Bundesliga match prediction and preview for Mainz 05 vs Augsburg clash

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Competition: Germany Bundesliga
Competition: Sun 28.February
Match begins: 14:30 (UTC)
Venue: OPEL ARENA (34000 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the Bundesliga, with both Mainz 05 and Augsburg experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic "six-pointer" with the home team placed 17th and the visitors in 13th place.

Insights:
  • Mainz 05 has the fewest scored goals in the second half (8) in Bundesliga
  • Augsburg have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Mainz 05 form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the Bundesliga this season. Mainz 05 have only managed 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses from their games here at OPEL ARENA. Two home wins in a row for Mainz 05 bring valid hopes of a third.

It's back home for Mainz 05, who return with a good feeling about themselves after beating Borussia M'gladbach away with the result 2-1. Kevin Stöger and Karim Onisiwo found the net in that victory. Before that, Mainz played out a draw 2-2 when visiting Bayer Leverkusen.

World class coaching! That was the thoughts of B. Svensson when Kevin Stöger scored the winning goal after coming on as a substitute in the 64th minute.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Mainz 05 have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found seven games) they have won three times, drawn three and lost one.

Mainz have scored 10 league goals here from 11 matches, not a lot. Mainz 05 have conceded 19 from these games.

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Augsburg form and stats

The visitors are W3-D2-L5 on the road this term. That's in the Bundesliga. Three might be a magic number, but there's been little wizardry in Augsburg's last three away games as they have all been lost.

Augsburg delivered a 1-1 draw playing at home against Bayer Leverkusen (placed 5th) in their previous match; a Bundesliga game. A loss against Wolfsburg was the result prior to that, in a home game.

We have checked recent matches where Augsburg have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those eight games were three victories, three draws and two defeats.

The visiting Augsburg have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 10 goals from 10 games. Augsburg have conceded 15 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Augsburg - Mainz 3-1. Mainz 05-Augsburg H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Mainz 05 three wins, Augsburg seven wins, zero draws. seven of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

AugsburgD. Caligiuri
D. Caligiuri
5 goals
AugsburgA. Hahn
A. Hahn
4 goals
MainzM. Niakhate
M. Niakhate
3 goals

Mainz 05 missing players

Augsburg missing players

Mainz 05 Augsburg
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
22 11 2 Played P 2 10 22
4 2 0 Won W 2 3 6
5 2 1 Drew D 0 2 5
13 7 1 Lost L 0 5 11
23 10 2 Scored S 2 10 22
43 19 3 Conceded C 0 15 35
95% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 90% 95%
77% 64% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 70% 82%
55% 36% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 50% 45%
45% 36% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 40% 32%
18% 27% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 5%
59% 45% 50% BTTS BTTS 0% 60% 55%
9% 9% 0% Clean Sheets C S 100% 30% 18%
36% 45% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 20% 32%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2 2.2 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2 2.3
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
10.2 10.3 13.5 Shots (avg) S ( 12 8.2 8.6
3.2 3.2 5.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.5 2.8 2.7
32% 29% 18% Goal Efficiency G E 22% 36% 37%
Key stats in Bundesliga this season:
  • Augsburg have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Mainz 05 has the fewest scored goals in the second half (8) in Bundesliga
  • Mainz 05 haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bayern München 22 15 4 3 62 31 10 7 3 0 37 15 12 8 1 3 25 16 31 49
2 RB Leipzig 22 14 5 3 40 18 11 9 1 1 21 7 11 5 4 2 19 11 22 47
3 Wolfsburg 22 11 9 2 35 19 10 6 4 0 17 8 12 5 5 2 18 11 16 42
4 Eintracht Frankfurt 22 11 9 2 45 30 11 6 5 0 21 12 11 5 4 2 24 18 15 42
5 Bayer Leverkusen 22 10 7 5 40 24 11 5 4 2 23 15 11 5 3 3 17 9 16 37
6 Borussia Dortmund 22 11 3 8 45 31 10 5 2 3 22 14 12 6 1 5 23 17 14 36
7 Union Berlin 22 8 9 5 35 25 11 4 6 1 21 12 11 4 3 4 14 13 10 33
8 Borussia M'gladbach 22 8 9 5 38 33 12 5 4 3 20 15 10 3 5 2 18 18 5 33
9 Freiburg 22 8 7 7 35 34 12 5 4 3 24 17 10 3 3 4 11 17 1 31
10 Stuttgart 22 7 8 7 39 35 10 1 6 3 14 16 12 6 2 4 25 19 4 29
11 Hoffenheim 22 7 5 10 36 39 11 4 2 5 20 16 11 3 3 5 16 23 -3 26
12 Werder Bremen 21 5 8 8 24 31 10 2 4 4 9 13 11 3 4 4 15 18 -7 23
13 Augsburg 22 6 5 11 22 35 12 3 3 6 12 20 10 3 2 5 10 15 -13 23
14 Köln 22 5 6 11 20 36 11 1 3 7 11 20 11 4 3 4 9 16 -16 21
15 Hertha BSC 22 4 6 12 26 40 11 2 2 7 11 23 11 2 4 5 15 17 -14 18
16 Arminia Bielefeld 21 5 3 13 18 38 11 4 0 7 10 19 10 1 3 6 8 19 -20 18
17 Mainz 05 22 4 5 13 23 43 11 2 2 7 10 19 11 2 3 6 13 24 -20 17
18 Schalke 04 22 1 6 15 15 56 12 1 2 9 8 26 10 0 4 6 7 30 -41 9

Mainz 05:
Augsburg:
Bundesliga:
Germany:

Read more about Bundesliga

The Bundesliga is the top league of the football pyramid in Germany. It is the football league with the highest average stadium attendance worldwide. Bundesliga has 18 teams who play from August to May, a total of 306 fixtures to decide a final league table and the German championship.