Bundesliga prediction: Home win expected when Borussia Dortmund takes on Arminia Bielefeld

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Competition: Germany Bundesliga
Competition: Sat 27.February
Match begins: 14:30 (UTC)
Venue: Signal-Iduna-Park (81365 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The Borussia Dortmund fans are optimistic that the difference between 6th and Arminia Bielefeld's 16th place in the table will show on the pitch.

Insights:
  • Borussia Dortmund have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Arminia Bielefeld has the fewest points from losing position (0) in Bundesliga

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Borussia Dortmund form and stats

Borussia Dortmund have played 10 Bundesliga games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 5-2-3 (wins-draws-losses).

A strong away win for Borussia against Schalke 04 the last match, as Erling Braut Haaland (2), Jadon Sancho and Raphaël Guerreiro were on target. A strong away win before that one, visiting Sevilla and winning 3-2.

As mentioned above, Borussia Dortmund "killed" Schalke 04 in their previous game. They need to reset completely for this one and beware of complacency.

Borussia are traveling soon after this match as the DFB Pokal match at Borussia M'gladbach awaits in three days.

Goals decide football matches and Borussia Dortmund are scoring many of them at home; 22 on target from 10 league matches. 14 goals have been conceded.

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Arminia Bielefeld form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Arminia Bielefeld so far with only 6 points returning home. The records show 1-3-6 (win-draw-lose).

Bielefeld's previous game was their home loss versus Wolfsburg (0-3). A 3-3 draw at Bayern München's stadium before that.

With the home team given a winning probability of about 80% by the bookmakers, any positive result for the visitors would be a surprise. Checking earlier matches with similar odds with Arminia Bielefeld as the away team, we found one results. Statistics from these were zero away wins, zero draws and one defeat. The outsiders lost zero of these games by at least two goals.

The visitors have scored 8 goals from 10 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. It's worth mentioning that 4 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Bielefeld struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 19 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Arminia Bielefeld - Borussia 0-2. H2H stats regardless of arena (last nine matches): Borussia Dortmund four wins, three draws and Arminia Bielefeld two victories. As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), six games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Borussia DortmundE. Håland
E. Håland
17 goals
Borussia DortmundJ. Sancho
J. Sancho
5 goals
Borussia DortmundR. Guerreiro
R. Guerreiro
3 goals

Borussia Dortmund missing players

Arminia Bielefeld missing players

Borussia Dortmund Arminia Bielefeld
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
22 10 4 Played P 4 10 21
11 5 2 Won W 0 1 5
3 2 1 Drew D 2 3 3
8 3 1 Lost L 2 6 13
45 22 8 Scored S 6 8 18
31 14 4 Conceded C 8 19 38
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 90% 95%
95% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 70% 67%
73% 80% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 50% 52%
41% 50% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 30% 24%
18% 20% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 20% 19%
64% 60% 75% BTTS BTTS 100% 50% 43%
32% 40% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 24%
5% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 40% 38%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.5 1.4 0.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 1.6 1.5
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
14.4 12.7 14 Shots (avg) S ( 9.5 8.7 8.3
5.6 5.4 5.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 2.5 2.6
37% 41% 36% Goal Efficiency G E 60% 32% 33%
Key stats in Bundesliga this season:
  • All of Borussia Dortmund's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Arminia Bielefeld has the fewest points from losing position (0) in Bundesliga
  • Arminia Bielefeld have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Borussia Dortmund have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Borussia Dortmund have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Borussia Dortmund have scored more than double the goals of Arminia Bielefeld.
  • Borussia Dortmund haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bayern München 22 15 4 3 62 31 10 7 3 0 37 15 12 8 1 3 25 16 31 49
2 RB Leipzig 21 13 5 3 37 18 11 9 1 1 21 7 10 4 4 2 16 11 19 44
3 Wolfsburg 22 11 9 2 35 19 10 6 4 0 17 8 12 5 5 2 18 11 16 42
4 Eintracht Frankfurt 22 11 9 2 45 30 11 6 5 0 21 12 11 5 4 2 24 18 15 42
5 Bayer Leverkusen 21 10 6 5 39 23 11 5 4 2 23 15 10 5 2 3 16 8 16 36
6 Borussia Dortmund 22 11 3 8 45 31 10 5 2 3 22 14 12 6 1 5 23 17 14 36
7 Union Berlin 22 8 9 5 35 25 11 4 6 1 21 12 11 4 3 4 14 13 10 33
8 Borussia M'gladbach 22 8 9 5 38 33 12 5 4 3 20 15 10 3 5 2 18 18 5 33
9 Freiburg 22 8 7 7 35 34 12 5 4 3 24 17 10 3 3 4 11 17 1 31
10 Stuttgart 22 7 8 7 39 35 10 1 6 3 14 16 12 6 2 4 25 19 4 29
11 Werder Bremen 20 5 8 7 24 27 10 2 4 4 9 13 10 3 4 3 15 14 -3 23
12 Hoffenheim 21 6 5 10 32 39 10 3 2 5 16 16 11 3 3 5 16 23 -7 23
13 Augsburg 21 6 4 11 21 34 11 3 2 6 11 19 10 3 2 5 10 15 -13 22
14 Köln 22 5 6 11 20 36 11 1 3 7 11 20 11 4 3 4 9 16 -16 21
15 Hertha BSC 21 4 6 11 26 37 10 2 2 6 11 20 11 2 4 5 15 17 -11 18
16 Arminia Bielefeld 21 5 3 13 18 38 11 4 0 7 10 19 10 1 3 6 8 19 -20 18
17 Mainz 05 22 4 5 13 23 43 11 2 2 7 10 19 11 2 3 6 13 24 -20 17
18 Schalke 04 22 1 6 15 15 56 12 1 2 9 8 26 10 0 4 6 7 30 -41 9

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The Bundesliga is the top league of the football pyramid in Germany. It is the football league with the highest average stadium attendance worldwide. Bundesliga has 18 teams who play from August to May, a total of 306 fixtures to decide a final league table and the German championship.