Coppa Italia betting previews: Predictions and stats for the Milan - Genoa game

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Competition: Italy Coppa Italia
Competition: Thu 13.January
Match begins: 20:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (80018 seats)

National cups are something special for many teams and supporters. Today's match will decide whether it's Milan or Genoa that keep their silverware dream alive.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Milan and Genoa.

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Milan form and stats

Last season, Milan's Coppa Italia journey ended in the quarter-finals.

22 points is a decent return from 10 Serie A games here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza for Milan. The data says 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses.

Milan enjoyed a nice away win last time out, playing at Venezia's place. The match ended 3-0 with Hernández (2) and Ibrahimović scoring. Defender Hernández got the top score of the team in the match with a rating of 9.45/10. Hernández scored two goals, hit two key passes and won 10 of 13 duels.

Before that game, the 3-1 home victory against Roma.

Milan are believed to win this game, given a winning chance of about 70% by the bookmakers. We have checked our records for their performance in similar circumstances and found nine matches and the win/draw/lost stats: Won six, drew three and lost zero.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Serie A game versus Spezia in only four days. This game is also played here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza.

A decent goal production from Milan in their home games so far, with 19 goals from 10 league matches. From these home matches, Milan have conceded only 9 goals.

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Genoa form and stats

Last season their Coppa Italia adventure ended in the 8th finals.

There's been little loot from Genoa's travels as they have only collected 8 points from 11 away games in the Serie A. Genoa only have 1 win to counter their 5 defeats and 5 draws.

Genoa failed to get anything from their last game, a Serie A home match vs Spezia that ended with defeat 0-1. It is worrying for Genoa that their goalie Sirigu managed eight saves in the Spezia match, but still could not rescue them from a beating. Sirigu (goalkeeper) was the best performer with a rating of 8.43. Sirigu stopped the opponent with eight saves.

Preceding that game, the 1-1 draw paying a visit to Sassuolo.

You'll want to know how Genoa managed when outsiders such as today. Our database found five similar matches resulting in zero away wins, one draw and four home wins.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Genoa manager Shevchenko as the team has another away game coming up in only four days, this time against Fiorentina.

Genoa have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 11 league away games 12 goals have been scored. Genoa struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 21 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's seven Milan victories, two draws and one Genoa win. Over/under statistics; six of these games ended with three goals or more, four matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

MilanZ. Ibrahimović
Z. Ibrahimović
8 goals
GenoaM. Destro
M. Destro
8 goals
MilanF. Kessié
F. Kessié
5 goals

Milan missing players

Genoa missing players

Milan Genoa
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
25 12   Played P   13 25
14 6   Won W   1 3
4 2   Drew D   5 9
7 4   Lost L   7 13
47 18   Scored S   16 28
31 13   Conceded C   27 47
100% 100%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   92% 88%
84% 83%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   85% 76%
56% 42%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   62% 60%
32% 25%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   62% 48%
24% 8%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   31% 24%
64% 58%   BTTS BTTS   69% 60%
28% 33%   Clean Sheets C S   8% 16%
8% 8%   Failed to Score F T   31% 36%
 
4.2 4.6   Corners for (avg) C F   3.5 4.2
5.3 5.5   Corners against (avg) C A   5.2 5
2.2 1.7   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   2.5 2.4
3 2   Red cards R C   0 0
 
13.9 14.2   Shots (avg) S (   9.8 10.7
4.4 3.7   Shots on Target (avg) S O   3.2 3.3
42% 41%   Goal Efficiency G E   37% 32%
 
13.1 12.6   Shots against (avg) S A   15.7 14.8
4.2 3.9   Shots on Target against (avg) S O   5.5 5.3

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Inter 20 15 4 1 51 16 10 8 2 0 27 7 10 7 2 1 24 9 35 49
2 Milan 21 15 3 3 46 23 10 7 1 2 19 9 11 8 2 1 27 14 23 48
3 Napoli 21 13 4 4 37 15 11 7 1 3 18 7 10 6 3 1 19 8 22 43
4 Atalanta 20 12 5 3 44 26 9 3 3 3 18 15 11 9 2 0 26 11 18 41
5 Juventus 21 11 5 5 32 21 10 5 2 3 12 8 11 6 3 2 20 13 11 38
6 Fiorentina 19 10 2 7 34 25 9 6 1 2 23 12 10 4 1 5 11 13 9 32
7 Roma 21 10 2 9 35 28 11 6 2 3 16 12 10 4 0 6 19 16 7 32
8 Lazio 21 9 5 7 43 39 10 6 3 1 28 16 11 3 2 6 15 23 4 32
9 Sassuolo 21 7 7 7 36 33 11 3 4 4 13 15 10 4 3 3 23 18 3 28
10 Empoli 21 8 4 9 34 42 11 3 1 7 17 29 10 5 3 2 17 13 -8 28
11 Hellas Verona 21 7 6 8 37 35 11 5 2 4 21 16 10 2 4 4 16 19 2 27
12 Bologna 19 8 3 8 27 31 10 5 1 4 16 14 9 3 2 4 11 17 -4 27
13 Torino 19 7 4 8 23 19 10 6 2 2 19 10 9 1 2 6 4 9 4 25
14 Udinese 19 4 8 7 28 34 10 2 5 3 13 18 9 2 3 4 15 16 -6 20
15 Sampdoria 21 5 5 11 28 38 11 2 3 6 15 23 10 3 2 5 13 15 -10 20
16 Spezia 21 5 4 12 21 41 10 2 3 5 11 14 11 3 1 7 10 27 -20 19
17 Venezia 20 4 5 11 18 37 10 2 2 6 12 20 10 2 3 5 6 17 -19 17
18 Cagliari 20 2 7 11 19 41 10 1 4 5 12 19 10 1 3 6 7 22 -22 13
19 Genoa 21 1 9 11 20 39 10 0 4 6 8 18 11 1 5 5 12 21 -19 12
20 Salernitana 19 3 2 14 13 43 9 1 1 7 5 21 10 2 1 7 8 22 -30 11

Milan:
Genoa: