Premier League: Chelsea expected to win home game against Arsenal

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Competition: England Premier League
Competition: Wed 12.May
Match begins: 19:15 (UTC)
Venue: Stamford Bridge (41798 seats)

3rd position in the Premier League table for Chelsea so far, a good performance. The home supporters hope for more joy as 9th-placed Arsenal visits Stamford Bridge.

Insights:
  • Chelsea have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (14) in Premier League

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

These teams are located so close to each other that their supporters eat in the same restaurants, hang out at the same night clubs and give birth at the same hospitals. This means added importance to the game and a vibrant atmosphere.

Arsenal are still fighting for top positions and their benefits.

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Chelsea form and stats

When playing at home in the Premier League, Chelsea, who have the fewest conceded goals (16) at home in Premier League, have managed 8 wins, 6 draws and suffered 3 defeats from 17 games.

Chelsea are returning here after visiting Manchester City in a Premier League game and winning with a 2-1 scoreline. Hakim Ziyech and Marcos Alonso scored the goal(s). Before that, Chelsea had a Champions League home game versus Real Madrid which ended with a victory 2-0.

Some amazing scenes last match, when Marcos Alonso scored the winning goal two minutes into stoppage time.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Chelsea's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played three games, won zero matches, drawn three and lost zero.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Chelsea, as the FA Cup home game vs Leicester City is only three days away.

Chelsea have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Stamford Bridge with 29 goals in 17 league matches. Chelsea are not conceding a lot of goals here at Stamford Bridge in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 16 from 17 matches.

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Arsenal form and stats

The visitors are W8-D3-L6 on the road this term. That's in the Premier League. It could be a hat trick of victories away for Arsenal, as they have won on their previous two travels.

Arsenal are travelling after their nice 3-1 home win in the Premier League against West Bromwich Albion (placed 19th). A draw for Arsenal before that, at their own venue hosting Villarreal (0-0).

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Arsenal playing away, we found one game. Results were zero away wins, one draw and zero home wins.

Arsenal are not goal shy away from home in the league, finding the net 27 times in 17 away games so far. 17 goals have been conceded by Arsenal in these games.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Arsenal - Chelsea 3-1 entered in the official records. Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Chelsea won three games, three matches ended with a draw and Arsenal has four wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: seven / three

Top Goalscorers

ArsenalA. Lacazette
A. Lacazette
13 goals
ArsenalP. Aubameyang
P. Aubameyang
10 goals
ChelseaJ. Frello Filho
J. Frello Filho
6 goals

Chelsea missing players

Arsenal missing players

Chelsea Arsenal
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
35 17 6 Played P 5 17 35
18 8 3 Won W 2 8 15
10 6 3 Drew D 1 3 7
7 3 0 Lost L 2 6 13
55 29 10 Scored S 8 27 49
32 16 2 Conceded C 8 17 38
83% 76% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 91%
69% 76% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 71% 69%
43% 41% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 53% 54%
29% 35% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 60% 29% 23%
14% 18% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 6% 6%
40% 35% 33% BTTS BTTS 60% 41% 46%
51% 59% 67% Clean Sheets C S 20% 41% 29%
26% 29% 33% Failed to Score F T 20% 24% 34%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.3 1.2 1.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.6 1.5 1.3
2 2 0 Red cards R C 0 3 5
 
14.1 14 16.7 Shots (avg) S ( 9.6 11.9 12.3
5.4 5.7 6.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.8 3.9 4
29% 30% 26% Goal Efficiency G E 42% 40% 35%
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Chelsea have the fewest conceded goals (16) at home in Premier League
  • Chelsea have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (14) in Premier League
  • Chelsea have the most clean sheets (10) at home in Premier League

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Manchester City 35 25 5 5 72 26 18 12 2 4 38 17 17 13 3 1 34 9 46 80
2 Manchester United 34 20 10 4 67 36 16 9 3 4 34 21 18 11 7 0 33 15 31 70
3 Chelsea 35 18 10 7 55 32 17 8 6 3 29 16 18 10 4 4 26 16 23 64
4 Leicester City 35 19 6 10 63 43 18 9 1 8 32 26 17 10 5 2 31 17 20 63
5 West Ham United 35 17 7 11 55 45 18 9 4 5 29 22 17 8 3 6 26 23 10 58
6 Liverpool 34 16 9 9 57 39 18 9 3 6 27 20 16 7 6 3 30 19 18 57
7 Tottenham Hotspur 35 16 8 11 61 41 17 9 3 5 32 18 18 7 5 6 29 23 20 56
8 Everton 34 16 7 11 46 42 17 5 4 8 23 27 17 11 3 3 23 15 4 55
9 Arsenal 35 15 7 13 49 38 18 7 4 7 22 21 17 8 3 6 27 17 11 52
10 Leeds United 35 15 5 15 53 53 18 7 5 6 25 20 17 8 0 9 28 33 0 50
11 Aston Villa 34 14 6 14 49 41 17 6 3 8 27 26 17 8 3 6 22 15 8 48
12 Wolverhampton Wanderers 35 12 9 14 35 47 18 7 4 7 20 23 17 5 5 7 15 24 -12 45
13 Crystal Palace 34 11 8 15 36 56 17 5 5 7 16 27 17 6 3 8 20 29 -20 41
14 Newcastle United 35 10 9 16 40 58 17 5 5 7 22 29 18 5 4 9 18 29 -18 39
15 Brighton & Hove Albion 35 8 13 14 36 41 17 3 8 6 18 19 18 5 5 8 18 22 -5 37
16 Southampton 34 10 7 17 41 61 16 6 3 7 22 21 18 4 4 10 19 40 -20 37
17 Burnley 34 9 9 16 31 47 17 4 6 7 14 20 17 5 3 9 17 27 -16 36
18 Fulham 34 5 12 17 25 45 17 2 4 11 9 24 17 3 8 6 16 21 -20 27
19 West Bromwich Albion 35 5 11 19 32 68 17 3 6 8 13 34 18 2 5 11 19 34 -36 26
20 Sheffield United 35 5 2 28 18 62 18 4 1 13 11 27 17 1 1 15 7 35 -44 17

Read more about Premier League

The English Premier League is the top level of the English football league pyramid. 20 teams play 38 fixtures each to see who tops the Premier League table. The Premier League is the most watched sports league in the world. Seasons run from August to May with most games on Saturdays and Sundays.