Milan vs Spezia previews for sports fans

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Mon 17.January
Match begins: 17:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (80018 seats)

Milan are finding life sweet in the top league places while Spezia are more involved in staying out of trouble and relegation. Expected home win or surprise away points?

Insights:
  • Milan have the fewest dropped points from leading position (3) in Serie A
  • Spezia have the most conceded goals (27) away in Serie A

15 - 11 - 22 with 62-89. What does this mean? Well, these are the statistics for Spezia when playing on grass like they will do today. Wins - draws- losses and goals scored-conceded. Spezia play their home games on artifical turf so that's why we provide these numbers.

These are full days for the team playing at home, as they had a game only four days ago in the Coppa Italia. This match was also played here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Spezia have had more rest.

W W W W L

Milan form and stats

22 points is a decent return from 10 Serie A games here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza for Milan. The data says 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.

Milan's last game was hosting Genoa (after extra-time) (placed 19th) and winning 3-1. Defender Hernández got the top score of the team in the match with a rating of 8.43/10. Hernández signed up for two assists, hit four key passes and won 10 of 15 duels.

In the preceding match a 3-0 victory visiting Venezia.

Milan are believed to win this game, given a winning chance of about 70% by the bookmakers. We have checked our records for their performance in similar circumstances and found ten matches and the win/draw/lost stats: Won seven, drew three and lost zero.

A decent goal production from Milan in their home games so far, with 19 goals from 10 league matches. Milan are not conceding a lot of goals here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 9 from 10 matches.

W L W D L

Spezia form and stats

There's been little loot from Spezia's travels as they have only collected 10 points from 11 away games in the Serie A. Spezia only have 3 wins to counter their 7 defeats and 1 draw. It could be a hat trick of victories away for Spezia, as they have won on their previous two travels.

Two travels in a row for Spezia, whose manager Motta could celebrate last time after the Serie A win against Genoa. Defender Reca was the best team player with a rating of 7.45. Reca won 3 of 5 duels.

The game before that, was lost at home, a 1-2 defeat against Hellas Verona.

We have done a similar check as we did with the hometeam, looking up recent matches where Spezia played away with similar odds. This revealed six games. The visitors overcame the odds to win one time, zero were draws and the home team won as expected five times.

The visitors have scored 10 goals from 11 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. The Spezia manager Motta has some worries about the defense as 27 goals have been conceded in these travels. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

The teams involved played each other earlier this campaign: Spezia - Milan 1-2. Data for the preceeding four meetings featuring these two sides are: three wins for Milan, zero draws and one win for Spezia. Over 2,5 goals: three times; under 2,5 goals: one game.

Top Goalscorers

MilanZ. Ibrahimović
Z. Ibrahimović
8 goals
MilanF. Kessié
F. Kessié
5 goals
MilanR. Conceição Leão
R. Conceição Leão
5 goals

Milan missing players

Spezia missing players

Milan Spezia
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
21 10 3 Played P 4 11 21
15 7 3 Won W 1 3 5
3 1 0 Drew D 0 1 4
3 2 0 Lost L 3 7 12
46 19 8 Scored S 3 10 21
23 9 1 Conceded C 9 27 41
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
86% 80% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 82% 76%
57% 40% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 64% 57%
38% 40% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 36% 29%
29% 20% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 18% 14%
62% 50% 33% BTTS BTTS 25% 45% 57%
33% 40% 67% Clean Sheets C S 25% 18% 14%
5% 10% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 36% 29%
 
4.7 5.2 7 Corners for (avg) C F 4 4.8 4.4
4.8 5 4 Corners against (avg) C A 7.5 5.7 5.6
2 1.4 0.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 2.1 2.3
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 2 3
 
15.8 16.6 19 Shots (avg) S ( 9.5 10.5 11.1
5 4.1 5.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 4 3.8
44% 46% 47% Goal Efficiency G E 21% 23% 27%
 
11.8 10.3 7.3 Shots against (avg) S A 22.8 18.3 17.8
4 3.2 2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 9 7.2 6
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Milan have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Milan have scored more than double the goals of Spezia.
  • Milan have the fewest dropped points from leading position (3) in Serie A
  • Milan haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Spezia have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Spezia have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Spezia have the most conceded goals (27) away in Serie A
  • Spezia have the the worst goal difference (-17) away in Serie A
  • Spezia haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Inter 20 15 4 1 51 16 10 8 2 0 27 7 10 7 2 1 24 9 35 49
2 Milan 21 15 3 3 46 23 10 7 1 2 19 9 11 8 2 1 27 14 23 48
3 Napoli 21 13 4 4 37 15 11 7 1 3 18 7 10 6 3 1 19 8 22 43
4 Atalanta 20 12 5 3 44 26 9 3 3 3 18 15 11 9 2 0 26 11 18 41
5 Juventus 21 11 5 5 32 21 10 5 2 3 12 8 11 6 3 2 20 13 11 38
6 Roma 21 10 2 9 35 28 11 6 2 3 16 12 10 4 0 6 19 16 7 32
7 Fiorentina 20 10 2 8 34 29 9 6 1 2 23 12 11 4 1 6 11 17 5 32
8 Lazio 21 9 5 7 43 39 10 6 3 1 28 16 11 3 2 6 15 23 4 32
9 Torino 20 8 4 8 27 19 11 7 2 2 23 10 9 1 2 6 4 9 8 28
10 Sassuolo 21 7 7 7 36 33 11 3 4 4 13 15 10 4 3 3 23 18 3 28
11 Empoli 21 8 4 9 34 42 11 3 1 7 17 29 10 5 3 2 17 13 -8 28
12 Hellas Verona 21 7 6 8 37 35 11 5 2 4 21 16 10 2 4 4 16 19 2 27
13 Bologna 20 8 3 9 28 33 10 5 1 4 16 14 10 3 2 5 12 19 -5 27
14 Udinese 19 4 8 7 28 34 10 2 5 3 13 18 9 2 3 4 15 16 -6 20
15 Sampdoria 21 5 5 11 28 38 11 2 3 6 15 23 10 3 2 5 13 15 -10 20
16 Spezia 21 5 4 12 21 41 10 2 3 5 11 14 11 3 1 7 10 27 -20 19
17 Venezia 20 4 5 11 18 37 10 2 2 6 12 20 10 2 3 5 6 17 -19 17
18 Cagliari 21 3 7 11 21 42 11 2 4 5 14 20 10 1 3 6 7 22 -21 16
19 Genoa 21 1 9 11 20 39 10 0 4 6 8 18 11 1 5 5 12 21 -19 12
20 Salernitana 19 3 2 14 13 43 9 1 1 7 5 21 10 2 1 7 8 22 -30 11

Milan:

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.