Bundesliga prediction and preview: Hoffenheim modest favorites to beat Mainz 05

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: Germany Bundesliga
Competition: Sun 21.March
Match begins: 12:30 (UTC)
Venue: PreZero Arena (30150 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Hoffenheim are in the 11th position while the guesting Mainz 05 worry at 17th.

Insights:
  • Hoffenheim have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Mainz 05 have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Hoffenheim and Mainz 05 should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

It's quite the trip for Mainz 05 when visiting Hoffenheim as the cities are 2300 kilometers apart.

L W D L W

Hoffenheim form and stats

Hoffenheim have collected 17 points from their Bundesliga home games so far after 5-2-5. Hopes of three in a row are alive for Hoffenheim after consecutive victories at their own ground.

Hoffenheim are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 0-2 away versus Stuttgart. Ahead of that match, Hoffenheim won a home game hosting Wolfsburg (2-1).

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Hoffenheim matches with similar probabilities have ended with two wins, two draws and two defeats (from six games).

A decent goal production from Hoffenheim in their home games so far, with 22 goals from 12 league matches. Hoffenheim have conceded 17 in these home matches.

W D L W D

Mainz 05 form and stats

Mainz 05 have only collected 10 points from their away games in the Bundesliga, after 2-4-6 (12 played).

Did you know that the longest clean sheet streak is 1816 minutes? This record is held by Mazaropi when he played in Vasco da Gama. Mainz 05 goalkeeper Robin Zentner is eager to challenge this, with his 245 minutes of keeping balls out from the net.

Mainz won their last game, 1-0 versus Freiburg played at home. Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Schalke 04 that ended 0-0.

Robin Quaison came off the bench to score the winning goal in the match against Freiburg last time out, making the manager B. Svensson feel like a tactical genius.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Mainz when being an outsider away as they are today, we find six matches with the visitors losing two times, drawing one and winning three games.

The visiting Mainz have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 13 goals from 12 games. Mainz have conceded 24 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Mainz 05 - Hoffenheim 1-1 played earlier this season. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: six wins for Hoffenheim, two draws and two wins for Mainz 05. Over 2,5 goals: seven times; under 2,5 goals: three games.

Top Goalscorers

HoffenheimA. Kramarić
A. Kramarić
14 goals
HoffenheimI. Bebou
I. Bebou
6 goals
HoffenheimC. Baumgartner
C. Baumgartner
5 goals

Hoffenheim missing players

Mainz 05 missing players

Hoffenheim Mainz 05
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
25 12 3 Played P 4 12 25
8 5 2 Won W 2 2 5
6 2 1 Drew D 0 4 6
11 5 0 Lost L 2 6 14
39 22 6 Scored S 5 13 24
43 17 1 Conceded C 8 24 44
96% 92% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 83% 92%
88% 75% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 83% 68%
72% 75% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 67% 48%
48% 58% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 50% 40%
20% 17% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 16%
68% 58% 33% BTTS BTTS 50% 67% 52%
16% 25% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 17% 16%
20% 25% 33% Failed to Score F T 50% 33% 40%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.2 1.6 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 1.8 1.9
4 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
11.5 9.8 11 Shots (avg) S ( 10.2 11.1 10.7
4.6 4.6 5.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.8 3.2 3.3
34% 40% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 34% 29%
Key stats in Bundesliga this season:
  • Hoffenheim have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Mainz 05 have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bayern München 25 18 4 3 74 35 12 9 3 0 46 18 13 9 1 3 28 17 39 58
2 RB Leipzig 25 16 6 3 47 21 13 10 2 1 25 10 12 6 4 2 22 11 26 54
3 Wolfsburg 25 13 9 3 43 21 12 8 4 0 24 8 13 5 5 3 19 13 22 48
4 Eintracht Frankfurt 25 11 11 3 48 34 12 6 6 0 22 13 13 5 5 3 26 21 14 44
5 Borussia Dortmund 25 13 3 9 52 35 12 7 2 3 27 14 13 6 1 6 25 21 17 42
6 Bayer Leverkusen 25 11 7 7 43 28 13 5 4 4 25 19 12 6 3 3 18 9 15 40
7 Union Berlin 25 9 11 5 38 27 13 5 7 1 24 14 12 4 4 4 14 13 11 38
8 Stuttgart 25 9 9 7 47 37 12 3 6 3 21 17 13 6 3 4 26 20 10 36
9 Freiburg 25 9 7 9 37 39 13 5 4 4 24 20 12 4 3 5 13 19 -2 34
10 Borussia M'gladbach 25 8 9 8 41 40 13 5 4 4 20 16 12 3 5 4 21 24 1 33
11 Hoffenheim 25 8 6 11 39 43 12 5 2 5 22 17 13 3 4 6 17 26 -4 30
12 Werder Bremen 25 7 9 9 30 36 12 3 4 5 12 17 13 4 5 4 18 19 -6 30
13 Augsburg 25 8 5 12 27 38 13 4 3 6 15 21 12 4 2 6 12 17 -11 29
14 Köln 25 5 7 13 23 44 12 1 4 7 12 21 13 4 3 6 11 23 -21 22
15 Arminia Bielefeld 25 6 4 15 20 44 13 4 1 8 10 21 12 2 3 7 10 23 -24 22
16 Hertha BSC 25 5 6 14 28 45 12 3 2 7 13 24 13 2 4 7 15 21 -17 21
17 Mainz 05 25 5 6 14 24 44 13 3 2 8 11 20 12 2 4 6 13 24 -20 21
18 Schalke 04 25 1 7 17 16 66 13 1 3 9 8 26 12 0 4 8 8 40 -50 10

Hoffenheim:
Mainz 05:
Bundesliga:
Germany:

Read more about Bundesliga

The Bundesliga is the top league of the football pyramid in Germany. It is the football league with the highest average stadium attendance worldwide. Bundesliga has 18 teams who play from August to May, a total of 306 fixtures to decide a final league table and the German championship.