Serie A forecast and pre-match guide: Milan odds-on favourite to beat Lazio

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Sat 06.May
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (80018 seats)

Serie A: A pair of squads who have performed well so far. Prepare for Milan - Lazio with this full guide!

Insights:
  • Lazio have the most clean sheets (19) in Serie A

It's no vacation for neither Milan nor Lazio as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

D D W D D

Milan form and stats

34 points is a decent return from 16 Serie A games here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza for Milan. The data says 10 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses.

The spoils were shared in Milan's previous game, also at home. Visiting Cremonese (placed 19th) travelled back with a draw after a 1-1 scoreline. The hometeam coach Pioli made a successful contribution in the game against Cremonese, bringing on Messias who scored the equalizer in the 1-1 draw. Midfield player Saelemaekers got a match rating of 7.64 in that game, the max score being 10. Saelemaekers hit four key passes.

Before that, Milan played out a draw 1-1 when visiting Roma.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Milan handle that role? We have found 6 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats.

Not much happening? Looking at this team's last 13 league matches, 10 have had zero, one or two goals.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Milan, as the Champions League home game vs Inter is only four days away.

The Milan fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 31 goals in 16 league matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 3 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. On the other hand, Milan have conceded 18 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

W L L W W

Lazio form and stats

9-4-3 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Lazio in their Serie A matches away.

Impressive finishing from Anderson and Bašić secured the home win 2-0 against Sassuolo in their previous game. Anderson, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 8.34. Anderson scored one goal, dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times and had 38 successful passes (of 44 total).

A 1-3 defeat away at Inter before that.

We have checked recent matches where Lazio have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 8 games were 2 victories, 2 draws and 4 defeats.

A tale of few goals? 11 of this club's most recent 14 league rounds have seen two goals or less.

Lazio are not goal shy away from home in the league, finding the net 25 times in 16 away games so far. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (10 so far).

Head 2 Head

This was the final score when the contenders faced each other earlier this campaign; Lazio - Milan 4-0. Milan-Lazio H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Milan six wins, Lazio four wins, zero draws. seven of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

MilanR. Conceição Leão
R. Conceição Leão
12 goals
LazioC. Immobile
C. Immobile
10 goals
LazioM. Zaccagni
M. Zaccagni
10 goals

Milan missing players

Lazio missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Milan Lazio
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
33 16 4 Played P 4 16 33
16 10 3 Won W 2 9 19
10 4 0 Drew D 0 4 7
7 2 1 Lost L 2 3 7
53 31 8 Scored S 4 25 52
39 18 4 Conceded C 6 10 24
91% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 88% 91%
82% 88% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 75% 73%
55% 50% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 38% 42%
30% 31% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 19% 24%
12% 25% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
64% 62% 50% BTTS BTTS 25% 25% 33%
30% 38% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 69% 58%
15% 6% 0% Failed to Score F T 25% 19% 18%
 
4.6 5.1 6 Corners for (avg) C F 5 4.2 4.4
4.4 3.3 3.8 Corners against (avg) C A 4.2 5.2 4.7
2.5 2.6 3.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 2.3 2.2
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
15.1 16.6 18.5 Shots (avg) S ( 9 10.1 11.1
5.1 5.2 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3.9 4.3
31% 37% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 40% 37%
 
10.9 9.4 9 Shots against (avg) S A 14.5 13.2 12.6
3.4 3.2 2.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.5 2.8 3.3
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Lazio have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Lazio have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (6) in Serie A
  • Lazio have the most clean sheets (11) away in Serie A
  • Lazio have the most clean sheets (19) in Serie A

