Serie A prediction: Home win expected when Milan takes on Sampdoria

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Sat 20.May
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (80018 seats)

Milan are enjoying their stay in the top table positions while Sampdoria are more nervous about steering clear of relegation. Who wins the prize?

Insights:
  • Sampdoria have the fewest scored goals (21) in Serie A

Sampdoria are nearing the end of this stay in this division as relegation is now unavoidable.

The hosts Milan saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the Champions League. That game was an away game at Inter, so at least Milan are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

L L L W D

Milan form and stats

Milan have performed here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza this season with 11 wins from 17 Serie A matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 4 games and lost 2.

The supporters hope that Milan will fight back in this match, putting things right after the 0-1 away defeat in the Champions League fixture against Inter. Tonali (midfield) was the top team player in that game with a rating of 7.41/10. Tonali hit three key passes and dribled past the opponent 2 of 3 times.

Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Spezia (0-2).

Trouble hitting the net? In this team's last 15 league matches, 12 have seen zero, one or two goals.

Milan have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza with 33 goals in 17 league matches. 18 goals have been conceded. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

D L L L D

Sampdoria form and stats

Sampdoria have only collected 9 points from their away games in the Serie A, after 2-3-12 (17 played). Sampdoria has lost their two previous away games and are eager to kill a negative trend in its infancy.

There were no winners in Sampdoria's previous match, the home game that ended 1-1 vs Empoli (placed 14th). Zanoli got a match rating of 7.85 in that game, top player of the team. Zanoli scored one goal, hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times.

Prior to that match, the Sampdoria manager Stankovic faced defeat when travelling to Udinese and losing 0-2.

The visitors have scored 11 goals from 17 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. For Sampdoria, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net. Sampdoria has visited these top teams four times, and 3 of 4 has ended with 2 goals or more!

Head 2 Head

Milan have put together a streak of 7 consecutive games without defeat (5-2-0) when playing Sampdoria.

This was the scoreline when the contenders played each other previously this campaign; Sampdoria - Milan 1-2.

Top Goalscorers

MilanR. Conceição Leão
R. Conceição Leão
12 goals
MilanO. Giroud
O. Giroud
8 goals
SampdoriaM. Gabbiadini
M. Gabbiadini
6 goals

Milan missing players

Sampdoria missing players

Milan Sampdoria
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
35 17 5 Played P 4 17 35
17 11 2 Won W 0 2 3
10 4 3 Drew D 0 3 9
8 2 0 Lost L 4 12 23
55 33 6 Scored S 2 11 21
41 18 3 Conceded C 11 36 62
91% 94% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 91%
83% 88% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 82% 77%
51% 47% 20% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 53% 40%
29% 29% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 24% 17%
11% 24% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 12% 9%
60% 59% 60% BTTS BTTS 25% 41% 40%
31% 41% 40% Clean Sheets C S 0% 6% 11%
17% 6% 20% Failed to Score F T 75% 53% 57%
 
4.8 5.1 6.4 Corners for (avg) C F 3 3.2 3.4
4.5 3.4 2.4 Corners against (avg) C A 8 6.8 5.7
2.4 2.5 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.5 3.2 2.9
2 1 1 Red cards R C 1 1 3
 
14.9 16.2 19.8 Shots (avg) S ( 7.5 10.3 10
5 5.1 5.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 3.8 3.1
31% 38% 21% Goal Efficiency G E 20% 17% 19%
 
10.9 9.4 7.2 Shots against (avg) S A 21.2 17.4 15.6
3.3 3 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7.2 6.1 5.3
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Milan have scored more than double the goals of Sampdoria.
  • Sampdoria have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Sampdoria have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Sampdoria have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Sampdoria have the fewest points (9) away in Serie A
  • Sampdoria have the fewest points from losing position (3) in Serie A
  • Sampdoria have the fewest scored goals (21) in Serie A
  • Sampdoria have the fewest scored goals in the second half (9) in Serie A
  • Sampdoria have the most conceded goals (62) in Serie A
  • Sampdoria have the most conceded goals in the second half (34) in Serie A
  • Sampdoria have the the worst goal difference (-25) away in Serie A
  • Sampdoria have the the worst goal difference (-41) in Serie A
  • Sampdoria haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Sampdoria is in the worst form (0-3-3)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Napoli 35 26 5 4 70 25 17 12 3 2 35 14 18 14 2 2 35 11 45 83
2 Juventus 35 21 6 8 54 28 18 13 3 2 38 14 17 8 3 6 16 14 26 69
3 Inter 35 21 3 11 66 37 18 13 0 5 34 12 17 8 3 6 32 25 29 66
4 Lazio 35 19 8 8 54 28 18 10 4 4 29 16 17 9 4 4 25 12 26 65
5 Milan 35 17 10 8 55 41 17 11 4 2 33 18 18 6 6 6 22 23 14 61
6 Roma 35 17 8 10 45 33 17 10 2 5 24 12 18 7 6 5 21 21 12 59
7 Atalanta 35 17 7 11 56 42 17 8 3 6 30 23 18 9 4 5 26 19 14 58
8 Fiorentina 35 13 10 12 47 40 18 8 6 4 28 21 17 5 4 8 19 19 7 49
9 Monza 35 13 10 12 44 45 18 7 5 6 25 21 17 6 5 6 19 24 -1 49
10 Torino 35 13 10 12 37 39 17 5 6 6 14 17 18 8 4 6 23 22 -2 49
11 Bologna 35 12 11 12 43 44 18 7 8 3 22 12 17 5 3 9 21 32 -1 47
12 Udinese 35 11 13 11 45 43 17 6 9 2 30 18 18 5 4 9 15 25 2 46
13 Sassuolo 35 12 8 15 43 54 17 8 4 5 22 18 18 4 4 10 21 36 -11 44
14 Empoli 35 9 12 14 32 45 17 7 4 6 18 20 18 2 8 8 14 25 -13 39
15 Salernitana 35 8 14 13 43 56 18 6 6 6 27 24 17 2 8 7 16 32 -13 38
16 Lecce 35 7 11 17 30 43 17 3 7 7 16 21 18 4 4 10 14 22 -13 32
17 Hellas Verona 35 7 9 19 28 52 18 6 2 10 19 31 17 1 7 9 9 21 -24 30
18 Spezia 35 6 12 17 30 56 18 4 8 6 18 26 17 2 4 11 12 30 -26 30
19 Cremonese 35 4 12 19 31 61 17 3 4 10 12 26 18 1 8 9 19 35 -30 24
20 Sampdoria 35 3 9 23 21 62 18 1 6 11 10 26 17 2 3 12 11 36 -41 18

Milan:
Sampdoria:

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.