Chelsea vs Leicester City in FA Cup preview: Key statistics and predictions

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Competition: England FA Cup
Competition: Sat 15.May
Match begins: 16:15 (UTC)
Venue: Wembley Stadium (90000 seats)

Perhaps a welcome break from league football as Chelsea & Leicester City face off to decide who makes it to next stage of the FA Cup. All the pre-match information is available here!

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Chelsea and Leicester City.

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Chelsea form and stats

Last season, Chelsea's FA Cup journey ended in the final.

When playing at home in the Premier League, Chelsea have managed 8 wins, 6 draws and suffered 4 defeats from 18 games. On the other hand, in the FA Cup, Chelsea has performed like this (both home and away): 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses.

Attacking player Mason Mount bested all teammates in that game and got a match rating of 7.61 out of 10. Mount hit four key passes and had 43 successful passes (of 49 total).

In the preceding match a 2-1 victory visiting Manchester City.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Chelsea have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won three times, drawn three and lost two.

Another home game is coming up fairly shortly for the hosts, as Leicester City are coming to town in three days.

A decent goal production from Chelsea in their home games so far, with 29 goals from 18 league matches. Chelsea have only conceded 17 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Leicester City form and stats

Leicester was sent out of FA Cup in the quarter-finals last season.

Leicester City's travelling support has been rewarded for their time and money so far this season, having witnessed Leicester City collect 38 points from their 18 away matches in the Premier League. 11 victories and 5 draws have created these points (and only 2 defeats). When we have look at the FA Cup statistics, we find 5W-0D-0L. This is both home and away.

Leicester play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 2-1 victory visiting Manchester United. Midfield player Wilfred Ndidi was the top player of the team with a match rating of 7.65/10. Ndidi hit two key passes, dribled passed the opponent 1 of 2 times and had 44 successful passes (of 46 total).

A loss against Newcastle United was the result prior to that, in a Premier League home game.

We have checked recent matches where Leicester have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those three games were two victories, zero draws and one defeat.

Leicester has another fixture away, a Premier League game, against Chelsea in just three days. A tough schedule for the visitors!

The travelling fans enjoy Leicester City's attacking play in away games, having scored 33 goals in 18 league matches away. Leicester have conceded 18 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's four Chelsea victories, four draws and two Leicester City wins. Over/under statistics; four of these games ended with three goals or more, six matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Leicester CityJ. Vardy
J. Vardy
13 goals
Leicester CityK. Iheanacho
K. Iheanacho
11 goals
Leicester CityH. Barnes
H. Barnes
9 goals

Chelsea missing players

Leicester City missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Chelsea Leicester City
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
25 13   Played P   11 25
17 8   Won W   5 14
5 2   Drew D   5 5
3 3   Lost L   1 6
34 17   Scored S   16 42
12 7   Conceded C   10 27
88% 85%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   82% 92%
56% 62%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   82% 84%
16% 8%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   45% 52%
8% 8%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   18% 32%
8% 8%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   9% 12%
24% 8%   BTTS BTTS   73% 56%
68% 77%   Clean Sheets C S   27% 36%
20% 31%   Failed to Score F T   18% 16%
 
0 0   Corners for (avg) C F   0 0
0 0   Corners against (avg) C A   0 0
1 1   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   1.4 1.2
1 1   Red cards R C   0 0
 
12.5 12.8   Shots (avg) S (   13.7 13.2
4.7 4.8   Shots on Target (avg) S O   4.4 4.8
29% 27%   Goal Efficiency G E   33% 35%