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Napoli 32 25 4 3 68 22 16 11 3 2 34 14 16 14 1 1 34 8 46 79
2 Lazio 33 19 7 7 52 24 17 10 3 4 27 14 16 9 4 3 25 10 28 64
3 Juventus 33 19 6 8 50 28 17 12 3 2 36 14 16 7 3 6 14 14 22 63
4 Inter 33 19 3 11 60 35 17 12 0 5 30 10 16 7 3 6 30 25 25 60
5 Atalanta 33 17 7 9 56 39 16 8 3 5 30 21 17 9 4 4 26 18 17 58
6 Milan 33 16 10 7 53 39 16 10 4 2 31 18 17 6 6 5 22 21 14 58
7 Roma 33 17 7 9 45 31 16 10 2 4 24 10 17 7 5 5 21 21 14 58
8 Fiorentina 33 12 10 11 45 39 17 7 6 4 26 21 16 5 4 7 19 18 6 46
9 Bologna 32 12 9 11 41 40 17 7 7 3 22 12 15 5 2 8 19 28 1 45
10 Monza 33 12 9 12 41 44 17 6 5 6 23 21 16 6 4 6 18 23 -3 45
11 Torino 33 12 9 12 35 38 16 5 5 6 13 16 17 7 4 6 22 22 -3 45
12 Sassuolo 33 12 7 14 40 49 16 8 3 5 21 17 17 4 4 9 19 32 -9 43
13 Udinese 32 10 12 10 42 40 15 5 8 2 27 17 17 5 4 8 15 23 2 42
14 Salernitana 33 7 14 12 41 54 17 5 6 6 26 24 16 2 8 6 15 30 -13 35
15 Empoli 32 7 11 14 26 42 15 5 4 6 13 18 17 2 7 8 13 24 -16 32
16 Lecce 33 7 10 16 28 40 16 3 7 6 16 20 17 4 3 10 12 20 -12 31
17 Hellas Verona 33 6 9 18 27 51 17 6 2 9 19 30 16 0 7 9 8 21 -24 27
18 Spezia 33 5 12 16 28 54 17 3 8 6 16 26 16 2 4 10 12 28 -26 27
19 Cremonese 33 3 12 18 29 59 16 2 4 10 10 26 17 1 8 8 19 33 -30 21
20 Sampdoria 33 3 8 22 20 59 17 1 5 11 9 25 16 2 3 11 11 34 -39 17

Milan:
Lazio:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Napoli 32 25 4 3 68 22 16 11 3 2 34 14 16 14 1 1 34 8 46 79
2 Lazio 33 19 7 7 52 24 17 10 3 4 27 14 16 9 4 3 25 10 28 64
3 Juventus 33 19 6 8 50 28 17 12 3 2 36 14 16 7 3 6 14 14 22 63
4 Inter 33 19 3 11 60 35 17 12 0 5 30 10 16 7 3 6 30 25 25 60
5 Atalanta 33 17 7 9 56 39 16 8 3 5 30 21 17 9 4 4 26 18 17 58
6 Milan 33 16 10 7 53 39 16 10 4 2 31 18 17 6 6 5 22 21 14 58
7 Roma 33 17 7 9 45 31 16 10 2 4 24 10 17 7 5 5 21 21 14 58
8 Fiorentina 33 12 10 11 45 39 17 7 6 4 26 21 16 5 4 7 19 18 6 46
9 Bologna 32 12 9 11 41 40 17 7 7 3 22 12 15 5 2 8 19 28 1 45
10 Monza 33 12 9 12 41 44 17 6 5 6 23 21 16 6 4 6 18 23 -3 45
11 Torino 33 12 9 12 35 38 16 5 5 6 13 16 17 7 4 6 22 22 -3 45
12 Sassuolo 33 12 7 14 40 49 16 8 3 5 21 17 17 4 4 9 19 32 -9 43
13 Udinese 32 10 12 10 42 40 15 5 8 2 27 17 17 5 4 8 15 23 2 42
14 Salernitana 33 7 14 12 41 54 17 5 6 6 26 24 16 2 8 6 15 30 -13 35
15 Empoli 32 7 11 14 26 42 15 5 4 6 13 18 17 2 7 8 13 24 -16 32
16 Lecce 33 7 10 16 28 40 16 3 7 6 16 20 17 4 3 10 12 20 -12 31
17 Hellas Verona 33 6 9 18 27 51 17 6 2 9 19 30 16 0 7 9 8 21 -24 27
18 Spezia 33 5 12 16 28 54 17 3 8 6 16 26 16 2 4 10 12 28 -26 27
19 Cremonese 33 3 12 18 29 59 16 2 4 10 10 26 17 1 8 8 19 33 -30 21
20 Sampdoria 33 3 8 22 20 59 17 1 5 11 9 25 16 2 3 11 11 34 -39 17

More from Italy - Serie A

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.