Soccer betting preview: Juventus welcomes Milan in what could be a tight duel

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Sun 28.May
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: Allianz Stadium (41507 seats)

This has the potential to be an engaging fixture as Juventus have their supposed home advantage, while Milan lead them by 5 points in the Serie A table.

Insights:
  • Juventus have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (14) in Serie A
  • Milan have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Milan are still fighting for top positions and their benefits.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

L L W D W

Juventus form and stats

Juventus have performed here at Allianz Stadium this season with 13 wins from 18 Serie A matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 3 games and lost 2. Juventus has recorded two wins in a row here at Allianz Stadium, increasing their hopes of victory in this match.

Juventus faced defeat in their previous match, away at Empoli (1-4). The first defeat after going unbeaten through four league fixtures. The talented striker Chiesa bettered all others in that game and received a match rating of 7.54 out of 10. Chiesa scored one goal, hit three key passes and dribled past the opponent 1 of 2 times.

Before that match, a loss in the away fixture against Sevilla (after extra-time) in the Europa League. The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Juventus have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 4 matches with the results: Won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1.

Goals decide football matches and Juventus are scoring many of them at home; 38 on target from 18 league matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 4 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Juventus are not conceding a lot of goals here at Allianz Stadium in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 14 from 18 matches.

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Milan form and stats

6 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses. That’s the product of Milan playing as the away team in the Serie A this season.

Díaz, Leão and Giroud scored in Milan's previous match, the home game against Sampdoria that ended 5-1. As mentioned above, Milan was the only team on the pitch versus Sampdoria in their previous game, winning 5-1. This could be a tougher task. It's hard not to mention Giroud's lethal finishing against Sampdoria. three goals were a big reason for the important victory. Midfielder Díaz was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 9.64. Díaz scored one goal, signed up for two assists, hit four key passes and dribled past the opponent 3 of 4 times.

A loss, in the Champions League away at Inter, earlier. So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Milan playing away and similar expectations, we found 6 relevant matches. Results were 2 Milan wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats.

Few goals the story here? 12 of this side's last 16 league fixtures have contained two goals or less.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Milan have scored 22 goals in 18 league games away. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. As opposed to that, Milan have seen the ball go into their own net 23 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Milan have managed a sequence of 4 consecutive matches without defeat (2-2-0) when playing Juventus.

The duelists have met previously this season: Milan - Juventus 2-0.

Top Goalscorers

MilanR. Conceição Leão
R. Conceição Leão
13 goals
MilanO. Giroud
O. Giroud
11 goals
JuventusD. Vlahović
D. Vlahović
10 goals

Juventus missing players

Milan missing players

Juventus Milan
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
36 18 5 Played P 6 18 36
21 13 2 Won W 1 6 18
6 3 2 Drew D 2 6 10
9 2 1 Lost L 3 6 8
55 38 9 Scored S 5 22 60
32 14 5 Conceded C 8 23 42
97% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 83% 89% 92%
64% 78% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 78% 83%
36% 50% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 56% 53%
19% 28% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 17% 28% 31%
14% 17% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 14%
31% 33% 40% BTTS BTTS 67% 61% 61%
53% 56% 40% Clean Sheets C S 33% 22% 31%
19% 11% 20% Failed to Score F T 17% 28% 17%
 
5.2 5.3 3.4 Corners for (avg) C F 4.8 4.5 4.9
4.9 4.3 5.8 Corners against (avg) C A 6.2 5.5 4.4
2 1.7 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.3 2.4
6 2 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
14.1 15.9 12 Shots (avg) S ( 12.2 13.6 15
4.9 5.7 4.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.7 4.9 5.1
31% 37% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 18% 25% 32%
 
12.7 11.1 13 Shots against (avg) S A 10.2 12.3 10.8
3.6 3.6 3.6 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.3 3.7 3.3
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Juventus have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Juventus have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Juventus have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (14) in Serie A
  • Juventus have the most clean sheets (10) at home in Serie A
  • Juventus have the the best goal difference (+24) at home in Serie A
  • Juventus haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Milan have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Napoli 36 27 5 4 73 26 18 13 3 2 38 15 18 14 2 2 35 11 47 86
2 Lazio 36 20 8 8 55 28 18 10 4 4 29 16 18 10 4 4 26 12 27 68
3 Inter 36 21 3 12 67 40 18 13 0 5 34 12 18 8 3 7 33 28 27 66
4 Milan 36 18 10 8 60 42 18 12 4 2 38 19 18 6 6 6 22 23 18 64
5 Atalanta 36 18 7 11 59 43 18 9 3 6 33 24 18 9 4 5 26 19 16 61
6 Roma 36 17 9 10 47 35 18 10 3 5 26 14 18 7 6 5 21 21 12 60
7 Juventus 36 21 6 9 55 32 18 13 3 2 38 14 18 8 3 7 17 18 23 59
8 Monza 36 14 10 12 46 46 18 7 5 6 25 21 18 7 5 6 21 25 0 52
9 Fiorentina 36 13 11 12 48 41 18 8 6 4 28 21 18 5 5 8 20 20 7 50
10 Bologna 36 13 11 12 48 45 18 7 8 3 22 12 18 6 3 9 26 33 3 50
11 Torino 36 13 11 12 38 40 18 5 7 6 15 18 18 8 4 6 23 22 -2 50
12 Udinese 36 11 13 12 45 44 18 6 9 3 30 19 18 5 4 9 15 25 1 46
13 Sassuolo 36 12 8 16 44 56 18 8 4 6 23 20 18 4 4 10 21 36 -12 44
14 Empoli 36 10 12 14 36 46 18 8 4 6 22 21 18 2 8 8 14 25 -10 42
15 Salernitana 36 8 15 13 45 58 18 6 6 6 27 24 18 2 9 7 18 34 -13 39
16 Lecce 36 7 12 17 30 43 18 3 8 7 16 21 18 4 4 10 14 22 -13 33
17 Spezia 36 6 13 17 30 56 18 4 8 6 18 26 18 2 5 11 12 30 -26 31
18 Hellas Verona 36 7 9 20 29 55 18 6 2 10 19 31 18 1 7 10 10 24 -26 30
19 Cremonese 36 4 12 20 32 66 18 3 4 11 13 31 18 1 8 9 19 35 -34 24
20 Sampdoria 36 3 9 24 22 67 18 1 6 11 10 26 18 2 3 13 12 41 -45 18

Juventus:
Milan:

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.