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Manchester City 35 25 5 5 72 26 18 12 2 4 38 17 17 13 3 1 34 9 46 80
2 Manchester United 35 20 10 5 68 38 17 9 3 5 35 23 18 11 7 0 33 15 30 70
3 Leicester City 36 20 6 10 65 44 18 9 1 8 32 26 18 11 5 2 33 18 21 66
4 Chelsea 36 18 10 8 55 33 18 8 6 4 29 17 18 10 4 4 26 16 22 64
5 West Ham United 35 17 7 11 55 45 18 9 4 5 29 22 17 8 3 6 26 23 10 58
6 Liverpool 34 16 9 9 57 39 18 9 3 6 27 20 16 7 6 3 30 19 18 57
7 Tottenham Hotspur 35 16 8 11 61 41 17 9 3 5 32 18 18 7 5 6 29 23 20 56
8 Arsenal 36 16 7 13 50 38 18 7 4 7 22 21 18 9 3 6 28 17 12 55
9 Everton 34 16 7 11 46 42 17 5 4 8 23 27 17 11 3 3 23 15 4 55
10 Leeds United 35 15 5 15 53 53 18 7 5 6 25 20 17 8 0 9 28 33 0 50
11 Aston Villa 34 14 6 14 49 41 17 6 3 8 27 26 17 8 3 6 22 15 8 48
12 Wolverhampton Wanderers 35 12 9 14 35 47 18 7 4 7 20 23 17 5 5 7 15 24 -12 45
13 Crystal Palace 35 11 8 16 37 59 17 5 5 7 16 27 18 6 3 9 21 32 -22 41
14 Southampton 35 11 7 17 44 62 17 7 3 7 25 22 18 4 4 10 19 40 -18 40
15 Burnley 35 10 9 16 33 47 17 4 6 7 14 20 18 6 3 9 19 27 -14 39
16 Newcastle United 35 10 9 16 40 58 17 5 5 7 22 29 18 5 4 9 18 29 -18 39
17 Brighton & Hove Albion 35 8 13 14 36 41 17 3 8 6 18 19 18 5 5 8 18 22 -5 37
18 Fulham 35 5 12 18 25 47 18 2 4 12 9 26 17 3 8 6 16 21 -22 27
19 West Bromwich Albion 35 5 11 19 32 68 17 3 6 8 13 34 18 2 5 11 19 34 -36 26
20 Sheffield United 35 5 2 28 18 62 18 4 1 13 11 27 17 1 1 15 7 35 -44 17

Chelsea:
Leicester City:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Manchester City 35 25 5 5 72 26 18 12 2 4 38 17 17 13 3 1 34 9 46 80
2 Manchester United 35 20 10 5 68 38 17 9 3 5 35 23 18 11 7 0 33 15 30 70
3 Leicester City 36 20 6 10 65 44 18 9 1 8 32 26 18 11 5 2 33 18 21 66
4 Chelsea 36 18 10 8 55 33 18 8 6 4 29 17 18 10 4 4 26 16 22 64
5 West Ham United 35 17 7 11 55 45 18 9 4 5 29 22 17 8 3 6 26 23 10 58
6 Liverpool 34 16 9 9 57 39 18 9 3 6 27 20 16 7 6 3 30 19 18 57
7 Tottenham Hotspur 35 16 8 11 61 41 17 9 3 5 32 18 18 7 5 6 29 23 20 56
8 Arsenal 36 16 7 13 50 38 18 7 4 7 22 21 18 9 3 6 28 17 12 55
9 Everton 34 16 7 11 46 42 17 5 4 8 23 27 17 11 3 3 23 15 4 55
10 Leeds United 35 15 5 15 53 53 18 7 5 6 25 20 17 8 0 9 28 33 0 50
11 Aston Villa 34 14 6 14 49 41 17 6 3 8 27 26 17 8 3 6 22 15 8 48
12 Wolverhampton Wanderers 35 12 9 14 35 47 18 7 4 7 20 23 17 5 5 7 15 24 -12 45
13 Crystal Palace 35 11 8 16 37 59 17 5 5 7 16 27 18 6 3 9 21 32 -22 41
14 Southampton 35 11 7 17 44 62 17 7 3 7 25 22 18 4 4 10 19 40 -18 40
15 Burnley 35 10 9 16 33 47 17 4 6 7 14 20 18 6 3 9 19 27 -14 39
16 Newcastle United 35 10 9 16 40 58 17 5 5 7 22 29 18 5 4 9 18 29 -18 39
17 Brighton & Hove Albion 35 8 13 14 36 41 17 3 8 6 18 19 18 5 5 8 18 22 -5 37
18 Fulham 35 5 12 18 25 47 18 2 4 12 9 26 17 3 8 6 16 21 -22 27
19 West Bromwich Albion 35 5 11 19 32 68 17 3 6 8 13 34 18 2 5 11 19 34 -36 26
20 Sheffield United 35 5 2 28 18 62 18 4 1 13 11 27 17 1 1 15 7 35 -44 17

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