Milan vs Napoli betting preview: Even match expected

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Sun 19.December
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (80018 seats)

A very important game in Serie A as both squads are battling for the top positions. With Milan in 2nd position and Napoli located at 4th, this has all the looks of an exciting meeting. Read on to find out more!

Insights:
  • Milan have the fewest dropped points from leading position (3) in Serie A
  • Napoli have the fewest conceded goals (13) in Serie A

Milan and Napoli should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

D L W W L

Milan form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza as Milan have scored 16 goals to get 19 points from 8 games. The overall stats in the Serie A are 6-1-1 (wins-draws-losses).

An away draw last time out for Milan, facing Udinese in a game that ended 1-1. Zlatan Ibrahimović, a striker, was the champion player for the team in that game, and was presented with a rating of 7.62 (out of 10). Ibrahimović scored one goal, hit one key pass and dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times.

Before that game, the home loss against Liverpool with the scoreline 1-2.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Milan have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found four matches with the results: Won two, drawn zero and lost two.

The manager Pioli will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to Empoli in only three days.

The Milan manager Pioli has got the team scoring with 16 from 8 home games in the league. Milan are not conceding a lot of goals here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 7 from 8 matches. It's worth mentioning that 4 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

L W L D W

Napoli form and stats

Napoli have an excellent away record in the Serie A so far with 5-2-1 from 8 games.

Home advantage was not enough for Napoli in their previous game, as they lost their Serie A-match, hosting Empoli, 0-1. Midfielder Adam Ounas was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 7.85. Ounas hit seven key passes, dribled past the opponent 4 of 5 times and had 51 successful passes (of 61 total).

Prior to that match, a home win 3-2 against Leicester City in the Europa League.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Napoli playing away and similar expectations, we found four relevant matches. Results were two Napoli wins, one draw and one defeat.

After this away game Napoli return home for a Serie A game against Spezia. That game is only three sleeps after this.

The Napoli manager Spalletti has got the team scoring on the road, with 17 away goals in 8 league matches. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (7 so far). It's worth mentioning that 5 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 away matches.

Head 2 Head

Previous ten meetings between these teams: Milan won two, Napoli were winners in four and we saw four draws. five games with over 2,5 goals, five matches with under 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

MilanZ. Ibrahimović
Z. Ibrahimović
7 goals
NapoliF. Ruiz Peña
F. Ruiz Peña
5 goals
NapoliD. Mertens
D. Mertens
5 goals

Milan missing players

Napoli missing players

Milan Napoli
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
17 8 1 Played P 2 8 17
12 6 0 Won W 1 5 11
3 1 1 Drew D 0 2 3
2 1 0 Lost L 1 1 3
36 16 1 Scored S 4 17 34
19 7 1 Conceded C 4 7 13
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 88% 94%
88% 88% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 75% 76%
53% 38% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 75% 59%
35% 38% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 50% 35%
29% 25% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 12% 12%
65% 50% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 50% 41%
35% 50% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 50% 53%
0% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 12% 12%
 
4.7 5.5 4 Corners for (avg) C F 1.5 3.8 4.6
4.6 4.5 8 Corners against (avg) C A 6 4.9 3.9
2 1.5 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2 1.8
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
15.6 17 16 Shots (avg) S ( 9 13 15.4
4.8 4.1 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 5.5 5.4
44% 48% 20% Goal Efficiency G E 67% 39% 37%
 
11.7 10.2 13 Shots against (avg) S A 13 11.2 10.5
4 3.1 2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.5 3.9 3.4
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Milan have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Milan have scored in all their matches so far.
  • Milan have the fewest dropped points from leading position (3) in Serie A
  • Milan haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Napoli have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Napoli have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Napoli have the fewest conceded goals (13) in Serie A
  • Napoli have the fewest conceded goals (7) away in Serie A
  • Napoli have the most clean sheets (4) away in Serie A
  • Napoli have the most clean sheets (9) in Serie A
  • Napoli have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Inter 17 12 4 1 43 15 8 6 2 0 24 6 9 6 2 1 19 9 28 40
2 Milan 17 12 3 2 36 19 8 6 1 1 16 7 9 6 2 1 20 12 17 39
3 Atalanta 17 11 4 2 37 20 8 3 3 2 17 11 9 8 1 0 20 9 17 37
4 Napoli 17 11 3 3 34 13 9 6 1 2 17 6 8 5 2 1 17 7 21 36
5 Fiorentina 17 10 0 7 31 22 8 6 0 2 21 10 9 4 0 5 10 12 9 30
6 Juventus 17 8 4 5 23 17 8 4 1 3 9 7 9 4 3 2 14 10 6 28
7 Empoli 17 8 2 7 27 29 9 3 1 5 14 20 8 5 1 2 13 9 -2 26
8 Roma 16 8 1 7 24 19 8 5 1 2 10 7 8 3 0 5 14 12 5 25
9 Lazio 17 7 4 6 33 32 8 5 2 1 22 12 9 2 2 5 11 20 1 25
10 Bologna 17 7 3 7 24 29 9 5 1 3 16 12 8 2 2 4 8 17 -5 24
11 Hellas Verona 17 6 5 6 33 30 9 5 1 3 19 13 8 1 4 3 14 17 3 23
12 Sassuolo 17 6 5 6 28 26 9 3 3 3 12 11 8 3 2 3 16 15 2 23
13 Torino 17 6 4 7 22 18 9 5 2 2 18 10 8 1 2 5 4 8 4 22
14 Sampdoria 17 5 3 9 25 33 9 2 2 5 13 20 8 3 1 4 12 13 -8 18
15 Udinese 17 3 8 6 22 28 9 2 5 2 11 12 8 1 3 4 11 16 -6 17
16 Venezia 17 4 4 9 16 30 8 2 2 4 11 14 9 2 2 5 5 16 -14 16
17 Spezia 16 3 3 10 17 36 8 2 2 4 9 11 8 1 1 6 8 25 -19 12
18 Genoa 17 1 7 9 18 34 8 0 3 5 8 17 9 1 4 4 10 17 -16 10
19 Cagliari 17 1 7 9 17 34 9 1 4 4 12 15 8 0 3 5 5 19 -17 10
20 Salernitana 17 2 2 13 11 37 8 1 1 6 5 16 9 1 1 7 6 21 -26 8

Milan:
Napoli:

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.