
9 4 1 Drew D 0 3 12
8 2 1 Lost L 3 9 14
38 25 12 Scored S 10 19 30
29 11 2 Conceded C 8 24 37
84% 80% 83% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 81%
65% 67% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 87% 65%
42% 47% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 80% 53% 35%
16% 27% 17% Over 3.5 O 3.5 40% 27% 19%
6% 13% 17% Over 4.5 O 4.5 40% 13% 10%
35% 27% 17% BTTS BTTS 80% 67% 52%
42% 60% 67% Clean Sheets C S 20% 13% 29%
39% 33% 33% Failed to Score F T 0% 20% 39%
 
4.1 4.1 3.5 Corners for (avg) C F 3.8 4 4.5
4 4.2 4.5 Corners against (avg) C A 6 5.3 5
1 0.9 0.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.8 0.7 1
3 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
9.8 10.9 10.2 Shots (avg) S ( 7.2 8.2 8.3
3.8 4.4 4.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.8 3.3 3
32% 38% 43% Goal Efficiency G E 71% 39% 33%
Key stats in J-League this season:
  • Sagan Tosu have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Sagan Tosu have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Shonan Bellmare have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Shonan Bellmare haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 32 25 6 1 69 21 16 14 2 0 33 12 16 11 4 1 36 9 48 81
2 Yokohama F. Marinos 31 21 6 4 67 28 15 11 3 1 35 9 16 10 3 3 32 19 39 69
3 Vissel Kobe 31 16 9 6 50 30 15 8 4 3 25 10 16 8 5 3 25 20 20 57
4 Nagoya Grampus 32 17 6 9 35 24 16 10 2 4 18 11 16 7 4 5 17 13 11 57
5 Urawa Reds 31 16 6 9 36 32 15 10 3 2 20 13 16 6 3 7 16 19 4 54
6 Kashima Antlers 32 16 5 11 53 34 16 8 3 5 30 20 16 8 2 6 23 14 19 53
7 Sagan Tosu 31 14 9 8 38 29 15 9 4 2 25 11 16 5 5 6 13 18 9 51
8 Avispa Fukuoka 31 13 7 11 38 33 16 9 1 6 22 15 15 4 6 5 16 18 5 46
9 Tokyo 32 13 7 12 42 40 15 7 2 6 25 22 17 6 5 6 17 18 2 46
10 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 32 11 12 9 38 31 17 5 6 6 17 17 15 6 6 3 21 14 7 45
11 Consadole Sapporo 31 12 6 13 40 43 16 7 2 7 23 25 15 5 4 6 17 18 -3 42
12 Cerezo Osaka 32 10 9 13 40 42 16 6 5 5 21 22 16 4 4 8 19 20 -2 39
13 Kashiwa Reysol 31 10 4 17 31 43 16 5 2 9 18 26 15 5 2 8 13 17 -12 34
14 Gamba Osaka 31 9 6 16 25 39 16 4 3 9 15 25 15 5 3 7 10 14 -14 33
15 Shimizu S-Pulse 31 7 11 13 31 45 15 3 5 7 12 24 16 4 6 6 19 21 -14 32
16 Tokushima Vortis 31 8 5 18 25 43 16 4 4 8 15 18 15 4 1 10 10 25 -18 29
17 Shonan Bellmare 31 5 12 14 30 37 16 2 9 5 11 13 15 3 3 9 19 24 -7 27
18 Oita Trinita 31 6 6 19 21 48 16 5 5 6 13 18 15 1 1 13 8 30 -27 24
19 Vegalta Sendai 31 4 11 16 24 50 15 2 5 8 9 19 16 2 6 8 15 31 -26 23
20 Yokohama 31 5 7 19 25 66 15 3 5 7 16 25 16 2 2 12 9 41 -41 22

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kawasaki Frontale 32 25 6 1 69 21 16 14 2 0 33 12 16 11 4 1 36 9 48 81
2 Yokohama F. Marinos 31 21 6 4 67 28 15 11 3 1 35 9 16 10 3 3 32 19 39 69
3 Vissel Kobe 31 16 9 6 50 30 15 8 4 3 25 10 16 8 5 3 25 20 20 57
4 Nagoya Grampus 32 17 6 9 35 24 16 10 2 4 18 11 16 7 4 5 17 13 11 57
5 Urawa Reds 31 16 6 9 36 32 15 10 3 2 20 13 16 6 3 7 16 19 4 54
6 Kashima Antlers 32 16 5 11 53 34 16 8 3 5 30 20 16 8 2 6 23 14 19 53
7 Sagan Tosu 31 14 9 8 38 29 15 9 4 2 25 11 16 5 5 6 13 18 9 51
8 Avispa Fukuoka 31 13 7 11 38 33 16 9 1 6 22 15 15 4 6 5 16 18 5 46
9 Tokyo 32 13 7 12 42 40 15 7 2 6 25 22 17 6 5 6 17 18 2 46
10 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 32 11 12 9 38 31 17 5 6 6 17 17 15 6 6 3 21 14 7 45
11 Consadole Sapporo 31 12 6 13 40 43 16 7 2 7 23 25 15 5 4 6 17 18 -3 42
12 Cerezo Osaka 32 10 9 13 40 42 16 6 5 5 21 22 16 4 4 8 19 20 -2 39
13 Kashiwa Reysol 31 10 4 17 31 43 16 5 2 9 18 26 15 5 2 8 13 17 -12 34
14 Gamba Osaka 31 9 6 16 25 39 16 4 3 9 15 25 15 5 3 7 10 14 -14 33
15 Shimizu S-Pulse 31 7 11 13 31 45 15 3 5 7 12 24 16 4 6 6 19 21 -14 32
16 Tokushima Vortis 31 8 5 18 25 43 16 4 4 8 15 18 15 4 1 10 10 25 -18 29
17 Shonan Bellmare 31 5 12 14 30 37 16 2 9 5 11 13 15 3 3 9 19 24 -7 27
18 Oita Trinita 31 6 6 19 21 48 16 5 5 6 13 18 15 1 1 13 8 30 -27 24
19 Vegalta Sendai 31 4 11 16 24 50 15 2 5 8 9 19 16 2 6 8 15 31 -26 23
20 Yokohama 31 5 7 19 25 66 15 3 5 7 16 25 16 2 2 12 9 41 -41 22

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