Bundesliga match prediction: Little separates Union Berlin and Hoffenheim in quality

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Competition: Germany Bundesliga
Competition: Sun 28.February
Match begins: 12:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion An der Alten Försterei (22012 seats)

Union Berlin and Hoffenheim have both delivered a "par" performance so far, to use a golfing expression. Both hold mid-table positions in the Bundesliga.

Insights:
  • Union Berlin have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Hoffenheim have the most matches over the total-line (15) in Bundesliga

It’s a hectic schedule for the away team, as they were in action only three days ago in the Europa League.

It's time to recharge all electronic entertainment devices for Hoffenheim, who are travelling more than 2800 kilometers to play this game.

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Union Berlin form and stats

Union Berlin have played 11 Bundesliga games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 4-6-1 (wins-draws-losses). The Union Berlin fans aren't used to losing league-games here at Stadion An der Alten Försterei and will expect new points from this game. Union Berlin has played ten games in a row here without a defeat.

Berlin are confident in defense, having played 248 minutes without conceding a goal in the league.

A good away victory last time out for Union Berlin, who won 1-0 against Freiburg (placed 9th). In the match before that, Berlin hosted Schalke 04 and drew the game 0-0.

This is expected to be a close game, with Union Berlin perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Union Berlin as a small favourite), we find ten games. Berlin has won two of these, drawn five and lost three.

Union Berlin have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Stadion An der Alten Försterei with 21 goals in 11 league matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. On the other hand, Union Berlin have conceded 12 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Hoffenheim form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Bundesliga travels is 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats.

Home advantage was not enough for Hoffenheim in their previous game, as they lost their Europa League-match, hosting Molde, 0-2. A home win before that, celebrating 4-0 vs Werder Bremen.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found twelve similar matches played by Hoffenheim in our archives, and the results are: six wins for Hoffenheim, four draws and two defeats.

Hoffenheim find the net regularly in their away games. 16 goals from 11 away fixtures in the league. The Hoffenheim manager S. Hoeneß has some worries about the defense as 23 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Hoffenheim - Berlin 1-3. Last three meetings between the teams: Berlin won one, Hoffenheim won two and zero draws. two games with over 2,5 goals, one match with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

HoffenheimA. Kramarić
A. Kramarić
13 goals
BerlinM. Kruse
M. Kruse
6 goals
HoffenheimI. Bebou
I. Bebou
6 goals

Union Berlin missing players

Hoffenheim missing players

Union Berlin Hoffenheim
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
22 11 2 Played P 2 11 22
8 4 0 Won W 1 3 7
9 6 2 Drew D 1 3 5
5 1 0 Lost L 0 5 10
35 21 2 Scored S 3 16 36
25 12 2 Conceded C 2 23 39
95% 91% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 95%
77% 82% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 86%
50% 55% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 82% 77%
36% 45% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 45% 55%
9% 18% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 27% 23%
64% 64% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 82% 68%
27% 36% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 9% 18%
14% 9% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 9% 18%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2 1.6 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 3 2.3
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 3 4
 
11.5 12.7 12.5 Shots (avg) S ( 16.5 12.8 11.5
4 4.8 4.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 6 4.8 4.8
40% 40% 22% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 30% 34%
Key stats in Bundesliga this season:
  • All of Hoffenheim's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Hoffenheim have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Hoffenheim have the fewest matches under the total-line (7) in Bundesliga
  • Hoffenheim have the most matches over the total-line (15) in Bundesliga
  • Hoffenheim haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Union Berlin have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bayern München 22 15 4 3 62 31 10 7 3 0 37 15 12 8 1 3 25 16 31 49
2 RB Leipzig 22 14 5 3 40 18 11 9 1 1 21 7 11 5 4 2 19 11 22 47
3 Wolfsburg 22 11 9 2 35 19 10 6 4 0 17 8 12 5 5 2 18 11 16 42
4 Eintracht Frankfurt 22 11 9 2 45 30 11 6 5 0 21 12 11 5 4 2 24 18 15 42
5 Bayer Leverkusen 22 10 7 5 40 24 11 5 4 2 23 15 11 5 3 3 17 9 16 37
6 Borussia Dortmund 22 11 3 8 45 31 10 5 2 3 22 14 12 6 1 5 23 17 14 36
7 Union Berlin 22 8 9 5 35 25 11 4 6 1 21 12 11 4 3 4 14 13 10 33
8 Borussia M'gladbach 22 8 9 5 38 33 12 5 4 3 20 15 10 3 5 2 18 18 5 33
9 Freiburg 22 8 7 7 35 34 12 5 4 3 24 17 10 3 3 4 11 17 1 31
10 Stuttgart 22 7 8 7 39 35 10 1 6 3 14 16 12 6 2 4 25 19 4 29
11 Hoffenheim 22 7 5 10 36 39 11 4 2 5 20 16 11 3 3 5 16 23 -3 26
12 Werder Bremen 21 5 8 8 24 31 10 2 4 4 9 13 11 3 4 4 15 18 -7 23
13 Augsburg 22 6 5 11 22 35 12 3 3 6 12 20 10 3 2 5 10 15 -13 23
14 Köln 22 5 6 11 20 36 11 1 3 7 11 20 11 4 3 4 9 16 -16 21
15 Hertha BSC 22 4 6 12 26 40 11 2 2 7 11 23 11 2 4 5 15 17 -14 18
16 Arminia Bielefeld 21 5 3 13 18 38 11 4 0 7 10 19 10 1 3 6 8 19 -20 18
17 Mainz 05 22 4 5 13 23 43 11 2 2 7 10 19 11 2 3 6 13 24 -20 17
18 Schalke 04 22 1 6 15 15 56 12 1 2 9 8 26 10 0 4 6 7 30 -41 9

Union Berlin:
Hoffenheim:
Bundesliga:
Germany:

Read more about Bundesliga

The Bundesliga is the top league of the football pyramid in Germany. It is the football league with the highest average stadium attendance worldwide. Bundesliga has 18 teams who play from August to May, a total of 306 fixtures to decide a final league table and the German championship.